China Longyuan Power Group (001289) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · CN · Market cap 138B CNY (≈ $20.5B) · ISIN CNE100000HD4
What is China Longyuan Power Group really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 101% above our fair value of ¥7.55.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥8.23 to ¥7.55 (−8.3%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price −7.0% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥9.65). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
55‑month range ¥13.25 – ¥28.56 · fair‑value band ¥6.79 – ¥9.65 · the ¥15.19 price screens above the ¥7.55 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
China Longyuan Power Group (001289) currently trades at ¥15.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.55, implying the stock looks roughly 101.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥9.20 per share, and 1 of the 13 models we run sit above the ¥15.19 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥6.01, and 12 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, China Longyuan Power Group generated revenue of 30.0B CNY at a net margin of 14.5%. Revenue declined 3.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.9%. Net debt stands at 106B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥6.79 (bear case) to ¥9.65 (bull case); at ¥15.19, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −50%, 001289 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.2358 per share, which is 3.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥9.20) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.0900). Highest evidence: Residual Income (75).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
China Longyuan Power Group Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in new energy power generation in the Chinese Mainland, Canada, South Africa, and Ukraine.
Full company description
China Longyuan Power Group Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in new energy power generation in the Chinese Mainland, Canada, South Africa, and Ukraine. China Longyuan Power Group Corporation Limited was formerly known as China Longyuan Electric Power Group Corporation and changed its name to China Longyuan Power Group Corporation Limited in July 2009. The company was founded in 1993 and is based in Beijing, China. China Longyuan Power Group Corporation Limited is a subsidiary of Chnenergy Investment Group Co.,LTD.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Longyuan Power Group reported revenue of 30.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 39.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound −6.7%/yr. Reported net income was 4.5B CNY in FY2025, compounding −11.6%/yr from FY2021.
001289 screens 101% overvalued. Compare with China Yangtze Power Co →
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Yangtze Power Co 600900 | ¥27.96 | ¥25.13 | −10% |
| Ørsted A/S ORSTED | kr 139.25 | kr 31.40 | −77% |
| Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 | ¥9.79 | ¥5.57 | −43% |
| Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN | ₹1,319 | ₹169.61 | −87% |
| AXIA Energia SA AXIAP | $10.74 | $9.49 | −12% |
| VERBUND AG OEWA | €57.00 | €66.19 | +16% |
| BEP BEP | $31.27 | $70.40 | +125% |
| BEPUN BEPUN | C$45.05 | C$42.83 | −5% |
| Fortum Oyj FORTUM | €19.80 | €13.55 | −32% |
| SDIC Power Holdings 600886 | ¥13.95 | ¥16.63 | +19% |
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