Megaport Ltd (MP1) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · AU · Market cap A$4.9B (≈ $3.5B) · ISIN AU000000MP15
What is Megaport Ltd really worth?
A solid business, but trading 388% above our fair value of A$3.48.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from A$2.60 to A$3.48 (+33.8%) since Jul 12, 2026. Share price −5.3% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$4.28). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$3.96 – A$21.88 · fair‑value band A$2.43 – A$4.28 · the A$16.99 price screens above the A$3.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Megaport Ltd (MP1) currently trades at A$16.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$3.48, implying the stock looks roughly 388.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of A$3.82 per share, and 0 of the 13 models we run sit above the A$16.99 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.4900, and 13 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Megaport Ltd generated revenue of A$255M at a net margin of −7.9%. Revenue grew 26.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −6.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$73.8M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$2.43 (bear case) to A$4.28 (bull case); at A$16.99, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 165% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −80%, MP1 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (A$3.82) versus Dividend Discount (A$0.1400). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Megaport Limited provides on-demand interconnection services in Australia, New Zealand, Hong Kong, Singapore, Japan, the United States of America, Canada, Mexico, and Brazil, and Europe. It operates a Software Defined Network platform that enables customers to connect their network to other services, as well as agile networking.
Full company description
Megaport Limited provides on-demand interconnection services in Australia, New Zealand, Hong Kong, Singapore, Japan, the United States of America, Canada, Mexico, and Brazil, and Europe. It operates a Software Defined Network platform that enables customers to connect their network to other services, as well as agile networking. The company also offers hybrid cloud, cloud to cloud, Virtual connectivity hub, global WAN, and data center interconnect solutions, as well as internet exchanges, megaport internet, and firewall as a service hosting services. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Fortitude Valley, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Megaport Ltd reported revenue of A$227M in FY2025 versus A$78.3M in FY2021, a compound +30.5%/yr. Reported net income was −A$292K in FY2025.
MP1 screens 388% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 369 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $480.35 | $365.74 | −24% |
| Oracle Corporation ORCL | $151.94 | $117.84 | −22% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $166.00 | $61.46 | −63% |
| Synopsys, Inc SNPS | $442.61 | $101.19 | −77% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$111.01 | A$70.69 | −36% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $105.26 | $71.79 | −32% |
| NetApp, Inc NTAP | $190.64 | $154.83 | −19% |
| Adyen N.V ADYEN | €1,007 | €707.53 | −30% |
| MongoDB, Inc MDB | $440.58 | $93.91 | −79% |
| Okta, Inc OKTA | $166.23 | $30.50 | −82% |
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