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John Wiley & Sons (WLY) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $2.5B · ISIN US9682232064

What is John Wiley & Sons really worth?

JW John Wiley & Sons logo John Wiley & Sons WLY · US
Price$50.66
Fair Value$55.90
Upside+10.3%
Quality70/100

A solid business, trading 9% below our fair value of $55.90.

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Strengths

Solidly profitable · 13.2% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/15)
Wide moat 71/100

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y −2.9 %/yr)
!Weak on future: 6 out of 100

For context

·2.80% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $32.70 – $90.97

Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated today

Share price −7.4% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($32.70 to $90.97). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
  • The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$55.72 $26.46 Fair Value $55.90 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $26.46 – $55.72 · fair‑value band $32.70 – $90.97 · the $50.66 price screens below the $55.90 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

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Analysis

John Wiley & Sons (WLY) currently trades at $50.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $55.90, implying the stock looks roughly 9.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $72.47 per share, and 14 of the 25 models we run sit above the $50.66 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $10.67, and 11 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, John Wiley & Sons generated revenue of $1.7B at a net margin of 9.2%. Revenue grew 1.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.5%. Net debt stands at $693M. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $32.70 (bear case) to $90.97 (bull case); at $50.66, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 80% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 4% fair-value upside, at 10%, WLY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 4 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.5017 per share, which is 0.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $22.00 $35.00 $52.47 78
Growth DCF $22.93 $35.08 $50.77 77
Owner Earnings $42.16 $63.06 $91.15 75
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $22.00 $35.00 $52.47 78
Owner Earnings $42.16 $63.06 $91.15 75
5Y Revenue Exit $28.82 $50.57 $77.24 70
5Y EBITDA Exit $40.07 $70.34 $103.92 73
5Y P/E Exit $38.54 $67.64 $96.34 69
10Y Revenue Exit $24.56 $43.09 $65.74 65
10Y EBITDA Exit $32.69 $56.08 $84.54 66
10Y P/E Exit $31.76 $54.30 $79.20 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $28.30 $61.53 $78.32 63
PEG = 1.0 $9.64 $13.78 $17.91 55
EPV $31.36 $38.08 $43.87 72
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $12.26 $18.76 $25.57 66
DDM Multi-Stage $12.26 $17.42 $23.01 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple $68.67 $91.57 $114.46 61
P/S Multiple $53.07 $70.75 $88.44 56
P/B Multiple $41.82 $55.76 $69.70 53
EV/EBIT $51.21 $72.01 $92.81 64
EV/EBITDA $60.34 $84.17 $108.01 66
EV/Revenue $36.14 $56.41 $76.69 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.97 $10.67 $15.93 52
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $22.93 $35.08 $50.77 77
Rev-Margin DCF $28.82 $50.89 $74.03 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income $26.31 $35.33 $180.87 63
ROIC Compounder $32.70 $41.83 $51.47 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $50.73 $72.47 $94.21 66

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($72.47) versus Asset-Based ($10.67). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 12.0 as of Jul 16, 2026
P/S ratio 1.58 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $4.16 price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.0
Dividend yield 2.8% payout 34.1%
Net margin 13.2% FY2026
Return on equity 27.7% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 8.2% avg 5y
Operating margin 24.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $1.7B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.2% 3y avg −6.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +108%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $177M FY2026
Net debt $693M FY2026 · ≈ 3.9 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 70/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76

Profitability 67
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 81
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 80
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

John Wiley & Sons, Inc., a publisher, provides authoritative content, data-driven insights, and knowledge services for the advancement of science, innovation, and learning in the United States, China, the United Kingdom, Japan, Australia, and internationally.

Full company description

John Wiley & Sons, Inc., a publisher, provides authoritative content, data-driven insights, and knowledge services for the advancement of science, innovation, and learning in the United States, China, the United Kingdom, Japan, Australia, and internationally. The company's Research segment provides scientific, technical, medical, and scholarly journals, as well as related content and services in the areas of physical sciences and engineering, health sciences, social sciences, and humanities, and life sciences. This segment sells its products direct to research libraries and library consortia, as well as to researchers and professional society members, and other customers; and through independent subscription agents. The company's Learning segment offers scientific, professional, and education print and digital books; digital courseware to support students and instructors, and assessment services for businesses and professionals. This segment sells its products and services to business and leadership, technology, behavioral health, engineering/architecture, science, and professional education categories through brick-and-mortar and online retailers, wholesalers who supply such bookstores, college bookstores, individual practitioners, corporations, distributor networks, and government agencies. John Wiley & Sons, Inc. was founded in 1807 and is headquartered in Hoboken, New Jersey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

John Wiley & Sons reported revenue of $1.7B in FY2026 versus $2.1B in FY2022, a compound −5.3%/yr. Reported net income was $222M in FY2026, compounding +10.6%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$1.7B
Latest YoY
−0.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.3%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+0.9% (−1.9 + 2.8)
Revenue −5.3%/yr
FY22 $2.1B
FY23 $2.0B
FY24 $1.9B
FY25 $1.7B
FY26 $1.7B
Net income +10.6%/yr
FY22 $148M
FY23 $17.2M
FY24 −$200M
FY25 $84.2M
FY26 $222M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +1.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share +0.4 %

of which total revenue −0.5 % · buybacks/dilution +0.9 %

EBIT margin +1.7 %
Tax rate +1.6 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −2.2 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "John Wiley & Sons Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WLY

Peer Group

Publishing · 108 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +10% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 1% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.79× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Publishing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.98× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.51× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 14.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.9× · Pricier than median
PEG 13.05× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE47 · sector 39
FUTURE6 · sector 0
PAST100 · sector 22
HEALTH60 · sector 99
DIVIDEND56 · sector 55

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Frequently asked questions

Is John Wiley & Sons (WLY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $55.90 versus a price of $50.66, about +10% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of WLY?
Our model-based fair value for John Wiley & Sons is $55.90 (as of Sep 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $50.66.
What is the quality score of WLY?
John Wiley & Sons has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of John Wiley & Sons (WLY)?
John Wiley & Sons reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of WLY?
The net profit margin of John Wiley & Sons is about 9.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does John Wiley & Sons pay a dividend?
John Wiley & Sons currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.80% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 5, 2026).
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