EDP Renovaveis (EDPR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 23, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of EDP Renovaveis stock €3.67, price €11.82, upside -69.0%, quality 46 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €6.75 – €25.30 · fair‑value band €2.75 – €4.58 · the €11.82 price screens above the €3.67 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 22, 2026.
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EDP Renewables, S.A. engages in the renewable energy business in Europe, North America, South America, and the Asia Pacific. The company is involved in the planning, construction, operation, and maintenance of power generation plants using renewable energy sources, including wind and solar power.
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It operates in Spain, Portugal, Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, the Netherlands, Poland, Romania, the United Kingdom, Hungary, Greece, the United States, Canada, Mexico, Brazil, Chile, South Korea, Singapore, Vietnam, Thailand, China, Taiwan, Australia, and Japan.
EDP Renewables, S.A. was formerly known as EDP Renováveis, S.A. and changed its name to EDP Renewables, S.A. in April 2026. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Madrid, Spain. EDP Renewables, S.A. operates as a subsidiary of EDP, S.A.
Stock analysis
EDP Renovaveis (EDPR) currently trades at €11.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €3.67, 69.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of €4.93 per share, and 1 of the 15 models we run sit above the €11.82 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €0.3800, and 14 of the 15 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €2.75 (bear) to €4.58 (bull), the price of €11.82 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
EDP Renovaveis reported revenue of €2.7B in FY2025 versus €1.8B in FY2021, a compound +11.2%/yr. Reported net income was €216M in FY2025, compounding −24.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €12.4B Large · P/E ratio 34.8 · P/S ratio 8.08 · EPS (TTM) €0.3400 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin 13.9% · Return on equity 3.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 40 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at −69%, EDPR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear€2.75Fair Value €3.67Bull€4.58
Price €11.82 · Upside -69.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.2757 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.46/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+16.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.7% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−19.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−20.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−20.1% vs 3.7%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.35% → 34%
AI conclusion: Asset rotations enable capital recycling for new projects, yet persistently low returns on equity and negative free cash flow limit durable advantage in a capital-intensive sector.
Main risk: Dependence on timely asset sales and favorable financing would hit the ability to sustain expansion in this capital-intensive renewable utility business.
EDP Renováveis keeps rotating assets, recently selling an 80 percent stake in a 384 MW California solar-plus-storage portfolio to Ares. This approach recycles capital for new projects while lifting near-term profits, yet it also means the company depends on timely sales and favorable financing to sustain expansion in a capital-intensive sector. Our models currently see the shares as overvalued. Will repeated rotations deliver durable value creation, or will they mainly mask the pressure from rising funding costs?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 200 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score46 · Above median
Fair Value upside−69.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)3.8% · Above median
Return on assets1.0% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)19.8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)12.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−10.0% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.70× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)34.8× · Pricier than median
P/B1.21× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)8.08× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA22.5× · Priciest 25%
PEG1.00× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 8
PAST (return on equity)15· sector 13
HEALTH (low debt)65· sector 68
DIVIDEND (yield)6· sector 48
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "EDP Renovaveis Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EDPR
Frequently asked questions
Is EDP Renovaveis (EDPR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €3.67 versus a price of €11.82, about −69% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EDPR?
Our model-based fair value for EDP Renovaveis is €3.67 (as of Oct 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €11.82.
What is the quality score of EDPR?
EDP Renovaveis has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for EDP Renovaveis (EDPR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €3.67 (as of Oct 22, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario €2.75, optimistic scenario €4.58. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the EDP Renovaveis stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €3.67, about −69% upside versus a price of €11.82 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €2.75, optimistic scenario €4.58. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of EDP Renovaveis (EDPR)?
EDP Renovaveis reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €2.2B (latest available figure, as of Oct 22, 2026).
Does EDP Renovaveis pay a dividend?
EDP Renovaveis currently shows a dividend yield of 0.32% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 22, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of EDP Renovaveis (EDPR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For EDP Renovaveis it is €3.67 per share (as of Oct 22, 2026), against a price of €11.82. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is EDP Renovaveis stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 22, 2026, EDPR trades above its calculated fair value: price €11.82, fair value €3.67, a gap of about −69% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EDPR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€11.82); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€3.67). For EDP Renovaveis the two are €8.15 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is EDP Renovaveis worth?
The market values EDP Renovaveis at about €12.4B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 22, 2026). Per share that is €11.82; our models calculate a fair value of €3.67 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EDPR?
Our models span a range for EDP Renovaveis: cautious scenario €2.75, base €3.67, optimistic €4.58 per share (as of Oct 22, 2026, price €11.82). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of EDPR?
EDP Renovaveis trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 34.8 (as of Oct 22, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €3.67 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.0, P/B 1.2, P/S 8.1, EV/EBITDA 22.5.
What is the PEG ratio of EDPR?
The PEG ratio of EDP Renovaveis is 1.00 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 22, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of EDP Renovaveis (EDPR)?
Balance-sheet figures for EDP Renovaveis (as of Oct 22, 2026): return on equity 3.8%, debt of 0.70 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EDPR from its 52-week high?
EDP Renovaveis trades at €11.82, about 19% below its 52-week high of €14.55 and 6% above the low of €11.18 (as of Oct 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €3.67 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to EDP Renovaveis?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, VERBUND AG, Ørsted A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is EDP Renovaveis stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 22, 2026: price €11.82, calculated fair value €3.67 (−69%), Quality Score 46/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EDPR calculated?
We run EDP Renovaveis through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €3.67, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. EDP Renovaveis itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of EDP Renovaveis (EDPR)?
The closing price on Oct 23, 2026 was €11.82. Our model-based fair value is €3.67, about −69% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with EDP Renovaveis right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€4.58). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of EDP Renovaveis (EDPR) come from?
Earnings per share at EDP Renovaveis grew +15.7 % a year from 2012 to 2023. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.4 %, EBIT margin −0.1 %, tax rate +0.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +9.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of EDP Renovaveis
How large is the market capitalisation of EDP Renovaveis (EDPR)?
The market capitalisation of EDP Renovaveis is €12.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of EDP Renovaveis (EDPR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of EDP Renovaveis is 8.08 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of EDP Renovaveis (EDPR)?
Earnings per share at EDP Renovaveis are €0.3400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 34.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of EDP Renovaveis (EDPR)?
The dividend yield of EDP Renovaveis is 0.3% (payout 11.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of EDP Renovaveis (EDPR)?
The net margin of EDP Renovaveis is 13.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of EDP Renovaveis (EDPR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of EDP Renovaveis is 3.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of EDP Renovaveis (EDPR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of EDP Renovaveis is 2.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of EDP Renovaveis (EDPR)?
The operating margin of EDP Renovaveis is 12.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at EDP Renovaveis (EDPR)?
Revenue at EDP Renovaveis is growing −10.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at EDP Renovaveis (EDPR)?
Earnings per share at EDP Renovaveis are growing −71.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does EDP Renovaveis (EDPR) generate?
The free cash flow of EDP Renovaveis is −€1.8B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does EDP Renovaveis (EDPR) carry?
The net debt of EDP Renovaveis is €8.2B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Oct 22, 2026