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Shenzhen Transsion Holdings Co Ltd (688036) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 66.2B CNY (≈ $9.9B) · ISIN CNE100003P74

What is Shenzhen Transsion Holdings Co Ltd really worth?

ST Shenzhen Transsion Holdings Co Ltd 688036 · SHG
Price¥56.78
Fair Value¥56.82
Upside+0.1%
Quality49/100

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value of ¥56.82.

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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +11.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.1% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
!Narrow moat 42/100

For context

·2.99% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range ¥31.03 – ¥78.57

Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price −0.2% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥31.03 to ¥78.57) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥204.00 ¥50.99 Fair Value ¥56.82 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥50.99 – ¥204.00 · fair‑value band ¥31.03 – ¥78.57 · the ¥56.78 price screens below the ¥56.82 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Shenzhen Transsion Holdings Co Ltd (688036) currently trades at ¥56.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥56.82, implying the stock looks roughly 0.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥54.69 per share, and 7 of the 25 models we run sit above the ¥56.78 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥11.95, and 18 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen Transsion Holdings Co Ltd generated revenue of 68.8B CNY at a net margin of 4.1%. Revenue grew 24.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 9.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥31.03 (bear case) to ¥78.57 (bull case); at ¥56.78, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at 0%, 688036 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.4940 per share, which is 0.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence ¥15.07 ¥19.70 ¥28.10 81
Growth DCF ¥14.99 ¥19.12 ¥26.33 79
Owner Earnings ¥33.44 ¥54.69 ¥93.29 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence ¥15.07 ¥19.70 ¥28.10 81
Owner Earnings ¥33.44 ¥54.69 ¥93.29 74
5Y Revenue Exit ¥29.01 ¥49.04 ¥77.64 71
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥38.79 ¥69.85 ¥110.65 73
5Y P/E Exit ¥41.87 ¥76.42 ¥117.76 69
10Y Revenue Exit ¥23.50 ¥41.14 ¥70.82 64
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥30.97 ¥56.67 ¥99.33 66
10Y P/E Exit ¥33.04 ¥61.58 ¥105.47 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥15.26 ¥78.71 ¥108.82 64
Lynch FV ¥21.50 ¥30.71 ¥39.92 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥21.50 ¥30.71 ¥39.92 57
EPV ¥31.33 ¥34.89 ¥38.01 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥21.36 ¥44.42 ¥70.46 66
DDM Multi-Stage ¥21.36 ¥37.45 ¥46.62 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥47.14 ¥62.85 ¥78.57 63
P/S Multiple ¥28.62 ¥38.16 ¥47.70 58
P/B Multiple ¥28.62 ¥38.16 ¥47.70 55
EV/EBIT ¥60.06 ¥76.76 ¥93.47 66
EV/EBITDA ¥52.30 ¥66.41 ¥80.53 67
EV/Revenue ¥35.29 ¥46.14 ¥57.00 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥8.91 ¥11.95 ¥17.83 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥14.99 ¥19.12 ¥26.33 79
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥16.85 ¥19.73 ¥33.24 74
ROIC Compounder ¥34.50 ¥42.87 ¥53.50 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥37.89 ¥54.13 ¥70.37 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥54.69) versus Asset-Based (¥11.95). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 23.4
P/S ratio 0.92 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥2.43 price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.4
Dividend yield 3.0% payout 70.0%
Net margin 3.9% FY2025
Return on equity 13.5% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 12.3% avg 5y
Operating margin 6.9% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 68.8B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +24.6% 3y avg +12.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +41.9%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 437M CNY FY2025
Net cash 9.7B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 6
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 11
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 90
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 63
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Shenzhen Transsion Holdings Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides smart devices and mobile services in Africa, South Asia, Southeast Asia, the Middle East, Latin America, and internationally.

Full company description

Shenzhen Transsion Holdings Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides smart devices and mobile services in Africa, South Asia, Southeast Asia, the Middle East, Latin America, and internationally. The company offers mobile phones, feature phones, and smartphones under the TECNO, itel, and Infinix brands; after-sales services under the Carlcare brand; smart accessories under the oraimo brand; home appliances under the Syinix brand; and mobile internet services and digital products. It also develops smart terminal operating systems, such as HiOS, itelOS, and XOS, as well as independent application software platforms. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shenzhen Transsion Holdings Co Ltd reported revenue of 65.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 49.4B CNY in FY2021, a compound +7.4%/yr. Reported net income was 2.6B CNY in FY2025, compounding −9.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
65.6B CNY
Latest YoY
−4.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.2%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+1.9% (−1.1 + 3.0)
Revenue +7.4%/yr
FY21 49.4B CNY
FY22 46.6B CNY
FY23 62.3B CNY
FY24 68.7B CNY
FY25 65.6B CNY
Net income −9.8%/yr
FY21 3.9B CNY
FY22 2.5B CNY
FY23 5.5B CNY
FY24 5.5B CNY
FY25 2.6B CNY

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shenzhen Transsion Holdings Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688036

Peer Group

Consumer Electronics · 127 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside +0% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 25% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Consumer Electronics median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 23.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.23× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.96× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 22.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 16.1× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE33 · sector 7
FUTURE100 · sector 7
PAST54 · sector 16
HEALTH99 · sector 97
DIVIDEND60 · sector 43

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Consumer Electronics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Samsung Electronics Co 005930 257,000 KRW 163,160 KRW −37%
Sony Group SONY $24.07 $28.28 +17%
Xiaomi Corporation 81810 HK$24.16 HK$38.03 +57%
LG Electronics Inc 066570 201,500 KRW 98,149 KRW −51%
Sharetronic Data Technology Co 300857 ¥254.49 ¥35.52 −86%
Huaqin Co 603296 ¥78.49 ¥39.69 −49%
Goertek Inc 002241 ¥22.11 ¥21.02 −5%
LG Corp 003550 113,700 KRW 89,984 KRW −21%
Dixon Technologies (India) Limited DIXON ₹14,495 ₹4,022 −72%
Anker Innovations Limited 300866 ¥118.42 ¥78.13 −34%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shenzhen Transsion Holdings Co Ltd (688036) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥56.82 versus a price of ¥56.78, about +0% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 688036?
Our model-based fair value for Shenzhen Transsion Holdings Co Ltd is ¥56.82 (as of Aug 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥56.78.
What is the quality score of 688036?
Shenzhen Transsion Holdings Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shenzhen Transsion Holdings Co Ltd (688036)?
Shenzhen Transsion Holdings Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 68.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688036?
The net profit margin of Shenzhen Transsion Holdings Co Ltd is about 4.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shenzhen Transsion Holdings Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Shenzhen Transsion Holdings Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.99% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 21, 2026).
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