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Zeta Global Holdings Corp (ZETA) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $5.5B · ISIN US98956A1051

What is Zeta Global Holdings Corp really worth?

ZG Zeta Global Holdings Corp logo Zeta Global Holdings Corp ZETA · US
Price$32.68
Fair Value$0.9520
Upside−97.1%
Quality45/100

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

Below-average quality, and trading another 3,336% above our fair value of $0.9520.

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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +28.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -1.6% net margin
!Trails peers (3/14)
!Narrow moat 21/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 4 out of 100
Evidence: Low Range $0.8245 – $1.07

Fair value as of: Aug 31, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Share price +34.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.07). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$36.74 $4.27 Fair Value $0.9520 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.27 – $36.74 · fair‑value band $0.8245 – $1.07 · the $32.68 price screens above the $0.9520 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Zeta Global Holdings Corp (ZETA) currently trades at $32.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.9520, implying the stock looks roughly 3,336.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $6.00 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the $32.68 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $0.7500, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Zeta Global Holdings Corp generated revenue of $1.4B at a net margin of −1.6%. Revenue grew 49.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −3.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $123M. Fundamentals as of Aug 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.8245 (bear case) to $1.07 (bull case); at $32.68, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 170% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −97%, ZETA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely ($0.7500 to $22.57). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $13.59 $20.63 $42.59 76
Growth DCF $12.80 $22.57 $41.70 75
5Y Revenue Exit $4.44 $5.28 $6.87 74
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $13.59 $20.63 $42.59 76
Owner Earnings $2.30 $4.44 $8.76 72
5Y Revenue Exit $4.44 $5.28 $6.87 74
5Y EBITDA Exit $7.69 $11.85 $19.95 73
10Y Revenue Exit $7.25 $10.63 $11.33 68
10Y EBITDA Exit $9.58 $17.46 $30.19 66
Earnings-Based
EPV $0.7400 $0.7700 $0.8000 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.4400 $0.8700 $1.32 67
DDM Multi-Stage $0.4400 $0.7500 $0.9200 67
Multiples
EV/EBIT $0.9700 $1.12 $1.26 66
EV/EBITDA $5.18 $6.72 $8.26 67
EV/Revenue $0.7600 $0.8500 $0.9500 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.78 $2.39 $3.57 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $12.80 $22.57 $41.70 75
Rev-Margin DCF $4.59 $6.00 $8.81 73
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $0.7400 $0.7700 $0.8000 72

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($10.63) versus Dividend Discount ($0.7500). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 4.02 TTM
EPS (TTM) $−0.1000
Dividend yield 0.2%
Net margin −2.4% FY2025
Return on equity −3.0% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −30.0% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin −2.6% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $1.4B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +49.9% 3y avg +30.2%
EPS growth (YoY) −51.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $185M FY2025
Net cash $123M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 84
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 73
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 69
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 17
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 98
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Zeta Global Holdings Corp. operates an omnichannel data-driven cloud platform that provides enterprises with consumer intelligence and marketing automation software in the United States and internationally.

Full company description

Zeta Global Holdings Corp. operates an omnichannel data-driven cloud platform that provides enterprises with consumer intelligence and marketing automation software in the United States and internationally. The company operates Zeta Marketing platform, a single platform designed to enable enterprises to acquire, grow, and retain consumer relationships more efficiently and effectively than alternative solutions. It also provides Zeta Messaging, an email service provider, offering end-to-end AI-powered omnichannel messaging capabilities, as well as integrated data management, enterprise-scale delivery and support, and sophisticated omnichannel orchestration. In addition, the company offers Zeta Consumer Data platform (CDP+), a system of record for all consumer information, delivers a single, actionable view of customers and prospects that include real-time identifiers and signals, as well as other key attributes; and Zeta's DSP helps customers to maximize the power of paid media to engage the right audiences with precision and efficiency, as well as delivers experiences via desktop, inbox, mobile, CTV and social, and others. Further, it operates Athena by Zeta, an interface to Zeta's AI-native infrastructure layer and intends to power all intelligent decisioning, automation, and user interaction; and Zeta Answers that synthesize trillions of behavioral signals into intent-based scores tied to a unique individual. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Zeta Global Holdings Corp reported revenue of $1.3B in FY2025 versus $458M in FY2021, a compound +29.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$31.5M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.3B
Latest YoY
+29.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+30.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+28.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+27.3%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +29.9%/yr
FY21 $458M
FY22 $591M
FY23 $729M
FY24 $1.0B
FY25 $1.3B
Net income
FY21 −$250M
FY22 −$279M
FY23 −$187M
FY24 −$69.8M
FY25 −$31.5M

ZETA screens 3,336% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zeta Global Holdings Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ZETA

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Software - Infrastructure · 369 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −97% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) −2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −3% · Below median
Revenue growth 50% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.25× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/B 6.78× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.80× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 29.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 60.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.77× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 50
PAST0 · sector 15
HEALTH88 · sector 98
DIVIDEND4 · sector 26

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $480.35 $365.74 −24%
Oracle Corporation ORCL $151.94 $117.84 −22%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $166.00 $61.46 −63%
Synopsys, Inc SNPS $442.61 $101.19 −77%
Block, Inc XYZ A$111.01 A$70.69 −36%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $105.26 $71.79 −32%
NetApp, Inc NTAP $190.64 $154.83 −19%
Adyen N.V ADYEN €1,007 €707.53 −30%
MongoDB, Inc MDB $440.58 $93.91 −79%
Okta, Inc OKTA $166.23 $30.50 −82%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Zeta Global Holdings Corp (ZETA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.9520 versus a price of $32.68, about −97% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ZETA?
Our model-based fair value for Zeta Global Holdings Corp is $0.9520 (as of Aug 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $32.68.
What is the quality score of ZETA?
Zeta Global Holdings Corp has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Zeta Global Holdings Corp (ZETA)?
Zeta Global Holdings Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.4B (latest available figure, as of Aug 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ZETA?
The net profit margin of Zeta Global Holdings Corp is about −1.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Zeta Global Holdings Corp pay a dividend?
Zeta Global Holdings Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.19% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 31, 2026).
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