Johnson Controls International PLC (JCI) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $87.1B · ISIN IE00BY7QL619
What is Johnson Controls International PLC really worth?
Johnson Controls International PLC
JCI · US
A solid business, but trading 218% above our fair value of $44.75.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Share price −7.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($80.78). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($33.04 to $80.78) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $42.77 – $154.76 · fair‑value band $33.04 – $80.78 · the $142.23 price screens above the $44.75 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
Analysis
Johnson Controls International PLC (JCI) currently trades at $142.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $44.75, implying the stock looks roughly 217.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $97.11 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $142.23 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $12.56, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Johnson Controls International PLC generated revenue of $24.4B at a net margin of 14.5%. Revenue grew 8.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.5%. Net debt stands at $10.8B. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $33.04 (bear case) to $80.78 (bull case); at $142.23, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −26% fair-value upside, at −69%, JCI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 11 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $1.58 per share, which is 3.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($97.11) versus Growth DCF ($12.56). Highest evidence: Owner Earnings (75).
Notify me when JCI reaches fair value
Put JCI on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.
Set up alert →Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Johnson Controls International plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in engineering, manufacturing, commissioning, and retrofitting building products and systems in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific.
Full company description
Johnson Controls International plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in engineering, manufacturing, commissioning, and retrofitting building products and systems in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. The company designs, manufactures, sells, installs, and services heating, ventilating, air conditioning, controls, building management, refrigeration, integrated electronic security, integrated fire detection and suppression systems, and digital solutions. It also provides energy solutions and technical services, including inspection, scheduled maintenance, and repair and replacement of mechanical and control systems, as well as data-driven building solutions. It sells its products and services to commercial, residential security, institutional, industrial, data center, marine, and governmental customers. Johnson Controls International plc was incorporated in 1885 and is based in Cork, Ireland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Johnson Controls International PLC reported revenue of $23.6B in FY2025 versus $23.7B in FY2021, a compound −0.1%/yr. Reported net income was $3.3B in FY2025, compounding +19.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue −0.4 % · buybacks/dilution +0.1 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
JCI screens 218% overvalued. Compare with Trane Technologies plc →
Peer Group
Building Products & Equipment · 243 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 46/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trane Technologies plc TT | $454.31 | $208.50 | −54% |
| Carrier Global Corporation CARR | $57.25 | $16.85 | −71% |
| Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO | €81.20 | €97.97 | +21% |
| Geberit AG GEBN | CHF 577.80 | CHF 307.66 | −47% |
| Lennox International Inc LII | $377.25 | $363.09 | −4% |
| Kingspan Group KRX | €87.30 | €66.79 | −23% |
| Masco Corporation MAS | $74.64 | $53.22 | −29% |
| Carlisle Companies Incorporated CSL | $356.53 | $340.70 | −4% |
| BELIMO Holding BEAN | CHF 878.50 | CHF 227.18 | −74% |
| Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc WMS | $144.10 | $106.17 | −26% |
Compare Johnson Controls International PLC with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Industrials stocks →
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
Discover tools
Frequently asked questions
Is Johnson Controls International PLC (JCI) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of JCI?
What is the quality score of JCI?
What is the revenue of Johnson Controls International PLC (JCI)?
What is the net profit margin of JCI?
Does Johnson Controls International PLC pay a dividend?
Watch Johnson Controls International PLC in the live analysis
One click puts Johnson Controls International PLC on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.