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Unum Group (UNM) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $14.3B · ISIN US91529Y1064

What is Unum Group really worth?

UG Unum Group logo Unum Group UNM · US
Price$96.57
Fair Value$67.88
Upside−29.7%
Quality49/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 42% above our fair value of $67.88.

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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −0.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.9% net margin
!Trails peers (1/15)
!Narrow moat 40/100
!Weak on past: 28 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 29 out of 100

For context

·1.43% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $50.91 – $84.85

Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 7 days ago

Share price +5.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($84.85). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$96.57 $19.57 Fair Value $67.88 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $19.57 – $96.57 · fair‑value band $50.91 – $84.85 · the $96.57 price screens above the $67.88 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

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Analysis

Unum Group (UNM) currently trades at $96.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $67.88, implying the stock looks roughly 42.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $60.09 per share, and 0 of the 4 models we run sit above the $96.57 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $46.63, and 4 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Unum Group generated revenue of $13.3B at a net margin of 5.9%. Revenue grew 8.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.1%. Net debt stands at $3.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $50.91 (bear case) to $84.85 (bull case); at $96.57, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at −30%, UNM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $2.20 per share, which is 3.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence $55.85 $58.35 $61.29 76
P/E Multiple $45.07 $60.09 $75.11 63
P/B Multiple $58.93 $78.58 $98.22 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple $45.07 $60.09 $75.11 63
P/B Multiple $58.93 $78.58 $98.22 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $34.80 $46.63 $69.59 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence $55.85 $58.35 $61.29 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($60.09) versus Asset-Based ($46.63). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 20.9
P/S ratio 1.18 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $4.62 price ÷ EPS = P/E 20.9
Dividend yield 1.4% payout 29.9%
Net margin 5.7% FY2025
Return on equity 7.1% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 2.5% avg 5y
Operating margin 10.6% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $13.3B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.5% 3y avg +3.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +33.0%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $555M FY2025
Net debt $3.7B FY2025 · ≈ 6.7 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 41
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 1
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 91
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 69
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Unum Group, together with its subsidiaries, provides financial protection benefit solutions in the United States, the United Kingdom, and Poland. It operates through Unum US, Unum International, Colonial Life, and Closed Block segments.

Full company description

Unum Group, together with its subsidiaries, provides financial protection benefit solutions in the United States, the United Kingdom, and Poland. It operates through Unum US, Unum International, Colonial Life, and Closed Block segments. The company offers group long-term and short-term disability, group life, and accidental death and dismemberment products; supplemental and voluntary products, such as voluntary benefits, individual disability, and dental and vision products; and accident, sickness, disability, life, and cancer and critical illness products. It also provides group pensions, individual life and corporate-owned life insurance, reinsurance pools and management operations, and other miscellaneous products. The company sells its products to employers for the benefit of employees. It sells its products through field sales personnel, independent brokers, consultants, and independent contractor agent sales force and brokers. Unum Group was formerly known as UnumProvident Corporation and changed its name to Unum Group in March 2007. The company was founded in 1848 and is based in Chattanooga, Tennessee.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Unum Group reported revenue of $13.1B in FY2025 versus $11.8B in FY2021, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was $739M in FY2025, compounding −6.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$13.1B
Latest YoY
+2.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.1%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−0.9% (−2.3 + 1.4)
Revenue +2.5%/yr
FY21 $11.8B
FY22 $11.9B
FY23 $12.3B
FY24 $12.8B
FY25 $13.1B
Net income −6.9%/yr
FY21 $981M
FY22 $1.4B
FY23 $1.3B
FY24 $1.8B
FY25 $739M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +9.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share +5.1 %

of which total revenue +1.9 % · buybacks/dilution +3.2 %

EBIT margin +3.0 %
Tax rate +1.3 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

UNM screens 42% overvalued. Compare with China Life Insurance Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Unum Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/UNM

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Insurance - Life · 96 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −30% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Below median
Revenue growth 9% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.34× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Life median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.29× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.07× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 25.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 13.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 1.03× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 18
FUTURE43 · sector 43
PAST28 · sector 43
HEALTH83 · sector 84
DIVIDEND29 · sector 54

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 44/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Life stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Life Insurance Company 601628 ¥37.03 ¥49.98 +35%
Ping An Insurance (Group) Company 601318 ¥55.82 ¥84.72 +52%
AIA Group 1299 HK$73.00 HK$33.57 −54%
Manulife Financial Corporation MFC C$59.80 C$38.80 −35%
Aflac Incorporated AFL $116.52 $74.34 −36%
Great-West Lifeco Inc GWO C$90.25 C$39.53 −56%
MetLife, Inc MET $96.51 $68.27 −29%
Life Insurance Corporation LICI ₹412.15 ₹392.93 −5%
China Pacific Insurance (Group) Co 601601 ¥30.20 ¥57.51 +90%
Samsung Life Insurance Co 032830 301,000 KRW 191,293 KRW −36%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Unum Group (UNM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $67.88 versus a price of $96.57, about −30% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of UNM?
Our model-based fair value for Unum Group is $67.88 (as of Aug 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $96.57.
What is the quality score of UNM?
Unum Group has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Unum Group (UNM)?
Unum Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $13.3B (latest available figure, as of Aug 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of UNM?
The net profit margin of Unum Group is about 5.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Unum Group pay a dividend?
Unum Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.43% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 29, 2026).
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