Prudential Financial, Inc. (PRU) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $41.4B · ISIN US7443201022
What is Prudential Financial, Inc. really worth?
A solid business, but trading 45% above our fair value of $85.13.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price −0.3% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($106.41). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $65.54 – $125.13 · fair‑value band $63.84 – $106.41 · the $123.20 price screens above the $85.13 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
Analysis
Prudential Financial, Inc. (PRU) currently trades at $123.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $85.13, implying the stock looks roughly 44.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $130.75 per share, and 2 of the 6 models we run sit above the $123.20 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $62.57, and 4 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Prudential Financial, Inc. generated revenue of $63.3B at a net margin of 5.5%. Revenue grew 15.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.7%. Net debt stands at $3.2B. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $63.84 (bear case) to $106.41 (bull case); at $123.20, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at −31%, PRU screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $2.88 per share, which is 3.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($130.75) versus Asset-Based ($62.57). Highest evidence: Residual Income (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Prudential Financial, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides financial products and services in the United States, Japan and internationally. It operates through PGIM, Retirement Strategies, Group Insurance, Individual Life, and International Businesses segments.
Full company description
Prudential Financial, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides financial products and services in the United States, Japan and internationally. It operates through PGIM, Retirement Strategies, Group Insurance, Individual Life, and International Businesses segments. The PGIM segment offers investment management services and solutions related to public fixed income, public equity, real estate debt and equity, private credit and other alternatives, and multi-asset class strategies to institutional and retail clients, as well as its insurance and retirement businesses. The Retirement Strategies segment provides a range of retirement investment, and income products and services to retirement plan sponsors in the public, private, and not-for-profit sectors; group annuities and other products; international reinsurance; investment only products; and FlexGuard suite, Fixed annuities, and variable annuities, as well as develops and distributes individual variable and fixed annuity products. The Group Insurance segment offers various group life, and long-term and short-term group disability, as well as group corporate-, bank-, and trust-owned life insurance; and supplemental health solutions including accident, critical illness, and hospital indemnity. The Individual Life segment develops and distributes variable life, universal life, and term life insurance products. The International Businesses segment develops and distributes life insurance, retirement products, investment products, and certain accident and health products. The company provides its products and services to individual and institutional customers through its proprietary and third-party distribution networks, financial professionals, and trusted partnerships. Prudential Financial, Inc. was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Newark, New Jersey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Prudential Financial, Inc. reported revenue of $60.8B in FY2025 versus $71.1B in FY2021, a compound −3.9%/yr. Reported net income was $3.6B in FY2025, compounding −20.3%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +1.0 % · buybacks/dilution +2.6 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
PRU screens 45% overvalued. Compare with China Life Insurance Company →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Perseus Mining (ASX:PRU) Could Be 15% Undervalued On Its 37% Resource Upgrade
- Perseus Mining (ASX:PRU) Is Up 9.8% After Boosting Capital Returns And Ore Reserves - Has The Bull Case Changed?
- What Does Perseus Mining (ASX:PRU) Resource And Reserve Growth Change?
- Prudential Financial, Inc. to Participate in 2026 Barclays Global Financial Services Conference; Live Webcast Available
Peer Group
Insurance - Life · 96 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Life median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Insurance - Life stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Life Insurance Company 601628 | ¥37.03 | ¥49.98 | +35% |
| Ping An Insurance (Group) Company 601318 | ¥55.82 | ¥84.72 | +52% |
| AIA Group 1299 | HK$73.00 | HK$33.57 | −54% |
| Manulife Financial Corporation MFC | C$59.80 | C$38.80 | −35% |
| Aflac Incorporated AFL | $116.52 | $74.34 | −36% |
| Great-West Lifeco Inc GWO | C$90.25 | C$39.53 | −56% |
| MetLife, Inc MET | $96.51 | $68.27 | −29% |
| Life Insurance Corporation LICI | ₹412.15 | ₹392.93 | −5% |
| China Pacific Insurance (Group) Co 601601 | ¥30.20 | ¥57.51 | +90% |
| Samsung Life Insurance Co 032830 | 301,000 KRW | 191,293 KRW | −36% |
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