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Owens Corning (OC) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $11.5B

OC Owens Corning logo Owens Corning OC · US
Price$155.85
Fair Value$153.33
Upside-1.6%
Quality48/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -5.4% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
2.10% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Narrow moat 29/100
Evidence: Medium Range $106.04 – $241.92 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $155.44 to $153.33 (−1.4%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price +9.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($106.04 to $241.92) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$203.89 $68.88 Fair Value $153.33 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $68.88 – $203.89 · fair‑value band $106.04 – $241.92 · the $155.85 price screens above the $153.33 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Owens Corning (OC) currently trades at $155.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $153.33, implying the stock looks roughly 1.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Owens Corning generated revenue of $9.8B at a net margin of -5.4%. Revenue declined 10.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.4%. Net debt stands at $5.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $106.04 (bear case) to $241.92 (bull case); at $155.85, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 62% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -60% fair-value upside, at -2%, OC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $76.08 $126.40 $194.55 80
Rev-Margin DCF $86.03 $162.57 $243.30 74
ROIC Compounder $121.07 $160.09 $202.29 72
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $72.14 $125.78 $201.40 38
5Y Revenue Exit $86.03 $161.36 $253.85 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $154.11 $281.40 $423.22 41
10Y Revenue Exit $75.15 $141.22 $222.25 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $122.06 $222.00 $344.71 37
Earnings-Based
EPV $114.95 $143.07 $167.69 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $26.45 $42.34 $60.19 70
DDM Multi-Stage $26.45 $38.43 $51.88 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT $218.51 $309.28 $400.06 53
EV/EBITDA $238.46 $335.88 $433.31 54
EV/Revenue $104.26 $172.01 $239.75 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $23.92 $32.06 $47.85 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $76.08 $126.40 $194.55 80
Rev-Margin DCF $86.03 $162.57 $243.30 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $121.07 $160.09 $202.29 72

Widest divergence: Multiples ($309.28) versus Asset-Based ($32.06). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $9.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) -10.5%
Net margin -5.4%
Return on equity -9.4%
Free cash flow $962M FY2025
Operating margin 7.3%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-4.80
Dividend yield 2.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +31.2%
Net debt $5.8B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 17
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 48
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 41
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 58
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 67
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Owens Corning provides residential and commercial building products in the United States, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Roofing, Insulation, and Doors. The company offers laminate and strip asphalt roofing shingles, roofing components, and oxidized asphalt.

Full company description

Owens Corning provides residential and commercial building products in the United States, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Roofing, Insulation, and Doors. The company offers laminate and strip asphalt roofing shingles, roofing components, and oxidized asphalt. It also provides high, mid, and low temperature products; thermal and acoustical batts, loosefill insulation, spray foam insulation, wet use chopped strand, foam sheathing and accessories under the Owens Corning PINK, Next Gen, and FIBERGLAS Insulation brands; and glass fiber pipe insulation, energy efficient flexible duct media, bonded and granulated stone wool insulation, and cellular glass insulation and foam insulation under the FOAMULAR, FOAMGLAS, and Paroc brand names. In addition, the company offers residential interior and exterior doors; glass, fiberglass and metal, and door components such as frames, sills, weather-stripping, hinges and locks. Further, it manufactures, fabricates, and sells glass reinforcements in the form of fiber and mats. The company distributes its products to distributors, home centers and lumberyards, installers, retailers, homebuilders, contractors, dealers, building products retailers, and remodeling contractors. Owens Corning was incorporated in 1938 and is headquartered in Toledo, Ohio.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Owens Corning reported revenue of $10.1B in FY2025 versus $8.5B in FY2021, a compound +4.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$522M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 46/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$10.1B
Latest YoY
−7.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.4%
Avg. growth/yr (38Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.3%
Revenue +4.4%/yr
FY21 $8.5B
FY22 $9.8B
FY23 $9.7B
FY24 $11.0B
FY25 $10.1B
Net income
FY21 $995M
FY22 $1.2B
FY23 $1.2B
FY24 $647M
FY25 −$522M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +17.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +11.3 pp

of which total revenue +7.8 pp · buybacks/dilution +3.5 pp

EBIT margin +7.2 pp
Tax rate −0.3 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.1 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Owens Corning Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OC

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Building Products & Equipment · 247 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −2% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) -5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth -11% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.1% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.22× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.99× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.17× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 12.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.8× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.62× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 31 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 10
PAST 0 · sector 23
HEALTH 39 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 42 · sector 30

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Trane Technologies plc TT $483.96 $208.50 -57%
Johnson Controls International plc JCI $152.79 $44.75 -71%
Carrier Global Corporation CARR $63.08 $16.85 -73%
Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO €84.24 €97.97 +16%
PT Impack Pratama Industri Tbk, IMPC 1,405 IDR 179.76 IDR -87%
NIBE Industrier AB NIBEB kr 38.91 kr 25.37 -35%
Beijing New Building Materials Public Limited 000786 ¥18.73 ¥31.73 +69%
Moon Environment Technology Co 000811 ¥42.22 ¥11.94 -72%
The Supreme Industries Limited SUPREMEIND ₹3,460 ₹1,376 -60%
Aditya Infotech Limited CPPLUS ₹3,899 ₹763.08 -80%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Owens Corning (OC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $153.33 versus a price of $155.85, about −2% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of OC?
Our model-based fair value for Owens Corning is $153.33 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $155.85.
What is the quality score of OC?
Owens Corning has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Owens Corning (OC)?
Owens Corning reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $9.8B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of OC?
The net profit margin of Owens Corning is about -5.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Owens Corning pay a dividend?
Owens Corning currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.41% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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