UltraTech Cement Limited (ULTRACEMCO) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹3.4T
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −1.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 59% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹5,899). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (₹2,402 to ₹5,899) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹5,067 – ₹13,068 · fair‑value band ₹2,402 – ₹5,899 · the ₹11,619 price screens above the ₹4,718 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
UltraTech Cement Limited (ULTRACEMCO) currently trades at ₹11,619, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹4,718, implying the stock looks roughly 59.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, UltraTech Cement Limited generated revenue of ₹885B at a net margin of 9.2%. Revenue grew 3.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.6%. Net debt stands at ₹224B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹2,402 (bear case) to ₹5,899 (bull case); at ₹11,619, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -59%, ULTRACEMCO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹5,271) versus Dividend Discount (₹1,329). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
UltraTech Cement Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of clinker, cement, ready mix concrete, and related products in India, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, and Sri Lanka.
Full company description
UltraTech Cement Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of clinker, cement, ready mix concrete, and related products in India, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, and Sri Lanka. The company offers ordinary Portland, Portland pozzolana, composite, Weather Plus, and Portland slag; white cement, wall care putty, and value-added products; ready-mix concrete; dry mix mortars, such as tile and marble binders, plasters and mortars, industrial and precision grouts, repair and rehabilitation, and flooring screed; and waterproofing products, including liquid and cement waterproofing products. It also provides masonry products; and TMT steel bars, paints, waterproofing solutions and treatments, switchboards and fittings, plywood, shuttering ply, power and hand tools, PVC pipes, sanitary ware, roofing sheets, and water storage tanks, as well as flooring materials, such as marble, granite, and semi-precious stones through its retail stores under UltraTech Home Expert Store brand name. In addition, the company operates mobile concrete labs that offers on-ground technical assessment of construction materials; and provides Vaastu, pest control, and water testing services, as well as home loans. It offers its products under UltraTech Décor, DuraFacad, Pervious, MaxSheen, AquaSeal, ThermoCon+, FreeFlow+, FireSafe, DuraPlus, CorroProtect, Litecon, iFloors, Rapid, and ZIP brands. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is based in Mumbai, India. UltraTech Cement Limited operates as a subsidiary of Grasim Industries Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
UltraTech Cement Limited reported revenue of ₹885B in FY2026 versus ₹526B in FY2022, a compound +13.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹81.7B in FY2026, compounding +2.7%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +13.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.7 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
ULTRACEMCO screens 59% overvalued. Compare with China Jushi Co →
Peer Group
Building Materials · 256 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Jushi Co 600176 | ¥43.31 | ¥13.22 | -69% |
| Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM | ₹3,308 | ₹1,245 | -62% |
| CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO | 21.71 MXN | 12.27 MXN | -43% |
| Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 | ¥17.49 | ¥26.14 | +49% |
| Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM | ₹421.00 | ₹216.73 | -49% |
| Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM | ₹25,570 | ₹8,215 | -68% |
| TCC Group 1101B | 43.15 TWD | 9.76 TWD | -77% |
| Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp 1802 | 57.60 TWD | 13.98 TWD | -76% |
| J.K. Cement Limited JKCEMENT | ₹5,349 | ₹2,184 | -59% |
| Dalmia Bharat Limited DALBHARAT | ₹1,800 | ₹1,032 | -43% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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