Exelon Corporation (EXC) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · US · Market cap $47.9B · ISIN US30161N1019
What is Exelon Corporation really worth?
Exelon Corporation
EXC · US
Below-average quality, and trading another 18% above our fair value of $37.60.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Share price −2.9% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range ($26.55 to $57.49) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $26.40 – $49.82 · fair‑value band $26.55 – $57.49 · the $44.53 price screens above the $37.60 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
Analysis
Exelon Corporation (EXC) currently trades at $44.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $37.60, implying the stock looks roughly 18.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $41.78 per share, and 4 of the 16 models we run sit above the $44.53 price. Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $4.59, and 12 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Exelon Corporation generated revenue of $24.8B at a net margin of 11.2%. Revenue grew 7.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.8%. Net debt stands at $49.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $26.55 (bear case) to $57.49 (bull case); at $44.53, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −16%, EXC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.7542 per share, which is 2.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($41.78) versus Economic Profit ($4.59). Highest evidence: Residual Income (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Exelon Corporation, a utility services holding company, engages in the energy distribution and transmission businesses in the United States. The company is involved in the purchase and regulated retail sale of electricity and natural gas; transmission and distribution of electricity; and distribution of natural gas to retail customers.
Full company description
Exelon Corporation, a utility services holding company, engages in the energy distribution and transmission businesses in the United States. The company is involved in the purchase and regulated retail sale of electricity and natural gas; transmission and distribution of electricity; and distribution of natural gas to retail customers. It serves residential, commercial, industrial, and public authorities and electric railroads customers. Exelon Corporation was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Exelon Corporation reported revenue of $24.3B in FY2025 versus $17.9B in FY2021, a compound +7.8%/yr. Reported net income was $2.8B in FY2025, compounding +12.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue −2.7 % · buybacks/dilution −1.3 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
EXC screens 18% overvalued. Compare with NextEra Energy, Inc →
Peer Group
Utilities - Regulated Electric · 153 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NextEra Energy, Inc NEE | $83.47 | $32.94 | −61% |
| The Southern Company SO | $88.25 | $58.81 | −33% |
| Duke Energy Corporation DUK | $120.25 | $74.89 | −38% |
| National Grid plc NGG | $80.68 | $63.94 | −21% |
| American Electric Power Company AEP | $122.96 | $77.23 | −37% |
| Dominion Energy, Inc D | $66.01 | $46.34 | −30% |
| Entergy Corporation ETR | $105.75 | $52.92 | −50% |
| Xcel Energy Inc XEL | $76.34 | $44.61 | −42% |
| Endesa, S.A ELE | €42.30 | €25.72 | −39% |
| Consolidated Edison, Inc ED | $107.70 | $62.35 | −42% |
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