China Science Publishing & Media Ltd (601858) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · CN · Market cap 20.8B CNY (≈ $3.1B) · ISIN CNE100002R99
What is China Science Publishing & Media Ltd really worth?
A solid business, but trading 109% above our fair value of ¥10.31.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Share price −15.2% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥12.78). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.72 – ¥48.28 · fair‑value band ¥7.81 – ¥12.78 · the ¥21.50 price screens above the ¥10.31 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
Analysis
China Science Publishing & Media Ltd (601858) currently trades at ¥21.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥10.31, implying the stock looks roughly 108.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥11.38 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the ¥21.50 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥3.21, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, China Science Publishing & Media Ltd generated revenue of 2.9B CNY at a net margin of 16.6%. Revenue declined 19.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥7.81 (bear case) to ¥12.78 (bull case); at ¥21.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at −52%, 601858 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.2125 per share, which is 2.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥11.38) versus Earnings-Based (¥3.21). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
China Science Publishing & Media Ltd. engages in publishing of books and periodicals in China. It offers academic monographs, teaching materials, supplementary teaching materials, science books, and other books, as well as academic periodicals and magazine.
Full company description
China Science Publishing & Media Ltd. engages in publishing of books and periodicals in China. It offers academic monographs, teaching materials, supplementary teaching materials, science books, and other books, as well as academic periodicals and magazine. The company also imports and exports books, periodicals, databases and other publications; sells digital products; and provides platform services and other knowledge service. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Beijing, China. China Science Publishing & Media Ltd. is a subsidiary of China Science Publishing & Media Group Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Science Publishing & Media Ltd reported revenue of 3.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound +3.4%/yr. Reported net income was 484M CNY in FY2025, compounding −0.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +7.7 % · buybacks/dilution −1.9 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
601858 screens 109% overvalued. Compare with The New York Times Company →
Peer Group
Publishing · 108 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Publishing median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Publishing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 28, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The New York Times Company NYT | $68.16 | $41.95 | −38% |
| Pearson plc PSO | $16.07 | $16.27 | +1% |
| Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation 601928 | ¥9.20 | ¥10.07 | +9% |
| People.cn CO., LTD 603000 | ¥16.85 | ¥4.23 | −75% |
| China South Publishing & Media Group 601098 | ¥10.16 | ¥14.66 | +44% |
| John Wiley & Sons, Inc WLY | $50.66 | $55.90 | +10% |
| Zhejiang Publishing & Media Co 601921 | ¥7.27 | ¥7.54 | +4% |
| Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co 601811 | ¥12.04 | ¥21.02 | +75% |
| Shandong Publishing&Media Co 601019 | ¥6.97 | ¥11.60 | +66% |
| Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media Co 002181 | ¥8.32 | ¥1.35 | −84% |
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