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Ormat Technologies, Inc (ORA) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · US · Market cap $6.4B

OT Ormat Technologies, Inc logo Ormat Technologies, Inc ORA · US
Price$113.52
Fair Value$33.52
Upside-70.5%
Quality38/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 11.0% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
0.46% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/14)
Moderate moat 48/100
Evidence: High Range $25.71 – $42.84 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +5.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 70% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($42.84). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$145.10 $58.06 Fair Value $33.52 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $58.06 – $145.10 · fair‑value band $25.71 – $42.84 · the $113.52 price screens above the $33.52 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Ormat Technologies, Inc (ORA) currently trades at $113.52, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $33.52, implying the stock looks roughly 70.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Ormat Technologies, Inc generated revenue of $1.2B at a net margin of 11.0%. Revenue grew 75.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.9%. Net debt stands at $2.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $25.71 (bear case) to $42.84 (bull case); at $113.52, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -70%, ORA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely ($5.25 to $45.50). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $31.08 $31.07 $28.86 76
Gordon GGM $4.15 $8.28 $12.54 70
Growth-Adj P/E $23.46 $33.52 $43.57 68
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $13.71 $45.50 $60.89 54
Lynch FV $10.29 $14.70 $19.11 50
PEG = 1.0 $10.29 $14.70 $19.11 46
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $4.15 $8.28 $12.54 70
DDM Multi-Stage $4.15 $6.95 $8.74 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $27.22 $36.29 $45.36 63
P/S Multiple $25.71 $34.27 $42.84 58
P/B Multiple $25.71 $34.27 $42.84 55
EV/EBIT $0.0400 $11.20 $22.35 53
EV/EBITDA $24.55 $43.86 $63.18 54
EV/Revenue $5.25 $16.85 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $20.70 $27.74 $41.40 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $31.08 $31.07 $28.86 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $23.46 $33.52 $43.57 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($34.27) versus Dividend Discount ($6.95). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) +75.8%
Net margin 11.0%
Return on equity 4.9%
Free cash flow −$285M FY2025
P/E ratio 54.8
More key figures
Operating margin 21.3%
EPS (TTM) $2.07
Dividend yield 0.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +7.6%
Net debt $2.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 29
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 31
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 64
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 56
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 63
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ormat Technologies, Inc. engages in the geothermal and recovered energy power business in the United States, Indonesia, Kenya, Turkey, Chile, Guatemala, Guadeloupe, New Zealand, Honduras, France, Indonesia, the Philippines, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Electricity, Product, and Energy Storage.

Full company description

Ormat Technologies, Inc. engages in the geothermal and recovered energy power business in the United States, Indonesia, Kenya, Turkey, Chile, Guatemala, Guadeloupe, New Zealand, Honduras, France, Indonesia, the Philippines, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Electricity, Product, and Energy Storage. The Electricity segment develops, builds, owns, and operates geothermal, solar photovoltaic, and recovered energy-based power plants; and sells electricity. The Product segment designs, manufactures, and sells equipment for geothermal and recovered energy-based electricity generation; and provides services relating to the engineering, procurement, and construction of geothermal and recovered energy-based power plants. The Energy Storage segment owns and operates grid-connected, stand alone In Front of the Meter (IFM) battery energy storage BESS facilities, which provide capacity, energy, and ancillary services directly to the electric grid. The company serves contractors, geothermal plant owners and operators, interstate natural gas pipeline owners and operators, gas processing plant owners and operators, cement plant owners and operators, and biomass facilities owners and operators, as well as other companies engaged in energy-intensive industrial processes. Ormat Technologies, Inc. was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Reno, Nevada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ormat Technologies, Inc reported revenue of $990M in FY2025 versus $663M in FY2021, a compound +10.5%/yr. Reported net income was $124M in FY2025, compounding +18.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 41/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$990M
Latest YoY
+12.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.0%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.4%
Revenue +10.5%/yr
FY21 $663M
FY22 $734M
FY23 $829M
FY24 $880M
FY25 $990M
Net income +18.9%/yr
FY21 $62.1M
FY22 $65.8M
FY23 $124M
FY24 $124M
FY25 $124M

ORA screens 70% overvalued. Compare with China Yangtze Power Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ormat Technologies, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ORA

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Utilities - Renewable · 220 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 38 · Below median
Fair Value upside −71% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 21% · Above median
Revenue growth 76% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.92× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 54.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.53× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 5.53× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 16.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 5.45× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 8
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 20 · sector 11
HEALTH 54 · sector 68
DIVIDEND 9 · sector 50

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Yangtze Power Co 600900 ¥28.02 ¥25.13 -10%
Ørsted A/S ORSTED kr 148.25 kr 31.40 -79%
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 ¥9.69 ¥5.57 -43%
Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN ₹1,319 ₹169.61 -87%
AXIA Energia SA AXIAP $10.74 $9.54 -11%
VERBUND AG OEWA €56.80 €66.19 +17%
BEP BEP $34.23 $70.40 +106%
BEPUN BEPUN C$44.56 C$10.15 -77%
China Longyuan Power Group 001289 ¥15.92 ¥7.55 -53%
SDIC Power Holdings 600886 ¥13.95 ¥16.63 +19%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ormat Technologies, Inc (ORA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $33.52 versus a price of $113.52, about −70% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ORA?
Our model-based fair value for Ormat Technologies, Inc is $33.52 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $113.52.
What is the quality score of ORA?
Ormat Technologies, Inc has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ormat Technologies, Inc (ORA)?
Ormat Technologies, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.2B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ORA?
The net profit margin of Ormat Technologies, Inc is about 11.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Ormat Technologies, Inc pay a dividend?
Ormat Technologies, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.33% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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