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Equinix Inc (EQIX) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $99.5B · ISIN US29444U7000

What is Equinix Inc really worth?

EI Equinix Inc logo Equinix Inc EQIX · US
Price$1,041
Fair Value$199.31
Upside−80.9%
Quality49/100

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

Below-average quality, and trading another 422% above our fair value of $199.31.

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Strengths

Solidly profitable · 14.9% net margin
Wide moat 66/100

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +9.1 %/yr)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/14)
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

For context

·1.85% dividend yield
Evidence: Low Range $174.53 – $290.88

Fair value as of: Sep 1, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price −1.0% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($290.88). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$1,116 $467.58 Fair Value $199.31 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $467.58 – $1,116 · fair‑value band $174.53 – $290.88 · the $1,041 price screens above the $199.31 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.

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Analysis

Equinix Inc (EQIX) currently trades at $1,041, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $199.31, implying the stock looks roughly 422.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $302.95 per share, and 0 of the 9 models we run sit above the $1,041 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $96.17, and 9 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Equinix Inc generated revenue of $9.5B at a net margin of 14.9%. Revenue grew 12.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.1%. Net debt stands at $21.0B. Fundamentals as of Sep 1, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $174.53 (bear case) to $290.88 (bull case); at $1,041, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −81%, EQIX screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence $125.73 $138.24 $188.32 74
EV/EBITDA $345.09 $513.76 $682.42 66
Gordon GGM $172.79 $359.27 $569.94 64
All 9 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $172.79 $359.27 $569.94 64
DDM Multi-Stage $172.79 $302.95 $377.06 64
Multiples
P/S Multiple $174.53 $232.70 $290.88 58
P/B Multiple $174.53 $232.70 $290.88 55
EV/EBIT $148.27 $251.33 $354.39 64
EV/EBITDA $345.09 $513.76 $682.42 66
EV/Revenue $9.61 $82.69 $155.76 47
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $71.77 $96.17 $143.53 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence $125.73 $138.24 $188.32 74

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($302.95) versus Asset-Based ($96.17). Highest evidence: Residual Income (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 72.2
P/S ratio 10.5 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $14.42 price ÷ EPS = P/E 72.2
Dividend yield 1.8% payout 133%
Net margin 14.6% FY2025
Return on equity 10.1% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 4.1% avg 5y
Operating margin 24.3% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $9.5B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.1% 3y avg +8.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +20.0%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$400M FY2025
Net debt $21.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 1, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 30
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 38
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 57
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 78
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 66
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Equinix, Inc. shortens the path to boundless connectivity anywhere in the world. Its digital infrastructure, data center footprint and interconnected ecosystems empower innovations that enhance our work, life and planet.

Full company description

Equinix, Inc. shortens the path to boundless connectivity anywhere in the world. Its digital infrastructure, data center footprint and interconnected ecosystems empower innovations that enhance our work, life and planet. Equinix connects economies, countries, organizations and communities, delivering seamless digital experiences and cutting-edge AI quickly, efficiently and everywhere. Equinix, Inc. was established on June 22, 1998 and is based in Redwood City, United States.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Equinix Inc reported revenue of $9.3B in FY2025 versus $6.6B in FY2021, a compound +8.7%/yr. Reported net income was $1.4B in FY2025, compounding +28.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 46/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$9.3B
Latest YoY
+5.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (26Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+61.3%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+21.8% (20.0 + 1.8)
Revenue +8.7%/yr
FY21 $6.6B
FY22 $7.3B
FY23 $8.2B
FY24 $8.7B
FY25 $9.3B
Net income +28.2%/yr
FY21 $500M
FY22 $704M
FY23 $969M
FY24 $815M
FY25 $1.4B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2025) +19.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +7.5 %

of which total revenue +12.7 % · buybacks/dilution −4.6 %

EBIT margin −0.7 %
Tax rate +0.7 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +11.0 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

EQIX screens 422% overvalued. Compare with American Tower Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Equinix Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EQIX

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

REIT - Specialty · 31 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −81% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 24% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.8% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 1.24× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Specialty median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 72.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 7.03× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 10.45× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 27.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 3.35× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE61 · sector 24
PAST40 · sector 26
HEALTH38 · sector 75
DIVIDEND37 · sector 100

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Specialty stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 1, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
American Tower Corporation AMT $176.23 $130.57 −26%
Digital Realty Trust, Inc DLR $185.47 $60.12 −68%
Iron Mountain Incorporated IRM $117.40 $40.40 −66%
Crown Castle Inc CCI $74.03 $37.67 −49%
SBA Communications Corporation SBAC $190.95 $143.83 −25%
Weyerhaeuser Company WY $23.38 $8.42 −64%
Lamar Advertising Company LAMR $151.72 $114.66 −24%
Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc GLPI $42.08 $36.60 −13%
Rayonier Inc RYN $21.25 $9.96 −53%
OUTFRONT Media Inc OUT $30.03 $13.07 −56%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Equinix Inc (EQIX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $199.31 versus a price of $1,041, about −81% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EQIX?
Our model-based fair value for Equinix Inc is $199.31 (as of Sep 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1,041.
What is the quality score of EQIX?
Equinix Inc has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Equinix Inc (EQIX)?
Equinix Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $9.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 1, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of EQIX?
The net profit margin of Equinix Inc is about 14.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Equinix Inc pay a dividend?
Equinix Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.85% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 1, 2026).
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