SailPoint, Inc. Common Stock (SAIL) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $8.6B · ISIN US78781J1097
What is SailPoint, Inc. Common Stock really worth?
SailPoint, Inc. Common Stock
SAIL · US
Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Below-average quality, and trading another 983% above our fair value of $1.79.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated today
Share price +11.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.14). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (19 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
19‑month range $10.49 – $25.70 · fair‑value band $1.43 – $2.14 · the $19.39 price screens above the $1.79 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
Analysis
SailPoint, Inc. Common Stock (SAIL) currently trades at $19.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.79, implying the stock looks roughly 983.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 7 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Over the trailing twelve months, SailPoint, Inc. Common Stock generated revenue of $1.1B at a net margin of −25.2%. Revenue grew 22.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −42.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $340M. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.43 (bear case) to $2.14 (bull case); at $19.39, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 88% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −91%, SAIL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($1,448) versus Multiples ($1.79). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (69).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
SailPoint, Inc. delivers solutions to enable identity security for the enterprise in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally.
Full company description
SailPoint, Inc. delivers solutions to enable identity security for the enterprise in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. Its solutions enable organizations to establish, control, and automate policies that help define and maintain a robust security posture and achieve regulatory compliance; and address various types of systems and identities, including data and applications, employee identities, non-employee identities, and machine identities, as well as enable smarter access decisions, improve business processes, and provide deeper understanding of identity and access. The company offers Identity Security Cloud, a cloud-based identity security solution to discover, manage, and secure all enterprise identity types, as well as the data and cloud infrastructure; and IdentityIQ, a customer-hosted identity security solution. It also provides SailPoint platform, a security platform engineered to unify identity, data, and security intelligence in real time. It serves financial services, media, energy and utilities, technology, life sciences, and healthcare, as well as government agencies and public universities. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
SailPoint, Inc. Common Stock reported revenue of $1.1B in FY2026 versus $365M in FY2021, a compound +24.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$270M in FY2026.
SAIL screens 983% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 369 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $480.35 | $365.74 | −24% |
| Oracle Corporation ORCL | $151.94 | $117.84 | −22% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $166.00 | $61.46 | −63% |
| Synopsys, Inc SNPS | $442.61 | $101.19 | −77% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$111.01 | A$70.69 | −36% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $105.26 | $71.79 | −32% |
| NetApp, Inc NTAP | $190.64 | $154.83 | −19% |
| Adyen N.V ADYEN | €1,007 | €707.53 | −30% |
| MongoDB, Inc MDB | $440.58 | $93.91 | −79% |
| Okta, Inc OKTA | $166.23 | $30.50 | −82% |
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