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Owens Corning Inc (OC) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $11.5B · ISIN US6907421019

What is Owens Corning Inc really worth?

OC Owens Corning Inc logo Owens Corning Inc OC · US
Price$134.71
Fair Value$153.33
Upside+13.8%
Quality48/100

Below-average quality, trading 12% below our fair value of $153.33.

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Strengths

Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +7.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -5.4% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
!Narrow moat 29/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

For context

·2.20% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range $106.04 – $241.92

Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price −7.4% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range ($106.04 to $241.92) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
  • Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$203.89 $68.88 Fair Value $153.33 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $68.88 – $203.89 · fair‑value band $106.04 – $241.92 · the $134.71 price screens below the $153.33 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

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Analysis

Owens Corning Inc (OC) currently trades at $134.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $153.33, implying the stock looks roughly 12.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $309.28 per share, and 10 of the 15 models we run sit above the $134.71 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $32.06, and 5 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Owens Corning Inc generated revenue of $9.8B at a net margin of −5.4%. Revenue declined 10.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −9.4%. Net debt stands at $5.8B. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $106.04 (bear case) to $241.92 (bull case); at $134.71, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at 14%, OC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $72.14 $125.78 $201.40 78
Growth DCF $76.08 $126.40 $194.55 77
5Y EBITDA Exit $154.11 $281.40 $423.22 74
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $72.14 $125.78 $201.40 78
5Y Revenue Exit $86.03 $161.36 $253.85 71
5Y EBITDA Exit $154.11 $281.40 $423.22 74
10Y Revenue Exit $75.15 $141.22 $222.25 65
10Y EBITDA Exit $122.06 $222.00 $344.71 67
Earnings-Based
EPV $114.95 $143.07 $167.69 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $26.45 $42.34 $60.19 68
DDM Multi-Stage $26.45 $38.43 $51.88 67
Multiples
EV/EBIT $218.51 $309.28 $400.06 65
EV/EBITDA $238.46 $335.88 $433.31 67
EV/Revenue $104.26 $172.01 $239.75 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $23.92 $32.06 $47.85 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $76.08 $126.40 $194.55 77
Rev-Margin DCF $86.03 $162.57 $243.30 71
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $121.07 $160.09 $202.29 72

Widest divergence: Multiples ($309.28) versus Asset-Based ($32.06). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 1.17 TTM
EPS (TTM) $−4.80
Dividend yield 2.2%
Net margin −5.2% FY2025
Return on equity −9.4% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 15.1% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 7.3% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $9.8B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −10.5% 3y avg +1.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +31.2%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $962M FY2025
Net debt $5.8B FY2025 · ≈ 6.0 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 17
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 48
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 41
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 43
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Owens Corning provides residential and commercial building products in the United States, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Roofing, Insulation, and Doors. The company offers laminate and strip asphalt roofing shingles, roofing components, and oxidized asphalt.

Full company description

Owens Corning provides residential and commercial building products in the United States, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Roofing, Insulation, and Doors. The company offers laminate and strip asphalt roofing shingles, roofing components, and oxidized asphalt. It also provides high, mid, and low temperature products; thermal and acoustical batts, loosefill insulation, spray foam insulation, wet use chopped strand, foam sheathing and accessories under the Owens Corning PINK, Next Gen, and FIBERGLAS Insulation brands; and glass fiber pipe insulation, energy efficient flexible duct media, bonded and granulated stone wool insulation, and cellular glass insulation and foam insulation under the FOAMULAR, FOAMGLAS, and Paroc brand names. In addition, the company offers residential interior and exterior doors; glass, fiberglass and metal, and door components such as frames, sills, weather-stripping, hinges and locks. Further, it manufactures, fabricates, and sells glass reinforcements in the form of fiber and mats. The company distributes its products to distributors, home centers and lumberyards, installers, retailers, homebuilders, contractors, dealers, building products retailers, and remodeling contractors. Owens Corning was incorporated in 1938 and is headquartered in Toledo, Ohio.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Owens Corning Inc reported revenue of $10.1B in FY2025 versus $8.5B in FY2021, a compound +4.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$522M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 46/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$10.1B
Latest YoY
−7.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (38Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.3%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +4.4%/yr
FY21 $8.5B
FY22 $9.8B
FY23 $9.7B
FY24 $11.0B
FY25 $10.1B
Net income
FY21 $995M
FY22 $1.2B
FY23 $1.2B
FY24 $647M
FY25 −$522M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +17.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +11.3 %

of which total revenue +7.8 % · buybacks/dilution +3.2 %

EBIT margin +7.2 %
Tax rate −0.3 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.5 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Owens Corning Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OC

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Building Products & Equipment · 243 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside +14% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) −5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth −11% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.2% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.22× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.99× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.17× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 12.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.8× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.62× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE52 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 11
PAST0 · sector 25
HEALTH39 · sector 95
DIVIDEND44 · sector 41

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Trane Technologies plc TT $454.31 $208.50 −54%
Johnson Controls International plc JCI $142.23 $44.75 −69%
Carrier Global Corporation CARR $57.25 $16.85 −71%
Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO €81.20 €97.97 +21%
Geberit AG GEBN CHF 577.80 CHF 307.66 −47%
Lennox International Inc LII $377.25 $363.09 −4%
Kingspan Group KRX €87.30 €66.79 −23%
Masco Corporation MAS $74.64 $53.22 −29%
Carlisle Companies Incorporated CSL $356.53 $340.70 −4%
BELIMO Holding BEAN CHF 878.50 CHF 227.18 −74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Owens Corning Inc (OC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $153.33 versus a price of $134.71, about +14% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OC?
Our model-based fair value for Owens Corning Inc is $153.33 (as of Sep 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $134.71.
What is the quality score of OC?
Owens Corning Inc has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Owens Corning Inc (OC)?
Owens Corning Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $9.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of OC?
The net profit margin of Owens Corning Inc is about −5.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Owens Corning Inc pay a dividend?
Owens Corning Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.20% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 3, 2026).
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