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MetLife, Inc (MET) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $59.5B

MI MetLife, Inc logo MetLife, Inc MET · US
Price$97.47
Fair Value$68.27
Upside-30.0%
Quality63/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 4.7% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
2.44% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/15)
Narrow moat 44/100
Evidence: High Range $51.20 – $85.34 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +5.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 30% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($85.34). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$99.95 $44.85 Fair Value $68.27 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $44.85 – $99.95 · fair‑value band $51.20 – $85.34 · the $97.47 price screens above the $68.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

MetLife, Inc (MET) currently trades at $97.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $68.27, implying the stock looks roughly 30.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, MetLife, Inc generated revenue of $77.6B at a net margin of 4.7%. Revenue grew 2.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $51.20 (bear case) to $85.34 (bull case); at $97.47, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 34% fair-value upside, at -30%, MET screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $40.87 $47.71 $85.69 76
Gordon GGM $24.30 $50.53 $80.16 70
P/E Multiple $51.20 $68.27 $85.34 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $24.30 $50.53 $80.16 70
DDM Multi-Stage $24.30 $42.21 $53.03 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $51.20 $68.27 $85.34 63
P/B Multiple $46.34 $61.79 $77.24 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $22.07 $29.57 $44.13 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $40.87 $47.71 $85.69 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($61.79) versus Asset-Based ($29.57). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $77.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.7%
Net margin 4.7%
Return on equity 13.0%
Free cash flow $18.1B FY2025
P/E ratio 18.9
More key figures
Operating margin 9.9%
EPS (TTM) $5.17
Dividend yield 2.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +35.9%
Net cash $1.8B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 94
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 10
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 70
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 83
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

MetLife, Inc., a financial services company, provides insurance, annuities, employee benefits, and asset management services worldwide. It operates in six segments: Group Benefits; Retirement and Income Solutions; Asia; Latin America; Europe, the Middle East and Africa; and MetLife Holdings.

Full company description

MetLife, Inc., a financial services company, provides insurance, annuities, employee benefits, and asset management services worldwide. It operates in six segments: Group Benefits; Retirement and Income Solutions; Asia; Latin America; Europe, the Middle East and Africa; and MetLife Holdings. The company offers life, dental, group short-and long-term disability, paid family and medical leave, individual disability, accidental death and dismemberment, accident and health, vision, and pet insurance, as well as prepaid legal plans; administrative services-only arrangements to employers; and general and separate account, and synthetic guaranteed interest contracts, as well as private floating rate funding agreements. It also provides pension risk transfers, institutional income annuities, structured settlements, and capital markets investment products; and other products and services, such as life insurance products and funding agreements for funding postretirement benefits, as well as company, bank, or trust-owned life insurance used to finance nonqualified benefit programs for executives. In addition, it offers fixed, indexed-linked, and variable annuities; pension products; regular savings products; whole and term life, endowments, universal and variable life, and group life products; longevity and funded reinsurance solutions; credit insurance products; accident & health products covering hospitalization, cancer, critical illness, income protection, and scheduled medical reimbursement plans; and protection against long-term health care services. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is based in New York, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

MetLife, Inc reported revenue of $77.1B in FY2025 versus $63.4B in FY2021, a compound +5.0%/yr. Reported net income was $3.4B in FY2025, compounding −16.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 68/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$77.1B
Latest YoY
+8.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.6%
Avg. growth/yr (30Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.0%
Revenue +5.0%/yr
FY21 $63.4B
FY22 $68.0B
FY23 $67.7B
FY24 $71.0B
FY25 $77.1B
Net income −16.2%/yr
FY21 $6.9B
FY22 $5.3B
FY23 $1.6B
FY24 $4.4B
FY25 $3.4B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +1.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share +6.3 pp

of which total revenue +1.1 pp · buybacks/dilution +5.2 pp

EBIT margin −4.7 pp
Tax rate +0.5 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.3 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

MET screens 30% overvalued. Compare with China Life Insurance Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MetLife, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MET

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Insurance - Life · 96 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −30% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Below median
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.66× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Life median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.10× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.77× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 3.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.4× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.49× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 26
FUTURE 14 · sector 44
PAST 52 · sector 43
HEALTH 67 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 49 · sector 55

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Life stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Life Insurance Company 601628 ¥37.33 ¥49.98 +34%
Ping An Insurance (Group) Company 601318 ¥52.60 ¥84.72 +61%
Manulife Financial Corporation 0945 HK$343.40 HK$143.17 -58%
Life Insurance Corporation LICI ₹412.15 ₹392.93 -5%
Samsung Life Insurance Co 032830 302,500 KRW 191,293 KRW -37%
China Pacific Insurance (Group) Co 601601 ¥30.48 ¥57.51 +89%
Prudential plc PUKN 545.00 MXN 499.36 MXN -8%
New China Life Insurance Company 601336 ¥58.83 ¥99.92 +70%
SBI Life Insurance Company SBILIFE ₹1,830 ₹293.11 -84%
Cathay Financial Holding 2882B 59.00 TWD 107.71 TWD +83%

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Frequently asked questions

Is MetLife, Inc (MET) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $68.27 versus a price of $97.47, about −30% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MET?
Our model-based fair value for MetLife, Inc is $68.27 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $97.47.
What is the quality score of MET?
MetLife, Inc has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of MetLife, Inc (MET)?
MetLife, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $77.6B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MET?
The net profit margin of MetLife, Inc is about 4.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does MetLife, Inc pay a dividend?
MetLife, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.80% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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