Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc (600025) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · CN · Market cap 183B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −2.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 42% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥7.71). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (¥2.83 to ¥7.71). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.90 – ¥11.73 · fair‑value band ¥2.83 – ¥7.71 · the ¥9.61 price screens above the ¥5.57 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc (600025) currently trades at ¥9.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.57, implying the stock looks roughly 42.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc generated revenue of 27.0B CNY at a net margin of 31.7%. Revenue grew 7.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.7%. Net debt stands at 100B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥2.83 (bear case) to ¥7.71 (bull case); at ¥9.61, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -42%, 600025 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥7.96) versus Economic Profit (¥2.20). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc. engages in the development, construction, operation, and management of hydropower and new energy power generation projects. It is also involved in the solar energy and wind power generation; and production and supply of heat. The company was founded in 2001 and is based in Kunming, China.
Full company description
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc. engages in the development, construction, operation, and management of hydropower and new energy power generation projects. It is also involved in the solar energy and wind power generation; and production and supply of heat. The company was founded in 2001 and is based in Kunming, China. Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc. operates as a subsidiary of China Huaneng Group Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc reported revenue of ¥26.6B in FY2025 versus ¥20.2B in FY2021, a compound +7.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥8.5B in FY2025, compounding +9.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +5.8 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.9 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
600025 screens 42% overvalued. Compare with China Yangtze Power Co →
Peer Group
Utilities - Renewable · 220 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Yangtze Power Co 600900 | ¥28.02 | ¥25.13 | -10% |
| Ørsted A/S ORSTED | kr 148.25 | kr 31.40 | -79% |
| Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN | ₹1,319 | ₹169.61 | -87% |
| AXIA Energia SA AXIAP | $10.74 | $9.54 | -11% |
| VERBUND AG OEWA | €56.80 | €66.19 | +17% |
| BEP BEP | $34.23 | $70.40 | +106% |
| BEPUN BEPUN | C$44.56 | C$10.15 | -77% |
| China Longyuan Power Group 001289 | ¥15.92 | ¥7.55 | -53% |
| SDIC Power Holdings 600886 | ¥13.95 | ¥16.63 | +19% |
| China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co 600905 | ¥3.77 | ¥2.40 | -36% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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