Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media Co Ltd (002181) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · CN · Market cap 14.3B CNY (≈ $2.1B) · ISIN CNE000001931
What is Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media Co Ltd really worth?
A solid business, but trading 604% above our fair value of ¥1.35.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 9 days ago
Share price +5.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.65). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.90 – ¥19.69 · fair‑value band ¥1.01 – ¥1.65 · the ¥9.50 price screens above the ¥1.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media Co Ltd (002181) currently trades at ¥9.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.35, implying the stock looks roughly 603.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of ¥2.52 per share, and 0 of the 23 models we run sit above the ¥9.50 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at ¥0.2900, and 23 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media Co Ltd generated revenue of 598M CNY at a net margin of 12.2%. Revenue grew 3.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.7%. Net debt stands at 206M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.01 (bear case) to ¥1.65 (bull case); at ¥9.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at −86%, 002181 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Economic Profit (¥2.52) versus Growth DCF (¥0.2900). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (82).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a newspaper and media company in China.
Full company description
Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a newspaper and media company in China. The company offers integrated marketing communication services, such as print media advertising, digital media and outdoor advertising, creative planning, film and television, exhibitions and displays, event execution, and integrated media marketing communications solutions. It is also involved in AI-powered video and film, printing, cultural and creative park operation, and cultural industry investment business; and operates a series of newspapers and magazines covering sports, news, entertainment, culture, and lifestyle, under the Football, Senior Citizens' Daily, Food Guide, Guangzhou Digest, New Modern Pictorial, Read Good Books, and Stage and Screen brands, as well as new media platforms, such as Dayoo.com. In addition, the company distributes and sells newspaper and magazine through online and offline channels. The company was formerly known as Guangdong China Sunshine Media Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media Co., Ltd. in July 2012. Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media Co., Ltd. was founded in 1992 and is based in Guangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media Co Ltd reported revenue of 594M CNY in FY2025 versus 546M CNY in FY2021, a compound +2.1%/yr. Reported net income was 92.1M CNY in FY2025, compounding +0.7%/yr from FY2021.
002181 screens 604% overvalued. Compare with The New York Times Company →
Peer Group
Publishing · 108 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Publishing median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Publishing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The New York Times Company NYT | $68.16 | $41.95 | −38% |
| Pearson plc PSO | $16.07 | $16.27 | +1% |
| Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation 601928 | ¥9.20 | ¥10.07 | +9% |
| China Science Publishing & Media Ltd 601858 | ¥22.15 | ¥10.31 | −53% |
| People.cn CO., LTD 603000 | ¥16.85 | ¥4.23 | −75% |
| China South Publishing & Media Group 601098 | ¥10.16 | ¥14.66 | +44% |
| John Wiley & Sons, Inc WLY | $50.66 | $55.90 | +10% |
| Zhejiang Publishing & Media Co 601921 | ¥7.27 | ¥7.54 | +4% |
| Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co 601811 | ¥12.04 | ¥21.02 | +75% |
| Shandong Publishing&Media Co 601019 | ¥6.97 | ¥11.60 | +66% |
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