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Venture Global, Inc. (VG) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $34.3B · ISIN US92333F1012

What is Venture Global, Inc. really worth?

VG Venture Global, Inc. logo Venture Global, Inc. VG · US
Price$14.48
Fair Value$14.00
Upside−3.3%
Quality36/100

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value of $14.00.

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Strengths

Solidly profitable · 18.1% net margin
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Wide moat 72/100

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +28.8 %/yr)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $8.74 to $46.57
!Weak on valuation: 29 out of 100

For context

·0.49% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range $8.74 – $46.57

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $14.42 to $14.00 (−2.9%) since Jul 19, 2026. Share price +12.8% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($8.74 to $46.57). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.

Price vs Fair Value (19 months)

$23.77 $5.90 Fair Value $14.00 Jan 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

19‑month range $5.90 – $23.77 · fair‑value band $8.74 – $46.57 · the $14.48 price screens above the $14.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Venture Global, Inc. (VG) currently trades at $14.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.00, implying the stock looks roughly 3.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $41.99 per share, and 4 of the 15 models we run sit above the $14.48 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.71, and 11 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Venture Global, Inc. generated revenue of $15.5B at a net margin of 18.1%. Revenue grew 58.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.5%. Net debt stands at $32.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $8.74 (bear case) to $46.57 (bull case); at $14.48, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 153% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −3%, VG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.6040 per share, which is 4.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EPV best evidence $4.14 $6.79 $9.11 72
ROIC Compounder $6.33 $13.65 $20.91 64
P/E Multiple $10.75 $14.33 $17.91 63
All 15 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $6.96 $48.54 $68.12 59
Lynch FV $25.08 $35.82 $46.57 57
PEG = 1.0 $25.08 $35.82 $46.57 53
EPV best evidence $4.14 $6.79 $9.11 72
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.62 $3.37 $5.34 62
DDM Multi-Stage $1.62 $2.84 $3.54 62
Multiples
P/E Multiple $10.75 $14.33 $17.91 63
P/S Multiple $4.70 $6.27 $7.84 58
P/B Multiple $3.45 $4.61 $5.76 55
EV/EBIT $2.55 $7.33 $12.10 61
EV/EBITDA $1.83 $5.23 62
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.28 $1.71 $2.56 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $8.98 $14.42 $241.53 59
ROIC Compounder $6.33 $13.65 $20.91 64
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $29.39 $41.99 $54.58 63

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($41.99) versus Asset-Based ($1.71). Highest evidence: EPV (72).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 13.0 as of Jun 6, 2026
P/S ratio 2.55 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.9600 price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.0
Dividend yield 0.5% payout 7.4%
Net margin 19.6% FY2025
Return on equity 25.5% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 13.5% avg 4y
Operating margin 25.0% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $15.5B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +58.9% 3y avg +28.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +26.7%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$6.8B FY2025
Net debt $32.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 15
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 51
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 62
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 38
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Venture Global, Inc., a liquefied natural gas (LNG) company, engages in the ownership, development, construction, and operation of LNG production facilities and associated infrastructure in the United States, Germany, France, Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and internationally.The company is involved in LNG production, natural gas transportation, and …

Full company description

Venture Global, Inc., a liquefied natural gas (LNG) company, engages in the ownership, development, construction, and operation of LNG production facilities and associated infrastructure in the United States, Germany, France, Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and internationally.The company is involved in LNG production, natural gas transportation, and regasification operations, as well as LNG sales and shipping business through LNG tankers. Its LNG projects include Calcasieu, Plaquemines, and CP2 projects. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia. Venture Global, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Venture Global Partners II, LLC.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Venture Global, Inc. reported revenue of $13.8B in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was $2.7B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 52/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$13.8B
Latest YoY
+176.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+28.8%
Value creation/yr (3Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 3 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+5.6% (5.1 + 0.5)
Revenue
FY21 $0
FY22 $6.4B
FY23 $7.9B
FY24 $5.0B
FY25 $13.8B
Net income
FY21 −$356M
FY22 $1.9B
FY23 $2.7B
FY24 $1.5B
FY25 $2.7B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Venture Global, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VG

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Midstream · 89 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −3% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 26% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 18% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 25% · Above median
Revenue growth 59% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 4.95× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 5.08× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.22× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 10.5× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.86× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE29 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 44
PAST100 · sector 42
HEALTH0 · sector 54
DIVIDEND10 · sector 80

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Enbridge Inc ENB $50.72 $35.83 −29%
The Williams Companies, Inc WMB $74.05 $11.73 −84%
Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD $39.02 $20.94 −46%
TC Energy Corporation TRP C$88.72 C$24.53 −72%
Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI $31.60 $10.92 −65%
Energy Transfer LP, ET $21.31 $11.45 −46%
MPLX LP owns and MPLX $59.25 $36.42 −39%
ONEOK, Inc OKE $95.69 $58.62 −39%
Targa Resources Corp TRGP $286.91 $79.61 −72%
Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG $280.80 $199.99 −29%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Venture Global, Inc. (VG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $14.00 versus a price of $14.48, about −3% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of VG?
Our model-based fair value for Venture Global, Inc. is $14.00 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $14.48.
What is the quality score of VG?
Venture Global, Inc. has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Venture Global, Inc. (VG)?
Venture Global, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $15.5B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of VG?
The net profit margin of Venture Global, Inc. is about 18.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 18.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Venture Global, Inc. pay a dividend?
Venture Global, Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.49% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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