Outfront Media Inc (OUT) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $5.5B · ISIN US69007J3041
What is Outfront Media Inc really worth?
Outfront Media Inc
OUT · US
Below-average quality, and trading another 125% above our fair value of $13.07.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $12.00 to $13.07 (+8.9%) since Jul 27, 2026. Share price −8.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($16.50). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $6.94 – $33.81 · fair‑value band $9.36 – $16.50 · the $29.40 price screens above the $13.07 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Outfront Media Inc (OUT) currently trades at $29.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.07, implying the stock looks roughly 124.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $14.70 per share, and 1 of the 16 models we run sit above the $29.40 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $1.46, and 15 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Outfront Media Inc generated revenue of $1.9B at a net margin of 10.0%. Revenue grew 10.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 26.8%. Net debt stands at $4.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $9.36 (bear case) to $16.50 (bull case); at $29.40, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 98% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −56%, OUT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($14.70) versus Growth DCF ($1.46). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
OUTFRONT Media Inc. is one of the largest and most trusted out-of-home media companies in the U.S., helping brands connect with audiences in the moments and environments that matter most. As OUTFRONT evolves, it defines a new era of in-real-life (IRL) marketing, turning public spaces into platforms for creativity, connection, and cultural relevance.
Full company description
OUTFRONT Media Inc. is one of the largest and most trusted out-of-home media companies in the U.S., helping brands connect with audiences in the moments and environments that matter most. As OUTFRONT evolves, it defines a new era of in-real-life (IRL) marketing, turning public spaces into platforms for creativity, connection, and cultural relevance. With a nationwide footprint across billboards, digital displays, transit systems, and other out-of-home formats, OUTFRONT turns creative into powerful real-world experiences. Its in-house agency, OUTFRONT STUDIOS, and award-winning innovation team, XLabs, deliver standout storytelling, supported by advanced technology and data tools that can drive measurable impact. OUTFRONT Media Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is based in New York, United States.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Outfront Media Inc reported revenue of $1.8B in FY2025 versus $1.5B in FY2021, a compound +5.8%/yr. Reported net income was $147M in FY2025, compounding +42.5%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
OUT screens 125% overvalued. Compare with Equinix, Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Is Outfront Media (OUT) a Solid Growth Stock? 3 Reasons to Think "Yes"
- OUTFRONT Media (OUT), What Is Behind Its Latest Attention?
- Oversold Conditions For OUTFRONT Media (OUT)
- Bart Scott on Jets' Partnership With Outfront
Peer Group
REIT - Specialty · 31 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Specialty median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 44/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Specialty stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Equinix, Inc EQIX | $1,044 | $199.31 | −81% |
| American Tower Corporation AMT | $176.23 | $130.57 | −26% |
| Digital Realty Trust, Inc DLR | $185.47 | $60.12 | −68% |
| Iron Mountain Incorporated IRM | $117.40 | $40.40 | −66% |
| Crown Castle Inc CCI | $74.03 | $37.67 | −49% |
| SBA Communications Corporation SBAC | $190.95 | $143.83 | −25% |
| Weyerhaeuser Company WY | $23.38 | $8.42 | −64% |
| Lamar Advertising Company LAMR | $151.72 | $114.66 | −24% |
| Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc GLPI | $42.08 | $36.60 | −13% |
| Rayonier Inc RYN | $21.25 | $9.96 | −53% |
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