Tecnoglass Inc (TGLS) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $1.8B · ISIN US87877F1030
What is Tecnoglass Inc really worth?
Tecnoglass Inc
TGLS · US
A solid business, but trading 95% above our fair value of $20.13.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 2, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Sep 2, 2026, revised from $57.51 to $20.13 (−65.0%) since Aug 27, 2026. Share price −15.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($28.54). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide ($8.56 to $28.54). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $15.98 – $87.21 · fair‑value band $8.56 – $28.54 · the $39.26 price screens above the $20.13 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.
Analysis
Tecnoglass Inc (TGLS) currently trades at $39.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $20.13, implying the stock looks roughly 95.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $77.14 per share, and 14 of the 26 models we run sit above the $39.26 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $8.11, and 12 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Tecnoglass Inc generated revenue of $1.0B at a net margin of 14.8%. Revenue grew 12.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.0%. Net debt stands at $70.7M. Fundamentals as of Sep 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $8.56 (bear case) to $28.54 (bull case); at $39.26, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −56% fair-value upside, at −49%, TGLS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $1.79 per share, which is 8.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($77.14) versus Dividend Discount ($8.11). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Tecnoglass Inc. manufactures, supplies, and installs architectural glass, windows, and aluminum and vinyl products for commercial and residential construction markets in Colombia, the United States, Panama, and internationally.
Full company description
Tecnoglass Inc. manufactures, supplies, and installs architectural glass, windows, and aluminum and vinyl products for commercial and residential construction markets in Colombia, the United States, Panama, and internationally. The company offers low emissivity, laminated/thermo-laminated, thermo-acoustic, tempered, silk-screened, curved, and digital print glass products. It also provides aluminum products, including bars, plates, profiles, rods, and tubes for use in the manufacturing of architectural glass settings, such as windows, doors, spatial separators, and related products under the Alutions brand name. In addition, the company offers curtain wall/floating facades, stick facade systems, windows and doors, interior dividers and commercial display windows, and hurricane-proof windows; StormArmour, that are attachment for sliding doors, and other products, such as awnings, structures, and automatic doors; and other components of architectural systems. It markets and sells its products primarily under the Tecnoglass, ESWindows, Alutions, Energia Solar S.A, ES, ES Imagine Extraordinary, Eswindows, Tecnobend, Tecnoair, Tecnosmart, ECOMAX by ESWINDOWS, ESWINDOWS Interiors, ESW Windows and Walls, Solartec by Tecnoglass, Solar Windows, Componenti, ES Metals, and E-skin, Prestige by ESWINDOWS, Eli by ESWINDOWS, Alessia by ESWINDOWS, Elite Line by ESWindows, ULTRAVIEW by Tecnoglass, and MULTIMAX by ESWIDOWS brand names through internal and independent sales representatives, as well as directly to distributors. It serves developers, general contractors or installers for hotels, office buildings, shopping centers, airports, universities, hospitals, and multifamily and residential buildings. Tecnoglass Inc. was founded in 1983 and is based in Miami, Florida.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Tecnoglass Inc reported revenue of $984M in FY2025 versus $497M in FY2021, a compound +18.6%/yr. Reported net income was $160M in FY2025, compounding +23.7%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +15.3 % · buybacks/dilution −5.2 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
TGLS screens 95% overvalued. Compare with CRH plc →
Peer Group
Building Materials · 257 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 78/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CRH plc CRH | $96.05 | $69.69 | −27% |
| Holcim AG HOLN | CHF 71.04 | CHF 20.00 | −72% |
| Vulcan Materials Company VMC | $259.69 | $114.48 | −56% |
| UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO | ₹11,891 | ₹4,718 | −60% |
| Heidelberg Materials AG HEI | €170.05 | €167.96 | −1% |
| Martin Marietta Materials, Inc MLM | $543.90 | $215.31 | −60% |
| China Jushi Co 600176 | ¥40.56 | ¥13.22 | −67% |
| Amrize AG AMRZ | CHF 37.65 | CHF 29.67 | −21% |
| Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM | ₹3,293 | ₹1,245 | −62% |
| CEMEX, S.A. CX | $11.24 | $11.31 | +1% |
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