Amrize Ltd (AMRZ) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $28.1B · ISIN CH1430134226
What is Amrize Ltd really worth?
Amrize Ltd
AMRZ · US
A solid business, but trading 38% above our fair value of $31.93.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $32.28 to $31.93 (−1.1%) since Jul 13, 2026. Share price −15.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($21.16 to $44.28) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (14 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
14‑month range $42.81 – $65.21 · fair‑value band $21.16 – $44.28 · the $44.01 price screens above the $31.93 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Amrize Ltd (AMRZ) currently trades at $44.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $31.93, implying the stock looks roughly 37.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $36.39 per share, and 1 of the 23 models we run sit above the $44.01 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $16.04, and 22 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Amrize Ltd generated revenue of $11.9B at a net margin of 9.7%. Revenue grew 4.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.1%. Net debt stands at $4.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $21.16 (bear case) to $44.28 (bull case); at $44.01, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −60% fair-value upside, at −27%, AMRZ screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $1.12 per share, which is 3.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($36.39) versus Asset-Based ($16.04). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Amrize AG engages in the provision of various building solutions for infrastructure, commercial, and residential construction markets in North America. It operates through two segments, Building Materials and Building Envelope.
Full company description
Amrize AG engages in the provision of various building solutions for infrastructure, commercial, and residential construction markets in North America. It operates through two segments, Building Materials and Building Envelope. The Building Materials segment offers cement and aggregates, as well as ready-mix concrete, asphalt, and other construction materials. The Building Envelope segment provides advanced roofing and wall systems, including single-ply membranes, insulation, shingles, sheathing, waterproofing, and protective coatings; and adhesives, tapes, and sealants. The company was formerly known as Holcim North America Finance Ltd and changed its name to Amrize AG in December 2013. Amrize AG was incorporated in 2023 and is based in Zug, Switzerland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Amrize Ltd reported revenue of $11.8B in FY2025 versus $8.1B in FY2021, a compound +9.8%/yr. Reported net income was $1.2B in FY2025, compounding +9.0%/yr from FY2021.
AMRZ screens 38% overvalued. Compare with CRH plc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Amrize Chief Strategy Officer Buys 2,510 Shares in $117,769 Transaction
- Amrize (AMRZ) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
- Amrize Ltd (AMRZ) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release
Peer Group
Building Materials · 257 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 90/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CRH plc CRH | $96.05 | $69.69 | −27% |
| Holcim AG HOLN | CHF 71.04 | CHF 20.00 | −72% |
| Vulcan Materials Company VMC | $259.69 | $114.48 | −56% |
| UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO | ₹11,891 | ₹4,718 | −60% |
| Heidelberg Materials AG HEI | €170.05 | €167.96 | −1% |
| Martin Marietta Materials, Inc MLM | $543.90 | $215.31 | −60% |
| China Jushi Co 600176 | ¥40.56 | ¥13.22 | −67% |
| Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM | ₹3,293 | ₹1,245 | −62% |
| CEMEX, S.A. CX | $11.24 | $11.31 | +1% |
| James Hardie Industries plc JHX | A$41.54 | A$9.80 | −76% |
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