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Prudential Financial, Inc. (PRU) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $41.4B · ISIN US7443201022

What is Prudential Financial, Inc. really worth?

PF Prudential Financial, Inc. logo Prudential Financial, Inc. PRU · US
Price$123.20
Fair Value$85.13
Upside−30.9%
Quality53/100

A solid business, but trading 45% above our fair value of $85.13.

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Strengths

Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +1.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.5% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
!Narrow moat 40/100

For context

·4.42% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $63.84 – $106.41

Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Share price −0.3% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($106.41). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$125.13 $65.54 Fair Value $85.13 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $65.54 – $125.13 · fair‑value band $63.84 – $106.41 · the $123.20 price screens above the $85.13 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

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Analysis

Prudential Financial, Inc. (PRU) currently trades at $123.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $85.13, implying the stock looks roughly 44.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $130.75 per share, and 2 of the 6 models we run sit above the $123.20 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $62.57, and 4 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Prudential Financial, Inc. generated revenue of $63.3B at a net margin of 5.5%. Revenue grew 15.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.7%. Net debt stands at $3.2B. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $63.84 (bear case) to $106.41 (bull case); at $123.20, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at −31%, PRU screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $2.88 per share, which is 3.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence $84.63 $96.15 $157.41 74
Gordon GGM $50.92 $82.12 $117.45 68
DDM Multi-Stage $50.92 $74.13 $100.14 67
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $50.92 $82.12 $117.45 68
DDM Multi-Stage $50.92 $74.13 $100.14 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $100.38 $133.85 $167.31 63
P/B Multiple $98.06 $130.75 $163.44 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $46.70 $62.57 $93.39 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence $84.63 $96.15 $157.41 74

Widest divergence: Multiples ($130.75) versus Asset-Based ($62.57). Highest evidence: Residual Income (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 12.7
P/S ratio 0.75 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $9.71 price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.7
Dividend yield 4.4% payout 56.1%
Net margin 5.9% FY2025
Return on equity 10.7% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 0.5% avg 5y
Operating margin 4.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $63.3B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.3% 3y avg +2.2%
EPS growth (YoY) −14.3%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $6.3B FY2025
Net debt $3.2B FY2025 · ≈ 0.5 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 70
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 9
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 60
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 65
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 78
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Prudential Financial, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides financial products and services in the United States, Japan and internationally. It operates through PGIM, Retirement Strategies, Group Insurance, Individual Life, and International Businesses segments.

Full company description

Prudential Financial, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides financial products and services in the United States, Japan and internationally. It operates through PGIM, Retirement Strategies, Group Insurance, Individual Life, and International Businesses segments. The PGIM segment offers investment management services and solutions related to public fixed income, public equity, real estate debt and equity, private credit and other alternatives, and multi-asset class strategies to institutional and retail clients, as well as its insurance and retirement businesses. The Retirement Strategies segment provides a range of retirement investment, and income products and services to retirement plan sponsors in the public, private, and not-for-profit sectors; group annuities and other products; international reinsurance; investment only products; and FlexGuard suite, Fixed annuities, and variable annuities, as well as develops and distributes individual variable and fixed annuity products. The Group Insurance segment offers various group life, and long-term and short-term group disability, as well as group corporate-, bank-, and trust-owned life insurance; and supplemental health solutions including accident, critical illness, and hospital indemnity. The Individual Life segment develops and distributes variable life, universal life, and term life insurance products. The International Businesses segment develops and distributes life insurance, retirement products, investment products, and certain accident and health products. The company provides its products and services to individual and institutional customers through its proprietary and third-party distribution networks, financial professionals, and trusted partnerships. Prudential Financial, Inc. was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Newark, New Jersey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Prudential Financial, Inc. reported revenue of $60.8B in FY2025 versus $71.1B in FY2021, a compound −3.9%/yr. Reported net income was $3.6B in FY2025, compounding −20.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$60.8B
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (24Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.8%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−6.5% (−10.9 + 4.4)
Revenue −3.9%/yr
FY21 $71.1B
FY22 $57.0B
FY23 $54.3B
FY24 $70.7B
FY25 $60.8B
Net income −20.3%/yr
FY21 $8.9B
FY22 −$1.6B
FY23 $2.5B
FY24 $2.7B
FY25 $3.6B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −0.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +3.6 %

of which total revenue +1.0 % · buybacks/dilution +2.6 %

EBIT margin −4.4 %
Tax rate +0.7 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

PRU screens 45% overvalued. Compare with China Life Insurance Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Prudential Financial, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PRU

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Insurance - Life · 96 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −31% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 15% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.4% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.66× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Life median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.27× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.65× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 6.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.4× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.29× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 18
FUTURE77 · sector 43
PAST43 · sector 43
HEALTH67 · sector 84
DIVIDEND88 · sector 54

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Life stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Life Insurance Company 601628 ¥37.03 ¥49.98 +35%
Ping An Insurance (Group) Company 601318 ¥55.82 ¥84.72 +52%
AIA Group 1299 HK$73.00 HK$33.57 −54%
Manulife Financial Corporation MFC C$59.80 C$38.80 −35%
Aflac Incorporated AFL $116.52 $74.34 −36%
Great-West Lifeco Inc GWO C$90.25 C$39.53 −56%
MetLife, Inc MET $96.51 $68.27 −29%
Life Insurance Corporation LICI ₹412.15 ₹392.93 −5%
China Pacific Insurance (Group) Co 601601 ¥30.20 ¥57.51 +90%
Samsung Life Insurance Co 032830 301,000 KRW 191,293 KRW −36%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Prudential Financial, Inc. (PRU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $85.13 versus a price of $123.20, about −31% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PRU?
Our model-based fair value for Prudential Financial, Inc. is $85.13 (as of Aug 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $123.20.
What is the quality score of PRU?
Prudential Financial, Inc. has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Prudential Financial, Inc. (PRU)?
Prudential Financial, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $63.3B (latest available figure, as of Aug 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PRU?
The net profit margin of Prudential Financial, Inc. is about 5.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Prudential Financial, Inc. pay a dividend?
Prudential Financial, Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.42% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 29, 2026).
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