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VAT Group AG (VACN) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CH · Market cap CHF 20.0B · ISIN CH0311864901

What is VAT Group AG really worth?

VG VAT Group AG VACN · SW
PriceCHF 612.60
Fair ValueCHF 132.45
Upside−78.4%
Quality80/100

A strong business, but trading 363% above our fair value of CHF 132.45.

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Strengths

Solidly profitable · 20.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 79/100

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +9.2 %/yr)
!Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
!Weak on future: 24 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 23 out of 100

For context

·1.14% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range CHF 90.90 – CHF 166.45

Fair value as of: Sep 2, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price −2.8% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 80/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 166.45). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • A fairly wide model range (CHF 90.90 to CHF 166.45) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

CHF 709.40 CHF 186.17 Fair Value CHF 132.45 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range CHF 186.17 – CHF 709.40 · fair‑value band CHF 90.90 – CHF 166.45 · the CHF 612.60 price screens above the CHF 132.45 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.

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Analysis

VAT Group AG (VACN) currently trades at CHF 612.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 132.45, implying the stock looks roughly 362.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 80/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of CHF 159.76 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the CHF 612.60 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at CHF 17.73, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, VAT Group AG generated revenue of CHF 1.1B at a net margin of 20.0%. Revenue grew 4.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 27.7%. Net debt stands at CHF 107M. Fundamentals as of Sep 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from CHF 90.90 (bear case) to CHF 166.45 (bull case); at CHF 612.60, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 141% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −52% fair-value upside, at −78%, VACN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly CHF 0.1015 per share, which is 0.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (CHF 17.73 to CHF 204.32). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence CHF 101.40 CHF 173.46 CHF 294.29 78
Growth DCF CHF 101.37 CHF 169.34 CHF 281.39 76
Owner Earnings CHF 88.20 CHF 150.57 CHF 255.16 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence CHF 101.40 CHF 173.46 CHF 294.29 78
Owner Earnings CHF 88.20 CHF 150.57 CHF 255.16 74
5Y Revenue Exit CHF 65.10 CHF 100.32 CHF 145.95 72
5Y EBITDA Exit CHF 97.99 CHF 166.31 CHF 249.97 74
5Y P/E Exit CHF 104.50 CHF 179.36 CHF 262.88 70
10Y Revenue Exit CHF 75.23 CHF 112.15 CHF 164.42 66
10Y EBITDA Exit CHF 98.30 CHF 159.76 CHF 249.23 67
10Y P/E Exit CHF 102.56 CHF 169.18 CHF 259.76 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd CHF 48.63 CHF 204.32 CHF 278.75 64
Lynch FV CHF 51.86 CHF 74.09 CHF 96.31 61
PEG = 1.0 CHF 51.86 CHF 74.09 CHF 96.31 57
EPV CHF 73.69 CHF 85.44 CHF 95.72 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM CHF 57.41 CHF 119.36 CHF 189.36 66
DDM Multi-Stage CHF 57.41 CHF 100.65 CHF 125.28 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple CHF 112.63 CHF 150.18 CHF 187.72 63
P/S Multiple CHF 53.73 CHF 71.65 CHF 89.56 58
P/B Multiple CHF 89.33 CHF 119.11 CHF 148.88 55
EV/EBIT CHF 115.88 CHF 153.43 CHF 190.98 66
EV/EBITDA CHF 105.23 CHF 139.24 CHF 173.25 67
EV/Revenue CHF 48.35 CHF 67.69 CHF 87.04 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) CHF 13.23 CHF 17.73 CHF 26.47 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF CHF 101.37 CHF 169.34 CHF 281.39 76
Rev-Margin DCF CHF 65.10 CHF 100.55 CHF 145.18 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income CHF 42.55 CHF 50.58 CHF 146.08 66
ROIC Compounder CHF 81.22 CHF 104.16 CHF 131.79 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E CHF 88.10 CHF 125.86 CHF 163.62 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (CHF 159.76) versus Asset-Based (CHF 17.73). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 85.7
P/S ratio 17.1 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) CHF 7.15 price ÷ EPS = P/E 85.7
Dividend yield 1.1% payout 97.9%
Net margin 20.0% FY2025
Return on equity 27.7% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 22.5% avg 5y
Operating margin 22.2% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) CHF 1.1B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.7% 3y avg −2.1%
EPS growth (YoY) −7.7%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow CHF 237M FY2025
Net debt CHF 107M FY2025 · ≈ 0.5 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 80/100

Of which business quality 77 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 77
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 79
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 26
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 71
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 88
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

VAT Group AG, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of vacuum and gas inlet valves, multi-valve modules, motion components, and edge-welded metal bellows. It operates in two segments, Valves and Global Service.

Full company description

VAT Group AG, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of vacuum and gas inlet valves, multi-valve modules, motion components, and edge-welded metal bellows. It operates in two segments, Valves and Global Service. The Valves segment offers vacuum valves for the semiconductor, displays, photovoltaics, and vacuum coating industries, as well as for the industrial and research sectors. The Global Service segment provides spare parts, repairs, and upgrades, as well as support services. The company offers vacuum isolation, gate, angle, inline, check, cylinder, and all-metal valves; vacuum pendulum and butterfly valves; 3 position, multi-value, and vacuum control valves; vacuum transfer valves and doors; pressure relief/venting, gas dosing, and fast closing/beam stopper valves; and flange connections, bellows, and vacuum modules. It has operations in Switzerland, rest of Europe, the United States, Japan, Korea, Singapore, China, rest of Asia, and internationally. VAT Group AG was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Solothurn, Switzerland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

VAT Group AG reported revenue of CHF 1.1B in FY2025 versus CHF 901M in FY2021, a compound +4.5%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 214M in FY2025, compounding −0.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
CHF 1.1B
Latest YoY
+13.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.1%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+12.0% (10.9 + 1.1)
Revenue +4.5%/yr
FY21 CHF 901M
FY22 CHF 1.1B
FY23 CHF 885M
FY24 CHF 942M
FY25 CHF 1.1B
Net income −0.4%/yr
FY21 CHF 217M
FY22 CHF 307M
FY23 CHF 190M
FY24 CHF 212M
FY25 CHF 214M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2025) +19.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +6.5 %

of which total revenue +9.2 % · buybacks/dilution −2.4 %

EBIT margin +1.0 %
Tax rate +2.7 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +8.1 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

VACN screens 363% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "VAT Group AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VACN

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 792 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 80 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −78% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Return on assets 12% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 85.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 31.08× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 22.96× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 104.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 83.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 3.44× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE24 · sector 21
PAST100 · sector 28
HEALTH97 · sector 96
DIVIDEND23 · sector 27

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc GEV $941.84 $131.95 −86%
SIE SIE €289.85 €139.77 −52%
Eaton Corporation ETN $402.78 $168.65 −58%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $995.02 $398.69 −60%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 206.60 kr 112.59 −46%
Cummins Inc CMI $564.40 $348.94 −38%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $281.67 $145.84 −48%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $155.18 $58.44 −62%
AMETEK, Inc AME $236.25 $125.80 −47%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $417.53 $125.76 −70%

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Frequently asked questions

Is VAT Group AG (VACN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 132.45 versus a price of CHF 612.60, about −78% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VACN?
Our model-based fair value for VAT Group AG is CHF 132.45 (as of Sep 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: CHF 612.60.
What is the quality score of VACN?
VAT Group AG has a Quality Score of 80/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of VAT Group AG (VACN)?
VAT Group AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 1.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of VACN?
The net profit margin of VAT Group AG is about 20.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 20.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does VAT Group AG pay a dividend?
VAT Group AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.14% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 2, 2026).
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