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STOCK COMPARISON

China Shenhua Energy vs Bayan Resources Tbk: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how China Shenhua Energy (601088) and Bayan Resources Tbk (BYAN) compare, as of Sep 5, 2026.

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees China Shenhua Energy as the less overvalued of the two: China Shenhua Energy trades at ¥47.61 versus a fair value of ¥34.97 (-27%), while Bayan Resources Tbk trades at IDR 13,800 versus IDR 3,542 (-74%).
China Shenhua Energy
601088.SHG · CNY · Energy
-27%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price¥47.61
Fair Value¥34.97
Quality64/100
Bayan Resources Tbk
BYAN.JK · IDR · Energy
-74%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceIDR 13,800
Fair ValueIDR 3,542
Quality76/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

China Shenhua EnergyBayan Resources Tbk
Valuation
16.2×P/E (TTM)34.5×
3.08×P/S (TTM)14.41×
2.23×P/B19.85×
8.9×EV/EBITDA41.6×
14.94×PEG0.63×
−26.5%Fair value upside−74.3%
4.2%Dividend yield
¥2.01Dividend per share
Profitability
25%Operating margin33%
0.81×EBIT margin trend (5Y)1.44×
12%Return on equity35%
6%Return on assets20%
Growth
1%Revenue growth (YoY)26%
-5.1%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-10.4%
4.8%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)19.4%
+9.1%Value creation/yr+18.2%
Balance & size
30.2×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)115.3×
0.07×Debt / equity
$136BMarket cap$51B
weakGrowth qualityweak

Bayan Resources Tbk leads: 6 to 7 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

China Shenhua Energyof which business quality 62 · market factors 67 Bayan Resources Tbkof which business quality 76 · market factors 47
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
48
84
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
37
22
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
49
82
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
90
91
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
71
77
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
86
62
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
51
47
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
74
30
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
82
82

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyChina Shenhua EnergyPrice ¥47.61Bayan Resources TbkPrice IDR 13,800
DCF Models-35%below the price¥30.93-60%below the priceIDR 5,474
Earnings-Based-18%below the price¥39.08-66%below the priceIDR 4,669
Dividend Discount+32%above the price¥62.97n/a
Multiples-21%below the price¥37.66-79%below the priceIDR 2,898
Asset-Based-69%below the price¥14.97-94%below the priceIDR 805
Growth DCF-43%below the price¥27.01-62%below the priceIDR 5,313
Economic Profit-27%below the price¥34.64-69%below the priceIDR 4,266
Growth Earnings-27%below the price¥34.97-67%below the priceIDR 4,508
Minimum-69%below the price¥14.97-94%below the priceIDR 805
Maximum+32%above the price¥62.97-60%below the priceIDR 5,474
Median-27%below the price¥34.81-67%below the priceIDR 4,508
Geometric mean-31%below the price¥32.99-75%below the priceIDR 3,473

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

China Shenhua Energy: 22 of 25 models see the stock below the current price.

Bayan Resources Tbk: 23 of 23 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

China Shenhua Energy
Bear ¥24.48Fair Value ¥34.97Bull ¥45.28
¥47.61 = current price (white tick)
Bayan Resources Tbk
Bear IDR 2,656Fair Value IDR 3,542Bull IDR 6,070
IDR 13,800 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

China Shenhua Energy · Energy

Quality score64 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-27% · above median

Bayan Resources Tbk · Energy

Quality score76 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-74% · bottom 25%

Bottom line

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees China Shenhua Energy as the less overvalued of the two: China Shenhua Energy trades at ¥47.61 versus a fair value of ¥34.97 (-27%), while Bayan Resources Tbk trades at IDR 13,800 versus IDR 3,542 (-74%).

Bayan Resources Tbk has the higher quality score (76/100).

See the full analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.