Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc Class A (600025) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · CN · Market cap 183B CNY (≈ $27.3B) · ISIN CNE100002T71
What is Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc Class A really worth?
A solid business, but trading 75% above our fair value of ¥5.57.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 26, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 10 days ago
Share price +0.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥7.71). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (¥2.83 to ¥7.71). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 26, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.53 – ¥11.73 · fair‑value band ¥2.83 – ¥7.71 · the ¥9.76 price screens above the ¥5.57 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 26, 2026.
Analysis
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc Class A (600025) currently trades at ¥9.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.57, implying the stock looks roughly 75.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥7.96 per share, and 1 of the 19 models we run sit above the ¥9.76 price. Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ¥2.20, and 18 of the 19 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc Class A generated revenue of 27.0B CNY at a net margin of 31.7%. Revenue grew 7.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.7%. Net debt stands at 100B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 26, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥2.83 (bear case) to ¥7.71 (bull case); at ¥9.76, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −43%, 600025 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.1665 per share, which is 3.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥7.96) versus Economic Profit (¥2.20). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc. engages in the development, construction, operation, and management of hydropower and new energy power generation projects. It is also involved in the solar energy and wind power generation; and production and supply of heat. The company was founded in 2001 and is based in Kunming, China.
Full company description
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc. engages in the development, construction, operation, and management of hydropower and new energy power generation projects. It is also involved in the solar energy and wind power generation; and production and supply of heat. The company was founded in 2001 and is based in Kunming, China. Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc. operates as a subsidiary of China Huaneng Group Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc Class A reported revenue of 26.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 20.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound +7.1%/yr. Reported net income was 8.5B CNY in FY2025, compounding +9.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +5.8 % · buybacks/dilution −1.8 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
600025 screens 75% overvalued. Compare with China Yangtze Power Co →
Peer Group
Utilities - Renewable · 213 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Yangtze Power Co 600900 | ¥27.96 | ¥25.13 | −10% |
| Ørsted A/S ORSTED | kr 139.25 | kr 31.40 | −77% |
| Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN | ₹1,319 | ₹169.61 | −87% |
| AXIA Energia SA AXIAP | $10.74 | $9.49 | −12% |
| VERBUND AG OEWA | €57.00 | €66.19 | +16% |
| BEP BEP | $31.27 | $70.40 | +125% |
| BEPUN BEPUN | C$45.05 | C$42.83 | −5% |
| Fortum Oyj FORTUM | €19.80 | €13.55 | −32% |
| China Longyuan Power Group 001289 | ¥15.92 | ¥7.55 | −53% |
| SDIC Power Holdings 600886 | ¥13.95 | ¥16.63 | +19% |
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