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NIBE Industrier AB (NIBE-B) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · SE · Market cap 71.7B SEK (≈ $7.5B) · ISIN SE0015988019

What is NIBE Industrier AB really worth?

NI NIBE Industrier AB NIBE-B · ST
Pricekr 43.96
Fair Valuekr 40.43
Upside−8.0%
Quality58/100

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of kr 40.43.

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Strengths

Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +8.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.9% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
!Narrow moat 42/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 23 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 16 out of 100

For context

·0.80% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range kr 26.52 – kr 53.42

Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 21, 2026, revised from kr 25.37 to kr 40.43 (+59.4%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +9.5% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (kr 26.52 to kr 53.42) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 131.79 kr 31.50 Fair Value kr 40.43 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 31.50 – kr 131.79 · fair‑value band kr 26.52 – kr 53.42 · the kr 43.96 price screens above the kr 40.43 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

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Analysis

NIBE Industrier AB (NIBE-B) currently trades at kr 43.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 40.43, implying the stock looks roughly 8.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 37.40 per share, and 4 of the 25 models we run sit above the kr 43.96 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at kr 5.47, and 21 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, NIBE Industrier AB generated revenue of 40.8B SEK at a net margin of 5.9%. Revenue declined 0.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.8%. Net debt stands at 17.0B SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 26.52 (bear case) to kr 53.42 (bull case); at kr 43.96, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at −8%, NIBE-B screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly kr 0.5684 per share, which is 1.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF kr 29.52 kr 59.75 kr 113.14 76
Residual Income kr 13.94 kr 14.81 kr 16.32 76
Growth DCF kr 29.15 kr 56.63 kr 103.69 75
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 29.52 kr 59.75 kr 113.14 76
5Y Revenue Exit kr 17.69 kr 33.65 kr 55.01 70
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 25.09 kr 49.06 kr 79.19 73
5Y P/E Exit kr 17.75 kr 33.76 kr 51.92 69
10Y Revenue Exit kr 20.71 kr 37.31 kr 62.32 65
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 26.28 kr 48.68 kr 82.77 66
10Y P/E Exit kr 21.39 kr 37.40 kr 59.69 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 8.68 kr 41.83 kr 57.60 64
Lynch FV kr 11.17 kr 15.96 kr 20.75 61
PEG = 1.0 kr 11.17 kr 15.96 kr 20.75 57
EPV kr 8.53 kr 11.01 kr 13.18 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM kr 3.12 kr 6.49 kr 10.29 66
DDM Multi-Stage kr 3.12 kr 5.47 kr 6.81 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 20.11 kr 26.82 kr 33.52 63
P/S Multiple kr 16.28 kr 21.71 kr 27.14 58
P/B Multiple kr 16.28 kr 21.71 kr 27.14 55
EV/EBIT kr 19.83 kr 28.56 kr 37.29 65
EV/EBITDA kr 25.36 kr 35.93 kr 46.51 67
EV/Revenue kr 12.33 kr 20.34 kr 28.36 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 8.48 kr 11.37 kr 16.97 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 29.15 kr 56.63 kr 103.69 75
Rev-Margin DCF kr 17.69 kr 33.47 kr 54.13 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 13.94 kr 14.81 kr 16.32 76
ROIC Compounder kr 8.53 kr 11.01 kr 13.18 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 17.43 kr 24.90 kr 32.37 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 37.40) versus Dividend Discount (kr 5.47). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 29.9 as of Jul 15, 2026
P/S ratio 1.67 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) kr 1.19 price ÷ EPS = P/E 29.9
Dividend yield 0.8% payout 29.4%
Net margin 5.6% FY2025
Return on equity 7.8% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 8.1% avg 5y
Operating margin 9.0% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 40.8B SEK TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −0.2% 3y avg +0.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +28.8%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 4.9B SEK FY2025
Net debt 17.0B SEK FY2025 · ≈ 3.5 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 53
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 66
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 60
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 65
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

NIBE Industrier AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, markets, and sells energy-efficient solutions for indoor climate comfort, and components and solutions for intelligent heating and control. It operates through NIBE Climate Solutions, NIBE Element, and NIBE Stoves business areas.

Full company description

NIBE Industrier AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, markets, and sells energy-efficient solutions for indoor climate comfort, and components and solutions for intelligent heating and control. It operates through NIBE Climate Solutions, NIBE Element, and NIBE Stoves business areas. The NIBE Climate Solutions business area offers indoor climate comfort products, such as heat pumps, water heaters, refrigeration systems, accumulator tanks, ventilation systems, climate control systems, and district heating products for homes, apartment blocks, and commercial properties. The NIBE Element business area provides various components and solutions for heating and control, which include tubular, aluminum, foil, thick film, PTC, high-power, and ceramic elements, as well as opena spirals and tapes, heating cables and jackets, vacuum brazing, heat pump technology, resistors, heat exchangers, temperature sensors, heating cables, flexible hoses, and control equipment to domestic and household appliances; professional kitchens and the refrigeration industry; energy; transport; and advanced technology, as well as aviation sectors. The NIBE Stoves business area offers free-standing, wood-burning, gas, and electric stoves; heat-retaining products; and chimney systems, as well as inserts, fireplace cassettes, outdoor stoves, and accessories. It operates in Nordic countries, rest of Europe, North America, and internationally. The company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Markaryd, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

NIBE Industrier AB reported revenue of 40.8B SEK in FY2025 versus 30.8B SEK in FY2021, a compound +7.3%/yr. Reported net income was 2.3B SEK in FY2025, compounding −9.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 77/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
40.8B SEK
Latest YoY
+0.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.2%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−3.7% (−4.5 + 0.8)
Revenue +7.3%/yr
FY21 30.8B SEK
FY22 40.1B SEK
FY23 46.6B SEK
FY24 40.5B SEK
FY25 40.8B SEK
Net income −9.0%/yr
FY21 3.3B SEK
FY22 4.4B SEK
FY23 4.8B SEK
FY24 1.2B SEK
FY25 2.3B SEK
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +8.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share +12.9 %

of which total revenue +13.9 % · buybacks/dilution −0.9 %

EBIT margin −2.3 %
Tax rate −0.1 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.4 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NIBE Industrier AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NIBE-B

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Building Products & Equipment · 243 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −8% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.53× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 29.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.37× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.76× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 15.7× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.79× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE23 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 11
PAST31 · sector 25
HEALTH73 · sector 95
DIVIDEND16 · sector 41

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Trane Technologies plc TT $454.31 $208.50 −54%
Johnson Controls International plc JCI $142.23 $44.75 −69%
Carrier Global Corporation CARR $57.25 $16.85 −71%
Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO €81.20 €97.97 +21%
Geberit AG GEBN CHF 577.80 CHF 307.66 −47%
Lennox International Inc LII $377.25 $363.09 −4%
Kingspan Group KRX €87.30 €66.79 −23%
Masco Corporation MAS $74.64 $53.22 −29%
Carlisle Companies Incorporated CSL $356.53 $340.70 −4%
BELIMO Holding BEAN CHF 878.50 CHF 227.18 −74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is NIBE Industrier AB (NIBE-B) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 40.43 versus a price of kr 43.96, about −8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of NIBE-B?
Our model-based fair value for NIBE Industrier AB is kr 40.43 (as of Aug 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 43.96.
What is the quality score of NIBE-B?
NIBE Industrier AB has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of NIBE Industrier AB (NIBE-B)?
NIBE Industrier AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 40.8B SEK (latest available figure, as of Aug 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NIBE-B?
The net profit margin of NIBE Industrier AB is about 5.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does NIBE Industrier AB pay a dividend?
NIBE Industrier AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.80% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 21, 2026).
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