NTPC Limited (NTPC) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · IN · Market cap ₹3.3T (≈ $35.1B) · ISIN INE733E01010
What is NTPC Limited really worth?
Below-average quality, trading 11% below our fair value of ₹375.02.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Share price −5.0% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
- The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹90.77 – ₹425.84 · fair‑value band ₹281.27 – ₹468.78 · the ₹332.50 price screens below the ₹375.02 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.
Analysis
NTPC Limited (NTPC) currently trades at ₹332.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹375.02, implying the stock looks roughly 11.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹458.76 per share, and 7 of the 16 models we run sit above the ₹332.50 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹140.39, and 9 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, NTPC Limited generated revenue of ₹1.9T at a net margin of 14.4%. Revenue grew 8.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.7%. Net debt stands at ₹2.6T. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹281.27 (bear case) to ₹468.78 (bull case); at ₹332.50, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at 13%, NTPC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ₹9.27 per share, which is 2.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹458.76) versus Asset-Based (₹140.39). Highest evidence: EPV (73).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
NTPC Limited operates as an integrated power company in India. It operates through two segments: Generation and Others. The company generates power from fossil fuels, hydro, solar, wind, nuclear, and renewable energy sources. It also engages in the coal mining and energy trading business.
Full company description
NTPC Limited operates as an integrated power company in India. It operates through two segments: Generation and Others. The company generates power from fossil fuels, hydro, solar, wind, nuclear, and renewable energy sources. It also engages in the coal mining and energy trading business. NTPC Limited was incorporated in 1975 and is based in New Delhi, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
NTPC Limited reported revenue of ₹1.9T in FY2026 versus ₹1.3T in FY2022, a compound +9.0%/yr. Reported net income was ₹295B in FY2026, compounding +15.3%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +9.9 % · buybacks/dilution +0.2 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Utilities - Regulated Electric · 153 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NextEra Energy, Inc NEE | $83.47 | $32.94 | −61% |
| The Southern Company SO | $88.25 | $58.81 | −33% |
| Duke Energy Corporation DUK | $120.25 | $74.89 | −38% |
| National Grid plc NGG | $80.68 | $63.94 | −21% |
| American Electric Power Company AEP | $122.96 | $77.23 | −37% |
| Dominion Energy, Inc D | $66.01 | $46.34 | −30% |
| Entergy Corporation ETR | $105.75 | $52.92 | −50% |
| Xcel Energy Inc XEL | $76.34 | $44.61 | −42% |
| Exelon Corporation EXC | $43.96 | $37.60 | −14% |
| Endesa, S.A ELE | €42.30 | €25.72 | −39% |
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