Nutanix Inc (NTNX) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $14.8B · ISIN US67059N1081
What is Nutanix Inc really worth?
Nutanix Inc
NTNX · US
Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
A solid business, but trading 532% above our fair value of $10.78.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Share price +10.7% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($14.03). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($7.55 to $14.03) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $13.75 – $83.07 · fair‑value band $7.55 – $14.03 · the $68.08 price screens above the $10.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
Analysis
Nutanix Inc (NTNX) currently trades at $68.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.78, implying the stock looks roughly 531.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $37.83 per share, and 2 of the 23 models we run sit above the $68.08 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $2.16, and 21 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Nutanix Inc generated revenue of $2.7B at a net margin of 10.0%. Revenue grew 10.0% year over year. Net debt stands at $713M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 71.7. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $7.55 (bear case) to $14.03 (bull case); at $68.08, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 100% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −84%, NTNX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 12 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.9500 per share, which is 8.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($37.83) versus Dividend Discount ($2.16). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (75).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Nutanix, Inc. provides an enterprise cloud platform in North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Latin America, and Africa.
Full company description
Nutanix, Inc. provides an enterprise cloud platform in North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Latin America, and Africa. It offers hyperconverged infrastructure software; Nutanix Cloud Platform, which is designed to enable organizations to build hybrid multicloud infrastructure; Nutanix cloud infrastructure, is a distributed HCI for enterprise IT applications, includes Nutanix AOS; Nutanix AHV; Nutanix data services for Kubernetes; flow network security; flow virtual networking provides software-defined networking with multi-tenant isolation; Nutanix Cloud Clusters; Nutanix central provides management of the Nutanix hybrid multicloud environment; and Nutanix prism, is the unified control plane and UI; Nutanix Cloud Manager, is a unified management solution; NCM Intelligent Operations; NCM Self-Service and Orchestration; NCM Cost Governance; and Nutanix Security Central unifies cloud security operations. In addition, the company offers Nutanix Kubernetes Platform, which is an enterprise-grade Kubernetes platform to accelerate app development without lock-in; Nutanix Unified Storage; Nutanix Files Storage, is a software-defined scale-out file storage solution; Nutanix Objects Storage, is a scale-out S3-compatible object storage solution; Nutanix Objects Storage; Nutanix Volumes Block Storage, is a software-defined storage solution; Nutanix Data Lens, is a cloud-based cyber resilience service; Nutanix Database Service; Nutanix Enterprise AI, is a centralized inferencing control plane; and GPT-in-a-Box is a full-stack help provide consistent data services for structured and unstructured data. Further, it provides product support, and consulting and implementation services. The company serves financial services, retail, manufacturing, public sector, automotive and other transportation, consumer goods, education, energy, healthcare, media, technology, and telecommunications industries. The company has a strategic alliance with NetApp, Inc. to integrate NetApp Intelligent Data Infrastructure built on
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Nutanix Inc reported revenue of $2.5B in FY2025 versus $1.4B in FY2021, a compound +16.2%/yr. Reported net income was $188M in FY2025.
NTNX screens 532% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- EXLS or NTNX: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?
- Broadcom Boosts VMware AI Push to Challenge Nutanix & Microsoft
- Nutanix (NTNX) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
- What Is Nutanix (NTNX) Telling Investors With Its New AI And Cloud Tools?
Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 369 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $480.35 | $365.74 | −24% |
| Oracle Corporation ORCL | $151.94 | $117.84 | −22% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $166.00 | $61.46 | −63% |
| Synopsys, Inc SNPS | $442.61 | $101.19 | −77% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$111.01 | A$70.69 | −36% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $105.26 | $71.79 | −32% |
| NetApp, Inc NTAP | $190.64 | $154.83 | −19% |
| Adyen N.V ADYEN | €1,007 | €707.53 | −30% |
| MongoDB, Inc MDB | $440.58 | $93.91 | −79% |
| Okta, Inc OKTA | $166.23 | $30.50 | −82% |
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