Nuscale Power Corp (SMR) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $2.9B · ISIN US67079K1007
What is Nuscale Power Corp really worth?
Nuscale Power Corp
SMR · US
Below-average quality, and trading another 40% above our fair value of $6.99.
Risks
Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated today
Share price +2.7% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($9.17). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (22/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range ($4.11 to $9.17) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.92 – $53.43 · fair‑value band $4.11 – $9.17 · the $9.75 price screens above the $6.99 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
Analysis
Nuscale Power Corp (SMR) currently trades at $9.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.99, implying the stock looks roughly 39.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $10.25 per share, and 2 of the 3 models we run sit above the $9.75 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $2.26, and 1 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $18.7M. It earns a return on equity of −83.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $836M. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $4.11 (bear case) to $9.17 (bull case); at $9.75, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −52% fair-value upside, at −28%, SMR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($10.25) versus Asset-Based ($2.26). Highest evidence: DDM Multi-Stage (65).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 6
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
NuScale Power Corporation provides small modular reactor technology solutions. It offers NuScale Power Module (NPM), a light water nuclear reactor that can generate 77 megawatts of electricity (MWe).
Full company description
NuScale Power Corporation provides small modular reactor technology solutions. It offers NuScale Power Module (NPM), a light water nuclear reactor that can generate 77 megawatts of electricity (MWe). The company also provides design and nuclear regulatory licensing basis information to construct and operate the power plant; and licensing, design, development, construction, operation, and maintenance of the power plant. In addition, it offers regulatory licensing support services; start-up testing and commissioning support; accredited training programs to support initial and ongoing power plant operations; management of all aspects of the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission required inspections, tests, analysis, and acceptance criteria process; NuScale Power Module mechanical handling; initial and ongoing fuel bundle loading and movement; design engineering management during commercial operation; operations and maintenance program management; procurement and spare parts management; nuclear fuel management, including reload analysis; and outage planning and execution support services. The company has a strategic partnership with Ebara Elliott Energy for the development, demonstration, and testing of industrial scale compressors using power modules. NuScale Power Corporation was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Corvallis, Oregon.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Nuscale Power Corp reported revenue of $31.5M in FY2025 versus $2.9M in FY2021, a compound +82.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$356M in FY2025.
SMR screens 40% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Bloom Energy vs. NuScale Power: Which Energy Innovator Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?
- NuScale Power Rises 4%, Oklo Climbs 3% as Risk Appetite Returns, Uranium Energy Ticks Up
- Even Elon Musk Now Admits Natural Gas Isn't Going Away. Here's What That Means for Nuclear Energy Stocks, Including NuScale Power and Oklo
- Can NuScale Power (SMR) Cut SMR Timelines With Nuclear Specific AI Tools?
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 792 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc GEV | $941.84 | $131.95 | −86% |
| SIE SIE | €289.85 | €139.77 | −52% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $402.78 | $168.65 | −58% |
| Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH | $995.02 | $398.69 | −60% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 206.60 | kr 112.59 | −46% |
| Cummins Inc CMI | $564.40 | $348.94 | −38% |
| Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW | $281.67 | $145.84 | −48% |
| Emerson Electric Co EMR | $155.18 | $58.44 | −62% |
| AMETEK, Inc AME | $236.25 | $125.80 | −47% |
| Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK | $417.53 | $125.76 | −70% |
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