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OMV Aktiengesellschaft (OMV) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · AT · Market cap €19.5B · ISIN AT0000743059

What is OMV Aktiengesellschaft really worth?

OA OMV Aktiengesellschaft OMV · VI
Price€68.90
Fair Value€65.23
Upside−5.3%
Quality56/100

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of €65.23.

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Strengths

Solidly profitable · 10.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +8.0 %/yr)
!Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
!Moderate moat 48/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 26 out of 100
!Weak on past: 27 out of 100

For context

·6.39% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range €48.92 – €81.54

Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026

From 21 valuation models · updated 7 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 29, 2026, revised from €56.16 to €65.23 (+16.2%) since Aug 27, 2026. Share price +8.2% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin.
  • Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€70.15 €23.74 Fair Value €65.23 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €23.74 – €70.15 · fair‑value band €48.92 – €81.54 · the €68.90 price screens above the €65.23 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

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Analysis

OMV Aktiengesellschaft (OMV) currently trades at €68.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €65.23, implying the stock looks roughly 5.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €62.77 per share, and 6 of the 21 models we run sit above the €68.90 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €27.46, and 15 of the 21 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, OMV Aktiengesellschaft generated revenue of €23.4B at a net margin of 10.3%. Revenue declined 4.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.8%. Net debt stands at €1.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €48.92 (bear case) to €81.54 (bull case); at €68.90, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 61% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at −5%, OMV screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence €38.80 €54.79 €84.40 80
Growth DCF €40.69 €56.21 €82.76 78
Residual Income €40.15 €41.91 €43.91 76
All 21 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence €38.80 €54.79 €84.40 80
5Y Revenue Exit €49.07 €75.97 €115.13 72
5Y EBITDA Exit €51.64 €80.42 €118.55 75
5Y P/E Exit €32.01 €46.44 €63.73 71
10Y Revenue Exit €43.06 €62.77 €84.22 67
10Y EBITDA Exit €46.27 €65.52 €86.23 69
10Y P/E Exit €34.36 €44.51 €54.05 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €22.46 €27.46 €30.89 67
EPV €37.64 €44.23 €50.00 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple €34.69 €46.25 €57.81 63
P/S Multiple €42.12 €56.16 €70.20 58
P/B Multiple €42.12 €56.16 €70.20 55
EV/EBIT €60.38 €81.15 €101.91 66
EV/EBITDA €70.08 €94.08 €118.08 67
EV/Revenue €60.71 €87.56 €114.40 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €25.05 €33.56 €50.09 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €40.69 €56.21 €82.76 78
Rev-Margin DCF €49.07 €76.92 €110.71 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income €40.15 €41.91 €43.91 76
ROIC Compounder €37.64 €44.23 €50.00 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €24.96 €35.65 €46.35 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€62.77) versus Earnings-Based (€27.46). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 19.4
P/S ratio 0.86 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) €3.56 price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.4
Dividend yield 6.4% payout 124%
Net margin 4.4% FY2025
Return on equity 6.8% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 10.9% avg 5y
Operating margin 15.8% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) €23.4B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −4.1% 3y avg −26.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +934%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow €1.4B FY2025
Net debt €1.8B FY2025 · ≈ 1.3 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 88

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 74
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 91
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 80
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 99
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

OMV Aktiengesellschaft operates as an oil, gas, and chemicals company in Austria, Belgium, Germany, New Zealand, Norway, Romania, the United Arab Emirates, the rest of Central and Eastern Europe, the rest of Europe, and internationally. It operates through Chemicals, Fuels & Feedstock, and Energy segments.

Full company description

OMV Aktiengesellschaft operates as an oil, gas, and chemicals company in Austria, Belgium, Germany, New Zealand, Norway, Romania, the United Arab Emirates, the rest of Central and Eastern Europe, the rest of Europe, and internationally. It operates through Chemicals, Fuels & Feedstock, and Energy segments. The company provides advanced and circular polyolefin solutions, and base chemicals, as well as engages in the recycling of plastics. It also refines and markets crude oil and other feedstock; and operates refineries, filling stations, gas storage facilities, and gas-fired power plant. In addition, the company engages in the exploration, development, and production crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas; development of energy sources, such as geothermal projects; Carbon Capture and Storage; provision and renewable power solutions, as well as sale, trade, and logistics of natural gas. OMV Aktiengesellschaft was incorporated in 1956 and is headquartered in Vienna, Austria.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

OMV Aktiengesellschaft reported revenue of €24.3B in FY2025 versus €35.6B in FY2021, a compound −9.1%/yr. Reported net income was €1.1B in FY2025, compounding −16.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€24.3B
Latest YoY
−7.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−26.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.8%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−2.8% (−9.2 + 6.4)
Revenue −9.1%/yr
FY21 €35.6B
FY22 €62.3B
FY23 €39.5B
FY24 €26.2B
FY25 €24.3B
Net income −16.2%/yr
FY21 €2.2B
FY22 €3.7B
FY23 €1.6B
FY24 €1.5B
FY25 €1.1B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "OMV Aktiengesellschaft Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OMV

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Integrated · 53 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside −5% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Below median
Return on assets 5% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 16% · Above median
Revenue growth −4% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.4% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.35× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Integrated median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.39× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.97× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 16.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.3× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.65× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE26 · sector 5
FUTURE0 · sector 12
PAST27 · sector 43
HEALTH83 · sector 86
DIVIDEND100 · sector 74

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Integrated stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Exxon Mobil Corporation XOM $156.44 $88.98 −43%
Chevron Corporation CVX $201.86 $90.66 −55%
PetroChina Company 601857 ¥11.23 ¥15.47 +38%
Shell plc SHELL €40.28 €39.46 −2%
TotalEnergies SE TOTB €75.55 €69.02 −9%
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A XPBRA €7.11 €2.03 −71%
China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation 600028 ¥5.52 ¥4.59 −17%
Equinor ASA EQNR kr 395.90 kr 338.01 −15%
Suncor Energy Inc SU C$94.21 C$59.11 −37%
Eni S.p.A E $55.12 $32.53 −41%

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Frequently asked questions

Is OMV Aktiengesellschaft (OMV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €65.23 versus a price of €68.90, about −5% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of OMV?
Our model-based fair value for OMV Aktiengesellschaft is €65.23 (as of Aug 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €68.90.
What is the quality score of OMV?
OMV Aktiengesellschaft has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of OMV Aktiengesellschaft (OMV)?
OMV Aktiengesellschaft reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €23.4B (latest available figure, as of Aug 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of OMV?
The net profit margin of OMV Aktiengesellschaft is about 10.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does OMV Aktiengesellschaft pay a dividend?
OMV Aktiengesellschaft currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.39% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 29, 2026).
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