Rubrik, Inc. (RBRK) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $18.1B · ISIN US7811541090
What is Rubrik, Inc. really worth?
Rubrik, Inc.
RBRK · US
Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Below-average quality, and trading another 738% above our fair value of $11.00.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price +13.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($15.27). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($6.72 to $15.27) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (2 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
28‑month range $28.65 – $107.02 · fair‑value band $6.72 – $15.27 · the $92.14 price screens above the $11.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
Analysis
Rubrik, Inc. (RBRK) currently trades at $92.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.00, implying the stock looks roughly 737.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $30.32 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the $92.14 price. Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $12.94, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Rubrik, Inc. generated revenue of $1.3B at a net margin of −26.5%. Revenue grew 46.3% year over year. Net debt stands at $751M. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $6.72 (bear case) to $15.27 (bull case); at $92.14, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 118% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −88%, RBRK screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($30.32) versus Multiples ($12.94). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (70).
Notify me when RBRK reaches fair value
Put RBRK on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.
Set up alert →Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Rubrik, Inc. provides data security solutions to individuals and businesses worldwide. The company offers enterprise data protection, unstructured data protection, cloud data protection, SaaS data protection solutions, and identity provider services protection; data threat analytics; data security posture; identity recovery and resilience services; and …
Full company description
Rubrik, Inc. provides data security solutions to individuals and businesses worldwide. The company offers enterprise data protection, unstructured data protection, cloud data protection, SaaS data protection solutions, and identity provider services protection; data threat analytics; data security posture; identity recovery and resilience services; and cyber recovery solutions. It also provides RUBY, an AI agent for cyber resilience designed to scale data security operations through automation; SENTRYAI, a proprietary AI deep learning-based platform for system health monitoring; and RUBRIK UNIVERSITY, which includes instructor-led training with hands-on labs, on-demand e-learning courses, and certification exams, as well as offers cloud services. It serves financial, retail, trade, transportation, energy, industrial, healthcare and life science, education, technology, media, communications, services, and public sectors. Rubrik, Inc. has strategic collaboration with MEDITECH to offer native cyber resilience to MEDITECH self-hosted cloud and on-premises solutions. Rubrik, Inc. was formerly known as Scaledata, Inc. and changed its name to Rubrik, Inc. in October 2014. The company was incorporated in 2013 and is based in Palo Alto, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Rubrik, Inc. reported revenue of $1.3B in FY2026 versus $506M in FY2022, a compound +27.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$349M in FY2026.
RBRK screens 738% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 369 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Insider activity: 66/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $480.35 | $365.74 | −24% |
| Oracle Corporation ORCL | $151.94 | $117.84 | −22% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $166.00 | $61.46 | −63% |
| Synopsys, Inc SNPS | $442.61 | $101.19 | −77% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$111.01 | A$70.69 | −36% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $105.26 | $71.79 | −32% |
| NetApp, Inc NTAP | $190.64 | $154.83 | −19% |
| Adyen N.V ADYEN | €1,007 | €707.53 | −30% |
| MongoDB, Inc MDB | $440.58 | $93.91 | −79% |
| Okta, Inc OKTA | $166.23 | $30.50 | −82% |
Compare Rubrik, Inc. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Technology stocks →
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
Discover tools
Frequently asked questions
Is Rubrik, Inc. (RBRK) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of RBRK?
What is the quality score of RBRK?
What is the revenue of Rubrik, Inc. (RBRK)?
What is the net profit margin of RBRK?
Watch Rubrik, Inc. in the live analysis
One click puts Rubrik, Inc. on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.