EDP Renovaveis (EDPR) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · PT · Market cap €14.1B · ISIN ES0127797019
What is EDP Renovaveis really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 258% above our fair value of €3.67.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€4.58). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €6.75 – €25.30 · fair‑value band €2.60 – €4.58 · the €13.14 price screens above the €3.67 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
Analysis
EDP Renovaveis (EDPR) currently trades at €13.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €3.67, implying the stock looks roughly 258.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of €6.50 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the €13.14 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €0.6100, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, EDP Renovaveis generated revenue of €2.2B at a net margin of 10.6%. Revenue declined 10.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.8%. Net debt stands at €8.2B. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €2.60 (bear case) to €4.58 (bull case); at €13.14, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at −72%, EDPR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly €0.1421 per share, which is 3.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (€6.50) versus Dividend Discount (€0.6100). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
EDP Renewables, S.A. engages in the renewable energy business in Europe, North America, South America, and the Asia Pacific. The company is involved in the planning, construction, operation, and maintenance of power generation plants using renewable energy sources, including wind and solar power.
Full company description
EDP Renewables, S.A. engages in the renewable energy business in Europe, North America, South America, and the Asia Pacific. The company is involved in the planning, construction, operation, and maintenance of power generation plants using renewable energy sources, including wind and solar power. It operates in Spain, Portugal, Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, the Netherlands, Poland, Romania, the United Kingdom, Hungary, Greece, the United States, Canada, Mexico, Brazil, Chile, South Korea, Singapore, Vietnam, Thailand, China, Taiwan, Australia, and Japan. EDP Renewables, S.A. was formerly known as EDP Renováveis, S.A. and changed its name to EDP Renewables, S.A. in April 2026. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Madrid, Spain. EDP Renewables, S.A. operates as a subsidiary of EDP, S.A.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
EDP Renovaveis reported revenue of €2.7B in FY2025 versus €1.8B in FY2021, a compound +11.2%/yr. Reported net income was €216M in FY2025, compounding −24.3%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +5.5 % · buybacks/dilution −1.1 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
EDPR screens 258% overvalued. Compare with China Yangtze Power Co →
Peer Group
Utilities - Renewable · 213 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 28, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Yangtze Power Co 600900 | ¥27.96 | ¥25.13 | −10% |
| Ørsted A/S ORSTED | kr 139.25 | kr 31.40 | −77% |
| Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 | ¥9.79 | ¥5.57 | −43% |
| Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN | ₹1,319 | ₹169.61 | −87% |
| AXIA Energia SA AXIAP | $10.74 | $9.49 | −12% |
| VERBUND AG OEWA | €57.00 | €66.19 | +16% |
| BEP BEP | $31.27 | $70.40 | +125% |
| BEPUN BEPUN | C$45.05 | C$42.83 | −5% |
| Fortum Oyj FORTUM | €19.80 | €13.55 | −32% |
| China Longyuan Power Group 001289 | ¥15.92 | ¥7.55 | −53% |
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