Public Service Enterprise Group Inc (PEG) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · US · Market cap $40.1B · ISIN US7445731067
What is Public Service Enterprise Group Inc really worth?
Public Service Enterprise Group Inc
PEG · US
A solid business, but trading 86% above our fair value of $39.74.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 1, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price −3.2% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($39.74 to $75.47) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $47.11 – $89.43 · fair‑value band $39.74 – $75.47 · the $73.81 price screens above the $39.74 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.
Analysis
Public Service Enterprise Group Inc (PEG) currently trades at $73.81, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $39.74, implying the stock looks roughly 85.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $58.05 per share, and 1 of the 18 models we run sit above the $73.81 price. Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at $12.44, and 17 of the 18 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Public Service Enterprise Group Inc generated revenue of $12.8B at a net margin of 17.7%. Revenue grew 19.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.4%. Net debt stands at $24.2B. Fundamentals as of Sep 1, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $39.74 (bear case) to $75.47 (bull case); at $73.81, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −46%, PEG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $1.33 per share, which is 3.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($58.05) versus Growth DCF ($1.80). Highest evidence: Owner Earnings (73).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 1, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated, through its subsidiaries, operates in electric and gas utility, and nuclear generation businesses in the United States. It operates through PSE&G and PSEG Power segments.
Full company description
Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated, through its subsidiaries, operates in electric and gas utility, and nuclear generation businesses in the United States. It operates through PSE&G and PSEG Power segments. The PSE&G segment transmits electricity; distributes electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers; and appliance services and repairs to customers through its service territory, as well as invests in solar generation projects, and energy efficiency and related programs. The PSEG Power segment engages in nuclear generation businesses; and supplies power and natural gas to nuclear power plants. As of December 31, 2025, it had electric transmission and distribution system of 25,000 circuit miles and 871,000 poles; 58 switching stations with an installed capacity of 40,000 megavolt-amperes (MVA), and 238 substations with an installed capacity of 10,890 MVA; four electric distribution headquarters and five electric sub-headquarters; 18,000 miles of gas mains, 12 gas distribution headquarters, two sub-headquarters, and two meter shop, as well as 54 natural gas metering and regulating stations; and 158 MegaWatts defined conditions of installed PV solar capacity. The company was founded in 1903 and is based in Newark, New Jersey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Public Service Enterprise Group Inc reported revenue of $12.2B in FY2025 versus $9.7B in FY2021, a compound +5.8%/yr. Reported net income was $2.1B in FY2025.
of which total revenue +1.2 % · buybacks/dilution +0.2 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
PEG screens 86% overvalued. Compare with NextEra Energy, Inc →
Peer Group
Utilities - Regulated Electric · 153 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 44/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 1, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NextEra Energy, Inc NEE | $83.47 | $32.94 | −61% |
| The Southern Company SO | $88.25 | $58.81 | −33% |
| Duke Energy Corporation DUK | $120.25 | $74.89 | −38% |
| National Grid plc NGG | $80.68 | $63.94 | −21% |
| American Electric Power Company AEP | $122.96 | $77.23 | −37% |
| Dominion Energy, Inc D | $66.01 | $46.34 | −30% |
| Entergy Corporation ETR | $105.75 | $52.92 | −50% |
| Xcel Energy Inc XEL | $76.34 | $44.61 | −42% |
| Exelon Corporation EXC | $43.96 | $37.60 | −14% |
| Endesa, S.A ELE | €42.30 | €25.72 | −39% |
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