Radware Ltd (RDWR) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $1.1B · ISIN IL0010834765
What is Radware Ltd really worth?
Radware Ltd
RDWR · US
A solid business, but trading 232% above our fair value of $8.60.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price −0.7% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($10.23). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $14.38 – $41.74 · fair‑value band $6.97 – $10.23 · the $28.53 price screens above the $8.60 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
Analysis
Radware Ltd (RDWR) currently trades at $28.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.60, implying the stock looks roughly 231.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $14.38 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $28.53 price. Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $3.73, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Radware Ltd generated revenue of $310M at a net margin of 6.3%. Revenue grew 10.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $88.1M. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $6.97 (bear case) to $10.23 (bull case); at $28.53, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −70%, RDWR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.2990 per share, which is 3.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($14.38) versus Dividend Discount ($0.3400). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Radware Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and markets cyber security and application delivery solutions for cloud, on-premises, and software defined data centers. The company operates in two segments, Radware's Core Business and The Hawks' Business.
Full company description
Radware Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and markets cyber security and application delivery solutions for cloud, on-premises, and software defined data centers. The company operates in two segments, Radware's Core Business and The Hawks' Business. It offers cloud application protection service, cloud WAF, bot manager, API protection, web DDoS protection, client-side protection, threat intelligence, Kubernetes WAAP, and Alteon integrated WAF; cloud DDoS protection service, web DDoS protection defencepro X, cyber controller, AI SOC Xpert, and firewall-as-a-service; and Alteon, linkproof NG, and SSL inspection services. The company serves healthcare, government, online business, SaaS, education, open banking, MSSP solutions, and financial services through independent distributors, which include value added resellers, original equipment manufacturers, and system integrators. It operates in the United States, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. Radware Ltd. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Tel Aviv, Israel.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Radware Ltd reported revenue of $302M in FY2025 versus $286M in FY2021, a compound +1.3%/yr. Reported net income was $20.3M in FY2025, compounding +26.9%/yr from FY2021.
RDWR screens 232% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 369 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $480.35 | $365.74 | −24% |
| Oracle Corporation ORCL | $151.94 | $117.84 | −22% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $166.00 | $61.46 | −63% |
| Synopsys, Inc SNPS | $442.61 | $101.19 | −77% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$111.01 | A$70.69 | −36% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $105.26 | $71.79 | −32% |
| NetApp, Inc NTAP | $190.64 | $154.83 | −19% |
| Adyen N.V ADYEN | €1,007 | €707.53 | −30% |
| MongoDB, Inc MDB | $440.58 | $93.91 | −79% |
| Okta, Inc OKTA | $166.23 | $30.50 | −82% |
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