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China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co (600905) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · CN · Market cap 108B CNY

CT China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co 600905 · SHG
Price¥3.77
Fair Value¥2.40
Upside-36.3%
Quality40/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 8.3% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
1.09% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/14)
Moderate moat 50/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥2.23 – ¥2.76 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥2.48 to ¥2.40 (−3.2%) since Jul 16, 2026.

Below-average quality, and screening another 36% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.76). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥7.56 ¥3.61 Fair Value ¥2.40 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.61 – ¥7.56 · fair‑value band ¥2.23 – ¥2.76 · the ¥3.77 price screens above the ¥2.40 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co (600905) currently trades at ¥3.77, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.40, implying the stock looks roughly 36.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co generated revenue of 27.7B CNY at a net margin of 8.3%. Revenue declined 8.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.5%. Net debt stands at 168B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.23 (bear case) to ¥2.76 (bull case); at ¥3.77, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -36%, 600905 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥2.35 ¥2.37 ¥2.20 76
Gordon GGM ¥1.95 ¥4.05 ¥6.43 70
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.72 ¥3.88 ¥5.05 68
All 13 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.8800 ¥6.16 ¥8.65 54
Lynch FV ¥2.23 ¥3.19 ¥4.15 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.23 ¥3.19 ¥4.15 46
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.95 ¥4.05 ¥6.43 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.95 ¥3.42 ¥4.25 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.75 ¥2.34 ¥2.92 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.66 ¥2.21 ¥2.76 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.66 ¥2.21 ¥2.76 55
EV/EBIT ¥0.6100 53
EV/EBITDA ¥0.4600 ¥2.55 ¥4.63 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.55 ¥2.08 ¥3.10 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.35 ¥2.37 ¥2.20 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.72 ¥3.88 ¥5.05 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥3.88) versus Asset-Based (¥2.08). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 27.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -8.9%
Net margin 8.3%
Return on equity 2.5%
Free cash flow −11.2B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 47.1
More key figures
Operating margin 30.8%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.0800
Dividend yield 1.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -57.4%
Net debt 168B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 9
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 36
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 99
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co.,Ltd. engages in the development, investment, and operation of wind and solar energy in China.

Full company description

China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co.,Ltd. engages in the development, investment, and operation of wind and solar energy in China. The company develops offshore wind power projects with a cumulative installed capacity of 7.0498 million kilowatts, onshore wind power projects with a cumulative installed capacity of over 7.5 million kilowatts, photovoltaic power stations with a cumulative installed capacity of over 7 gigawatts, and small and medium-sized hydropower project with an installed capacity of 220 megawatts. China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1985 and is based in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co reported revenue of ¥28.4B in FY2025 versus ¥16.4B in FY2021, a compound +14.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥3.7B in FY2025, compounding −12.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 38/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
28.4B CNY
Latest YoY
−4.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.2%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.8%
Revenue +14.7%/yr
FY21 ¥16.4B
FY22 ¥23.8B
FY23 ¥26.5B
FY24 ¥29.7B
FY25 ¥28.4B
Net income −12.9%/yr
FY21 ¥6.4B
FY22 ¥7.1B
FY23 ¥7.2B
FY24 ¥6.1B
FY25 ¥3.7B

600905 screens 36% overvalued. Compare with China Yangtze Power Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600905

Peer Group

Utilities - Renewable · 220 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 40 · Below median
Fair Value upside −36% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 31% · Above median
Revenue growth -9% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 1.91× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 47.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.22× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.89× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 12.3× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.80× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 8
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 10 · sector 11
HEALTH 5 · sector 68
DIVIDEND 22 · sector 50

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Yangtze Power Co 600900 ¥28.02 ¥25.13 -10%
Ørsted A/S ORSTED kr 148.25 kr 31.40 -79%
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 ¥9.69 ¥5.57 -43%
Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN ₹1,319 ₹169.61 -87%
AXIA Energia SA AXIAP $10.74 $9.54 -11%
VERBUND AG OEWA €56.80 €66.19 +17%
BEP BEP $34.23 $70.40 +106%
BEPUN BEPUN C$44.56 C$10.15 -77%
China Longyuan Power Group 001289 ¥15.92 ¥7.55 -53%
SDIC Power Holdings 600886 ¥13.95 ¥16.63 +19%

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Frequently asked questions

Is China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co (600905) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.40 versus a price of ¥3.77, about −36% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600905?
Our model-based fair value for China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co is ¥2.40 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥3.77.
What is the quality score of 600905?
China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co (600905)?
China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 27.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600905?
The net profit margin of China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co is about 8.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co pay a dividend?
China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.95% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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