Kingspan Group plc (KRX) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · IE · Market cap €15.8B · ISIN IE0004927939
What is Kingspan Group plc really worth?
A solid business, but trading 54% above our fair value of €66.79.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from €70.76 to €66.79 (−5.6%) since Jul 19, 2026.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€96.23). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (€31.36 to €96.23). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €42.97 – €104.00 · fair‑value band €31.36 – €96.23 · the €102.70 price screens above the €66.79 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Kingspan Group plc (KRX) currently trades at €102.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €66.79, implying the stock looks roughly 53.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €76.85 per share, and 1 of the 24 models we run sit above the €102.70 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €16.69, and 23 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Kingspan Group plc generated revenue of €9.2B at a net margin of 7.3%. Revenue grew 5.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.4%. Net debt stands at €1.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €31.36 (bear case) to €96.23 (bull case); at €102.70, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 65% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at −35%, KRX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly €2.11 per share, which is 3.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (€76.85) versus Asset-Based (€16.69). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (75).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Kingspan Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides insulation and building envelope solutions in Western and Southern Europe, Central and Northern Europe, the Americas, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Insulated Building Envelopes, and Advnsys.
Full company description
Kingspan Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides insulation and building envelope solutions in Western and Southern Europe, Central and Northern Europe, the Americas, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Insulated Building Envelopes, and Advnsys. The Insulated Building Envelopes segment provides advanced energy-saving solutions for roofs, walls, and floors, delivering building solutions for energy efficiency in both new build and renovation applications across all building types. The Advnsys segment designs and manufactures bespoke critical infrastructure solutions, primarily focused on data centres, ventilation, and daylighting, offering high-performance systems that deliver energy efficient lighting, airflow, cooling, and ventilation for both new build and renovation projects in data centres and commercial buildings. The company offers a comprehensive suite of products, including insulated panels, insulation boards, roofing and waterproofing solutions, structural steel products and system, facades, ceiling systems, raised access floors, daylighting solutions, and water management technologies. It also provides solutions such as PowerPanel integrated solar roofing, QuadCore LEC insulated panels, Kooltherm insulation boards, and a range of lower embodied carbon and bio-based materials. Additionally, the company is involved in developing circular economy solutions, including product takeback and recycling schemes, and offers digital infrastructure, smoke management, and ventilation systems. Kingspan Group plc was founded in 1965 and is based in Kingscourt, Ireland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Kingspan Group plc reported revenue of €9.2B in FY2025 versus €6.5B in FY2021, a compound +9.1%/yr. Reported net income was €671M in FY2025, compounding +4.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +16.4 % · buybacks/dilution −0.7 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
KRX screens 54% overvalued. Compare with Trane Technologies plc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Kingspan Group PLC (KGSPF) (H1 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Revenue Up 8% to EUR4. ...
- REC Solar, Kingspan Insulation, and Dynamic Energy Complete 881 kW Rooftop Solar Installation in Mendota, Illinois
- Is It Time To Reassess Kingspan Group (ISE:KRX) After Recent Sector Headlines?
- Kingspan Group PLC (KGSPF) Full Year 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Revenue Growth Amid ...
Peer Group
Building Products & Equipment · 243 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trane Technologies plc TT | $454.31 | $208.50 | −54% |
| Johnson Controls International plc JCI | $142.23 | $44.75 | −69% |
| Carrier Global Corporation CARR | $57.25 | $16.85 | −71% |
| Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO | €81.20 | €97.97 | +21% |
| Geberit AG GEBN | CHF 577.80 | CHF 307.66 | −47% |
| Lennox International Inc LII | $377.25 | $363.09 | −4% |
| Masco Corporation MAS | $74.64 | $53.22 | −29% |
| Carlisle Companies Incorporated CSL | $356.53 | $340.70 | −4% |
| BELIMO Holding BEAN | CHF 878.50 | CHF 227.18 | −74% |
| Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc WMS | $144.10 | $106.17 | −26% |
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