Rapid7 Inc (RPD) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $450M · ISIN US7534221046
What is Rapid7 Inc really worth?
Rapid7 Inc
RPD · US
A solid business, but trading 93% above our fair value of $5.95.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Share price +6.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($7.50). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $5.05 – $140.13 · fair‑value band $5.95 – $7.50 · the $11.47 price screens above the $5.95 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
Analysis
Rapid7 Inc (RPD) currently trades at $11.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.95, implying the stock looks roughly 92.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $14.75 per share, and 10 of the 22 models we run sit above the $11.47 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $1.49, and 12 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Rapid7 Inc generated revenue of $859M at a net margin of 2.6%. Revenue declined 0.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.7%. Net debt stands at $782M. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $5.95 (bear case) to $7.50 (bull case); at $11.47, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 131% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −48%, RPD screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.2378 per share, which is 4.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($14.75) versus Dividend Discount ($1.49). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Rapid7, Inc. provides cybersecurity software and services under the Rapid7, Nexpose, and Metasploit brand names. It offers Rapid7 Agent, a software-based agent that is used on assets across on-premises and cloud environments to centralize and monitor data on company's platform; Rapid7 Network Sensor that analyzes raw end-to-end network traffic to increase …
Full company description
Rapid7, Inc. provides cybersecurity software and services under the Rapid7, Nexpose, and Metasploit brand names. It offers Rapid7 Agent, a software-based agent that is used on assets across on-premises and cloud environments to centralize and monitor data on company's platform; Rapid7 Network Sensor that analyzes raw end-to-end network traffic to increase visibility into user activity, pinpoint real threats, and investigations; Rapid7 Cloud Event Data Harvesting that offers visibility into changes made to cloud resources; and third-party integrations and ecosystem, as well as orchestration and automation solutions. It also offers various platforms, including Rapid7 managed threat complete consisting of managed detection response that delivers end-to-end threat detection and response; Incident Command, a security information and event management, and extended detection and response solution; Incident Response Services to prepare and respond to potential breaches; Threat Intelligence; Managed Digital Risk Protection; Exposure Command, an exposure management to provide attack surface visibility; and Command Essentials to provide strong security for workloads leveraging real-time visibility, identity analysis, and automated remediation. In addition, it provides Surface Command, a Cyber Asset Attack Service Management solution to detect and prioritize security issues from endpoint to cloud; Vector Command, a continuous red-teaming service that validates the external attack surface exposures and tests defenses; Rapid7 Cloud Security, a cloud risk and compliance management solution; Rapid7 Application Security, a dynamic application security testing tool; and Rapid7 Vulnerability Management, a vulnerability management solution that provides visibility across on-premise and remote endpoints for security. Further, it offers offloads day-to-day, advisory, and professional services. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Rapid7 Inc reported revenue of $860M in FY2025 versus $535M in FY2021, a compound +12.6%/yr. Reported net income was $23.4M in FY2025.
RPD screens 93% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Autodesk, Qualys, Rapid7, Sprout Social, and Tenable Shares Skyrocket, What You Need To Know
- Rapid7 (RPD) Bets On A Sharper Focus To Reverse Its Slide
- Rapid7, Tenable, CrowdStrike, Twilio, and Datadog Shares Plummet, What You Need To Know
- Rapid7 Finds Nearly Two-Thirds of Vulnerabilities Exploited in Q2 2026 Required No User Interaction to Initiate
Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 369 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 28, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $480.35 | $365.74 | −24% |
| Oracle Corporation ORCL | $151.94 | $117.84 | −22% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $166.00 | $61.46 | −63% |
| Synopsys, Inc SNPS | $442.61 | $101.19 | −77% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$111.01 | A$70.69 | −36% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $105.26 | $71.79 | −32% |
| NetApp, Inc NTAP | $190.64 | $154.83 | −19% |
| Adyen N.V ADYEN | €1,007 | €707.53 | −30% |
| MongoDB, Inc MDB | $440.58 | $93.91 | −79% |
| Okta, Inc OKTA | $166.23 | $30.50 | −82% |
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