EN DE

Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co (601811) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · CN · Market cap 14.6B CNY

XW Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co 601811 · SHG
Price¥11.91
Fair Value¥21.02
Upside+76.5%
Quality65/100
Watch Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free
Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 13.4% net margin
generates free cash flow
5.07% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (12/13)
Moderate moat 45/100
Evidence: High Range ¥17.01 – ¥25.34 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥21.61 to ¥21.02 (−2.7%) since Aug 8, 2026. Share price −1.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 76% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥17.01). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (65/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Share this valuation: 𝕏 WhatsApp

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥20.90 ¥7.70 Fair Value ¥21.02 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥7.70 – ¥20.90 · fair‑value band ¥17.01 – ¥25.34 · the ¥11.91 price screens below the ¥21.02 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co (601811) currently trades at ¥11.91, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥21.02, implying the stock looks roughly 76.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co generated revenue of 11.7B CNY at a net margin of 13.4%. Revenue declined 0.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 8.5B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥17.01 (bear case) to ¥25.34 (bull case); at ¥11.91, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 76%, 601811 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥10.98 ¥12.25 ¥19.00 76
Growth DCF ¥20.99 ¥28.35 ¥39.17 72
Gordon GGM ¥5.51 ¥11.45 ¥18.17 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥20.85 ¥29.36 ¥42.82 38
Owner Earnings ¥23.23 ¥33.21 ¥49.01 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥16.92 ¥22.27 ¥29.08 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥17.83 ¥24.01 ¥31.25 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥24.23 ¥36.31 ¥49.31 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥17.94 ¥23.24 ¥30.42 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥18.77 ¥24.46 ¥32.11 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥22.90 ¥33.13 ¥46.25 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥8.64 ¥30.43 ¥40.93 54
Lynch FV ¥7.11 ¥10.16 ¥13.20 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥7.11 ¥10.16 ¥13.20 46
EPV ¥14.73 ¥16.00 ¥17.10 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥5.51 ¥11.45 ¥18.17 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥5.51 ¥9.65 ¥12.02 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥20.97 ¥27.97 ¥34.96 63
P/S Multiple ¥16.21 ¥21.61 ¥27.01 58
P/B Multiple ¥16.21 ¥21.61 ¥27.01 55
EV/EBIT ¥17.77 ¥21.31 ¥24.85 53
EV/EBITDA ¥17.30 ¥20.69 ¥24.07 54
EV/Revenue ¥15.20 ¥18.65 ¥22.11 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥6.18 ¥8.29 ¥12.37 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥20.99 ¥28.35 ¥39.17 72
Rev-Margin DCF ¥16.92 ¥22.34 ¥28.81 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥10.98 ¥12.25 ¥19.00 76
ROIC Compounder ¥15.30 ¥17.71 ¥20.71 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥18.03 ¥25.75 ¥33.48 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥25.75) versus Asset-Based (¥8.29). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Notify me when 601811 reaches fair value

Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 11.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -0.2%
Net margin 13.4%
Return on equity 10.3%
Free cash flow 1.4B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 9.5 as of Jun 15, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 9.1%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.27
Dividend yield 5.0%
Net cash 8.5B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 96
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 87
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co., Ltd. engages in the publishing and distribution businesses in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through two segments, Publication and Distribution.

Full company description

Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co., Ltd. engages in the publishing and distribution businesses in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through two segments, Publication and Distribution. The Publication segment publishes books, newspapers, periodicals, audio-visual products, and electronic products; provides printing services; and supplies printing materials. The Distribution segment provides textbooks, educational informatization, and educational equipment for primary and secondary schools, teachers, and students; retailing, distribution, and online sales of publications. The company provides intellectual property services; logistics business services; involved in wholesale and retail of pre-packaged of goods; import and export business; property leasing; accommodation and catering business; exhibition and conferences services; and advertising agency and leasing businesses. Further, the company engages in project investment and management; and organizing and planning cultural and art exchange activities. Additionally, it offers computer software development and system services; business consulting; film and television program production and distribution; and digital content. It provides its services through multi-scenario online and offline reading service systems, including website, cloud store, third-party and content e-commerce platforms, and offline distribution channels. The company was formerly known as Sichuan Xinhua Winshare Chainstore Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co., Ltd. in 2010. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Chengdu, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co reported revenue of ¥11.7B in FY2025 versus ¥10.5B in FY2021, a compound +2.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.6B in FY2025, compounding +4.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 69/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
11.7B CNY
Latest YoY
−4.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.4%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.6%
Revenue +2.9%/yr
FY21 ¥10.5B
FY22 ¥10.9B
FY23 ¥11.9B
FY24 ¥12.3B
FY25 ¥11.7B
Net income +4.7%/yr
FY21 ¥1.3B
FY22 ¥1.4B
FY23 ¥1.6B
FY24 ¥1.5B
FY25 ¥1.6B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +9.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +7.6 pp

of which total revenue +8.4 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.9 pp

EBIT margin +3.7 pp
Tax rate −0.1 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.7 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

Watch 601811: get an alert when its fair value changes →

Share or link this analysis
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601811

Peer Group

Publishing · 111 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Above median
Fair Value upside +77% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth -0% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.1% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Publishing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.96× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.25× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 4.5× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 39
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 41 · sector 21
HEALTH 0 · sector 100
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 57

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Publishing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Compare Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Communication Services stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued High-Quality StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Frequently asked questions

Is Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co (601811) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥21.02 versus a price of ¥11.91, about +76% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 601811?
Our model-based fair value for Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co is ¥21.02 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥11.91.
What is the quality score of 601811?
Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co (601811)?
Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 11.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 601811?
The net profit margin of Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co is about 13.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co pay a dividend?
Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.00% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

14 days Pro free · no card

Track Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co and try Pro for 14 days

One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.