Rayonier Inc (RYN) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $6.3B · ISIN US7549071030
What is Rayonier Inc really worth?
Rayonier Inc
RYN · US
A solid business, but trading 104% above our fair value of $9.96.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 9 days ago
Share price −7.3% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($12.65). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $19.26 – $33.96 · fair‑value band $7.28 – $12.65 · the $20.32 price screens above the $9.96 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
Rayonier Inc (RYN) currently trades at $20.32, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.96, implying the stock looks roughly 104.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of $11.84 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the $20.32 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $4.92, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Rayonier Inc generated revenue of $678M at a net margin of 68.6%. Revenue grew 233.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.8%. Net debt stands at $230M. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $7.28 (bear case) to $12.65 (bull case); at $20.32, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −51%, RYN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Economic Profit ($11.84) versus Asset-Based ($4.92). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Rayonier Inc. is a land resources real estate investment trust (REIT) with a portfolio comprising over four million acres in the U.S. South and U.S. Northwest. The company is focused on managing its timberlands on a sustainable basis while optimizing its overall portfolio value by delivering land to its highest and best use.
Full company description
Rayonier Inc. is a land resources real estate investment trust (REIT) with a portfolio comprising over four million acres in the U.S. South and U.S. Northwest. The company is focused on managing its timberlands on a sustainable basis while optimizing its overall portfolio value by delivering land to its highest and best use. Rayonier also operates six sawmills, an industrial-grade plywood mill, residential and commercial real estate developments, and a rural land sales program. Rayonier is committed to corporate responsibility, third-party forest certification, and supporting climate change mitigation through its land-based solutions business. Rayonier Inc. was incorporated in 1926 in North Carolina and is based in Yulee, Florida.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Rayonier Inc reported revenue of $485M in FY2025 versus $1.1B in FY2021, a compound −18.7%/yr. Reported net income was $474M in FY2025, compounding +32.8%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +4.2 % · buybacks/dilution −2.2 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
RYN screens 104% overvalued. Compare with Equinix, Inc →
Peer Group
REIT - Specialty · 31 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Specialty median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 46/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Specialty stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Equinix, Inc EQIX | $1,044 | $199.31 | −81% |
| American Tower Corporation AMT | $176.23 | $130.57 | −26% |
| Digital Realty Trust, Inc DLR | $185.47 | $60.12 | −68% |
| Iron Mountain Incorporated IRM | $117.40 | $40.40 | −66% |
| Crown Castle Inc CCI | $74.03 | $37.67 | −49% |
| SBA Communications Corporation SBAC | $190.95 | $143.83 | −25% |
| Weyerhaeuser Company WY | $23.38 | $8.42 | −64% |
| Lamar Advertising Company LAMR | $151.72 | $114.66 | −24% |
| Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc GLPI | $42.08 | $36.60 | −13% |
| OUTFRONT Media Inc OUT | $30.03 | $13.07 | −56% |
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