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STOCK COMPARISON

China Hongqiao Group vs Shandong Nanshan Aluminium Co: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how China Hongqiao Group (1378) and Shandong Nanshan Aluminium Co (600219) compare, as of Sep 5, 2026.

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees China Hongqiao Group as the more attractively valued of the two: China Hongqiao Group trades at HK$23.40 versus a fair value of HK$24.07 (+3%), while Shandong Nanshan Aluminium Co trades at ¥4.92 versus ¥3.97 (-19%).
China Hongqiao Group
1378.HK · HKD · Materials
+3%
upside to fair value
fairly valued
PriceHK$23.40
Fair ValueHK$24.07
Quality62/100
Shandong Nanshan Aluminium Co
600219.SHG · CNY · Materials
-19%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price¥4.92
Fair Value¥3.97
Quality64/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

China Hongqiao GroupShandong Nanshan Aluminium Co
Valuation
7.3×P/E (TTM)13.6×
1.21×P/S (TTM)1.56×
1.48×P/B1.09×
4.4×EV/EBITDA4.1×
+2.8%Fair value upside−19.3%
6.3%Dividend yield3.6%
HK$1.48Dividend per share¥0.18
Profitability
22%Operating margin15%
1.32×EBIT margin trend (5Y)1.54×
19%Return on equity8%
9%Return on assets4%
Growth
-2%Revenue growth (YoY)1%
7.2%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-0.4%
13.5%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)9.2%
+21.4%Value creation/yr+22.6%
Balance & size
10.1×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)34.2×
0.34×Debt / equity0.00×
$25BMarket cap$8B
healthyGrowth qualityhealthy

China Hongqiao Group leads: 8 to 6 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

China Hongqiao Groupof which business quality 63 · market factors 32 Shandong Nanshan Aluminium Coof which business quality 65 · market factors 40
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
52
40
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
36
37
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
75
56
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
79
99
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
48
72
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
46
50
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
23
34
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
31
39
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
77
87

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyChina Hongqiao GroupPrice HK$23.40Shandong Nanshan Aluminium CoPrice ¥4.92
DCF Models+156%above the priceHK$59.88+109%above the price¥10.27
Earnings-Based+55%above the priceHK$36.17+32%above the price¥6.51
Dividend Discountn/a+39%above the price¥6.86
Multiples+67%above the priceHK$39.19+42%above the price¥7.01
Asset-Based-61%below the priceHK$9.05-41%below the price¥2.89
Growth DCF+162%above the priceHK$61.22+83%above the price¥9.00
Economic Profit+37%above the priceHK$32.17+37%above the price¥6.75
Growth Earnings+109%above the priceHK$48.81+54%above the price¥7.57
Minimum-61%below the priceHK$9.05-41%below the price¥2.89
Maximum+162%above the priceHK$61.22+109%above the price¥10.27
Median+67%above the priceHK$39.19+41%above the price¥6.93
Geometric mean+53%above the priceHK$35.70+37%above the price¥6.74

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

China Hongqiao Group: 2 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.

Shandong Nanshan Aluminium Co: 3 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

China Hongqiao Group
Bear HK$18.05Fair Value HK$24.07Bull HK$36.88
HK$23.40 = current price (white tick)
Shandong Nanshan Aluminium Co
Bear ¥2.98Fair Value ¥3.97Bull ¥4.96
¥4.92 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

China Hongqiao Group · Materials

Quality score62 · Top 25%
Fair value upside+3% · above median

Shandong Nanshan Aluminium Co · Materials

Quality score64 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-19% · above median

Bottom line

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees China Hongqiao Group as the more attractively valued of the two: China Hongqiao Group trades at HK$23.40 versus a fair value of HK$24.07 (+3%), while Shandong Nanshan Aluminium Co trades at ¥4.92 versus ¥3.97 (-19%).

Shandong Nanshan Aluminium Co has the higher quality score (64/100).

See the full analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.