Vestas Wind Systems A/S (VWS) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · DK · Market cap 175B DKK
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Share price +15.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 39% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 155.69). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 82.56 – kr 276.41 · fair‑value band kr 93.41 – kr 155.69 · the kr 204.50 price screens above the kr 124.55 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Vestas Wind Systems A/S (VWS) currently trades at kr 204.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 124.55, implying the stock looks roughly 39.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Vestas Wind Systems A/S generated revenue of 19.3B DKK at a net margin of 4.4%. Revenue grew 14.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 996M DKK. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 93.41 (bear case) to kr 155.69 (bull case); at kr 204.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Analysts expect earnings well below the last reported figure (earnings in transition, for example expiring patents or contracts); a fair value that looks fair on trailing earnings may then be too optimistic. The share trades near its 52-week high and 120% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -39%, VWS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 25.66) versus Dividend Discount (kr 1.21). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Vestas Wind Systems A/S engages in the design, manufacture, installation, and services of wind turbines the United States, Denmark, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Power Solutions and Service. The Power Solutions segment offers onshore and offshore wind power plants, wind turbines, development sites, etc.
Full company description
Vestas Wind Systems A/S engages in the design, manufacture, installation, and services of wind turbines the United States, Denmark, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Power Solutions and Service. The Power Solutions segment offers onshore and offshore wind power plants, wind turbines, development sites, etc. The Service segment engages in the sale of service contracts, spare parts, and related activities. Vestas Wind Systems A/S was founded in 1898 and is headquartered in Aarhus, Denmark.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Vestas Wind Systems A/S reported revenue of kr 18.8B in FY2025 versus kr 15.6B in FY2021, a compound +4.8%/yr. Reported net income was kr 778M in FY2025, compounding +55.2%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +8.1 pp · buybacks/dilution +1.1 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
VWS screens 39% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 807 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €899.80 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €281.75 | €91.93 | -67% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.75 | -28% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 210.00 | kr 112.59 | -46% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 358.60 | kr 193.01 | -46% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥39.17 | ¥22.68 | -42% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥24.06 | ¥18.71 | -22% |
| ABB India Limited ABB | ₹7,700 | ₹1,322 | -83% |
| Cummins India Limited CUMMINSIND | ₹5,315 | ₹1,355 | -75% |
| Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited BHEL | ₹420.00 | ₹96.51 | -77% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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