OY Nofar Energy Ltd (NOFR) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · Il · Market cap 8.2B ILA · ISIN IL0011708778
What is OY Nofar Energy Ltd really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 329% above our fair value of 40.00 ILA.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 23, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 13 days ago
Share price −4.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (50.00 ILA). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (19/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 70.10 ILA – 281.40 ILA · fair‑value band 30.00 ILA – 50.00 ILA · the 171.60 ILA price screens above the 40.00 ILA fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.
Analysis
OY Nofar Energy Ltd (NOFR) currently trades at 171.60 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 40.00 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 329.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 19/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 47.61 ILA per share, and 0 of the 9 models we run sit above the 171.60 ILA price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 22.52 ILA, and 9 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, OY Nofar Energy Ltd generated revenue of 318M ILA at a net margin of 28.4%. Revenue declined 27.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.4%. Net debt stands at 3.7B ILA. Fundamentals as of Aug 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 30.00 ILA (bear case) to 50.00 ILA (bull case); at 171.60 ILA, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at −77%, NOFR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 1.11 ILS per share, which is 2.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (47.61 ILA) versus Earnings-Based (22.52 ILA). Highest evidence: Residual Income (71).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 20 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
O.Y. Nofar Energy Ltd develops, designs, licenses, constructs, and operates photovoltaic systems on rooftops in Israel. It engages in the initiation, financing, construction, operation, and maintenance of solar power generation systems, wind power generation systems, and battery storage systems.
Full company description
O.Y. Nofar Energy Ltd develops, designs, licenses, constructs, and operates photovoltaic systems on rooftops in Israel. It engages in the initiation, financing, construction, operation, and maintenance of solar power generation systems, wind power generation systems, and battery storage systems. It serves in the United States, Poland, Romania, Spain, Italy, England, Serbia and Czech Republic. O.Y. Nofar Energy Ltd was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Ashdod, Israel.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
OY Nofar Energy Ltd reported revenue of 311M ILS in FY2025 versus 361M ILS in FY2021, a compound −3.6%/yr. Reported net income was 90.1M ILS in FY2025, compounding +112.9%/yr from FY2021.
NOFR screens 329% overvalued. Compare with China Yangtze Power Co →
Peer Group
Utilities - Renewable · 213 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Yangtze Power Co 600900 | ¥27.96 | ¥25.13 | −10% |
| Ørsted A/S ORSTED | kr 139.25 | kr 31.40 | −77% |
| Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 | ¥9.79 | ¥5.57 | −43% |
| Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN | ₹1,319 | ₹169.61 | −87% |
| AXIA Energia SA AXIAP | $10.74 | $9.49 | −12% |
| VERBUND AG OEWA | €57.00 | €66.19 | +16% |
| BEP BEP | $31.27 | $70.40 | +125% |
| BEPUN BEPUN | C$45.05 | C$42.83 | −5% |
| Fortum Oyj FORTUM | €19.80 | €13.55 | −32% |
| China Longyuan Power Group 001289 | ¥15.92 | ¥7.55 | −53% |
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