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Sony Group (SONYN) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · MX · Market cap 2.1T MXN

SG Sony Group SONYN · MX
Price366.00 MXN
Fair Value303.26 MXN
Upside-17.1%
Quality63/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -2.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
6.82% dividend yield
Narrow moat 41/100
Evidence: Medium Range 241.97 MXN – 430.90 MXN Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 468.94 MXN to 303.26 MXN (−35.3%) since Jul 12, 2026. Share price −1.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 17% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Our model range runs from 241.97 MXN (bear) to 430.90 MXN (bull), base 303.26 MXN. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 63/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

2,662 MXN 340.00 MXN Fair Value 303.26 MXN Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 340.00 MXN – 2,662 MXN · fair‑value band 241.97 MXN – 430.90 MXN · the 366.00 MXN price screens above the 303.26 MXN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Sony Group (SONYN) currently trades at 366.00 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 303.26 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 17.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Sony Group generated revenue of 12.5T MXN at a net margin of -2.6%. Revenue grew 15.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.4%. Net debt stands at 1.2T MXN. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 241.97 MXN (bear case) to 430.90 MXN (bull case); at 366.00 MXN, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -17%, SONYN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 3,059 MXN 4,099 MXN 5,947 MXN 80
Rev-Margin DCF 2,269 MXN 3,127 MXN 4,192 MXN 74
ROIC Compounder 2,370 MXN 2,816 MXN 3,293 MXN 72
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 2,942 MXN 4,003 MXN 6,036 MXN 38
Owner Earnings 956.33 MXN 1,239 MXN 1,780 MXN 31
5Y Revenue Exit 2,269 MXN 3,079 MXN 4,236 MXN 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 3,529 MXN 5,232 MXN 7,444 MXN 41
10Y Revenue Exit 2,444 MXN 3,203 MXN 4,062 MXN 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 3,288 MXN 4,661 MXN 6,242 MXN 37
Earnings-Based
EPV 2,326 MXN 2,695 MXN 3,023 MXN 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT 3,808 MXN 4,999 MXN 6,189 MXN 53
EV/EBITDA 4,427 MXN 5,824 MXN 7,221 MXN 54
EV/Revenue 2,021 MXN 2,786 MXN 3,551 MXN 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 691.35 MXN 926.41 MXN 1,383 MXN 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 3,059 MXN 4,099 MXN 5,947 MXN 80
Rev-Margin DCF 2,269 MXN 3,127 MXN 4,192 MXN 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder 2,370 MXN 2,816 MXN 3,293 MXN 72

Widest divergence: Multiples (4,999 MXN) versus Asset-Based (926.41 MXN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 12.5T MXN
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.3%
Net margin -2.6%
Return on equity 12.3%
Free cash flow 1.5T MXN FY2026
P/E ratio 19.7
More key figures
Operating margin 10.7%
EPS (TTM) 18.56 MXN
Dividend yield 6.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -57.4%
Net debt 1.2T MXN FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 71
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 25
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 11
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 99
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sony Group Corporation develops, designs, produces, manufactures, supplies, and sells electronic equipment, instruments, and devices for consumer, professional, and industrial use in Japan, the United States, Europe, China, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally.

Full company description

Sony Group Corporation develops, designs, produces, manufactures, supplies, and sells electronic equipment, instruments, and devices for consumer, professional, and industrial use in Japan, the United States, Europe, China, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. The company operates through Game & Network Services, Music, Pictures, Entertainment Technology & Services, and Imaging & Sensing Solutions. It develops, designs, produces, manufactures, provides, and sells smartphones and image sensors; plans, produces, manufactures, and sells music software, performances and merchandise, song lyrics and music management, licensing, animation works, and game applications. The company is also involved in the production, acquisition, sale, and distribution of motion pictures and television programs; operates television networks and direct-to-consumer distribution services; insurance business, including life insurance and non-life insurance; internet banking; production and sale of digital software add-on content; manufacturing and sales of home video game consoles; and interchangeable lens, projectors, and medical equipment. It has a strategic partnership with TCL Electronics Holdings Limited in the home entertainment sector; and a non-binding memorandum of understanding with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited for a strategic partnership regarding the development and manufacturing of image sensors. The company was formerly known as Sony Corporation and changed its name to Sony Group Corporation in April 2021. Sony Group Corporation was incorporated in 1946 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Sony Group reported revenue of 12.5T MXN in FY2026 versus 9.9T MXN in FY2022, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was −327B MXN in FY2026.

Growth Quality 57/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
12.5T MXN
Latest YoY
−3.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.4%
Revenue +5.9%/yr
FY22 9.9T MXN
FY23 11.0T MXN
FY24 13.0T MXN
FY25 13.0T MXN
FY26 12.5T MXN
Net income
FY22 882B MXN
FY23 1.0T MXN
FY24 971B MXN
FY25 1.1T MXN
FY26 −327B MXN

SONYN screens 17% overvalued. Compare with Apple Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sony Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SONYN

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Consumer Electronics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Apple Inc AAPL $304.91 $172.19 -44%
Samsung Electronics Co 005930 255,500 KRW 163,160 KRW -36%
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LG Electronics Inc 066570 205,000 KRW 98,149 KRW -52%
Sharetronic Data Technology Co 300857 ¥249.80 ¥35.52 -86%
Huaqin Co 603296 ¥79.02 ¥39.69 -50%
Goertek Inc 002241 ¥22.56 ¥21.02 -7%
LG Corp 003550 113,700 KRW 89,984 KRW -21%
Shenzhen Transsion Holdings 688036 ¥56.29 ¥56.82 +1%
Anker Innovations Limited 300866 ¥118.42 ¥78.13 -34%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sony Group (SONYN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 303.26 MXN versus a price of 366.00 MXN, about −17% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SONYN?
Our model-based fair value for Sony Group is 303.26 MXN (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 366.00 MXN.
What is the quality score of SONYN?
Sony Group has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sony Group (SONYN)?
Sony Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 12.5T MXN (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SONYN?
The net profit margin of Sony Group is about -2.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sony Group pay a dividend?
Sony Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.47% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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