Megaport Ltd (MP1) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Megaport Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
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Technology · AU · Market cap A$4.9B (≈ $3.5B) · ISIN AU000000MP15
At a glance
MLMegaport LtdMP1 · AU
PriceA$18.41
Fair ValueA$3.48
Upside−81.1% ⚠
Quality60/100
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
A solid business, but trading 429% above our fair value of A$3.48.
As of Sep 7, 2026, the fair value of Megaport Ltd is A$3.48 per share against a price of A$18.41, so the fair value sits 81% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +31.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -7.9% net margin
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/12)
!Narrow moat 18/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 1 out of 100
Evidence: MediumRange A$2.43 to A$4.28
Fair value as of: Sep 7, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price −7.6% over the past month.
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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$4.28). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$3.96 – A$21.88 · fair‑value band A$2.43 – A$4.28 · the A$18.41 price screens above the A$3.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 7, 2026.
Megaport Ltd (MP1) currently trades at A$18.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$3.48, implying the stock looks roughly 429.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of A$3.82 per share, and 0 of the 13 models we run sit above the A$18.41 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.4900, and 13 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Megaport Ltd generated revenue of A$255M at a net margin of −7.9%. Revenue grew 26.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −6.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$73.8M. Fundamentals as of Sep 7, 2026
Scenario range: A$2.43 (bear) to A$4.28 (bull), the price of A$18.41 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 188% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −81%, MP1 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (A$0.1400 to A$5.76). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
ModelBear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence
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Key figures & financial health
P/S ratio19.1TTM
EPS (TTM)A$−0.1300
Dividend yield0.1%
Net margin−0.1%FY2025
Return on equity−6.0%TTM
Return on assets (EBIT)−10.0%avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin−2.8%TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM)A$255MTTM
Revenue growth (YoY)+26.3%3y avg +27.4%
EPS growth (YoY)−66.7%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flowA$33.9MFY2025
Net cashA$73.8MFY2025
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality60/100
Of which business quality 65
· Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Profitability42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow64
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength99
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment53
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility17
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum76
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum72
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance81
Buybacks instead of dilution
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Megaport Limited provides on-demand interconnection services in Australia, New Zealand, Hong Kong, Singapore, Japan, the United States of America, Canada, Mexico, and Brazil, and Europe. It operates a Software Defined Network platform that enables customers to connect their network to other services, as well as agile networking.
Full company description
Megaport Limited provides on-demand interconnection services in Australia, New Zealand, Hong Kong, Singapore, Japan, the United States of America, Canada, Mexico, and Brazil, and Europe. It operates a Software Defined Network platform that enables customers to connect their network to other services, as well as agile networking. The company also offers hybrid cloud, cloud to cloud, Virtual connectivity hub, global WAN, and data center interconnect solutions, as well as internet exchanges, megaport internet, and firewall as a service hosting services. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Fortitude Valley, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Megaport Ltd reported revenue of A$227M in FY2025 versus A$78.3M in FY2021, a compound +30.5%/yr. Reported net income was −A$292K in FY2025.
Growth Quality 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$227M
Latest YoY
+16.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+27.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+31.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (9Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+63.8%
EBIT margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−78.0% (2020) → −0.2% (2025)
Value creation/yr ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Megaport Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MP1
Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 368 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Above median
Fair Value upside−80% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth26% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Above median
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
P/B19.69× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)13.79× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF103.6× · Priciest 25%
What the price implies (reverse DCF)
The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Megaport Ltd deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE0· sector 2
FUTURE100· sector 49
PAST0· sector 15
HEALTH98· sector 98
DIVIDEND1· sector 26
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 7, 2026).
As of Sep 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$3.48 versus a price of A$18.41, about −81% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MP1?
Our model-based fair value for Megaport Ltd is A$3.48 (as of Sep 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$18.41.
What is the quality score of MP1?
Megaport Ltd has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Megaport Ltd (MP1)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$3.48 (as of Sep 7, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$2.43, optimistic scenario A$4.28. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Megaport Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$3.48, about −81% upside versus a price of A$18.41 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$2.43, optimistic scenario A$4.28. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Megaport Ltd (MP1)?
Megaport Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$255M (latest available figure, as of Sep 7, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MP1?
The net profit margin of Megaport Ltd is about −7.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Megaport Ltd pay a dividend?
Megaport Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.06% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 7, 2026).
What growth is priced into Megaport Ltd (MP1)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Megaport Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +29.0 % per year for ten years (discount rate 10.3 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +31.4 % per year. As of Sep 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MP1 use?
Our models discount Megaport Ltd at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.36, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is the intrinsic value of Megaport Ltd (MP1)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Megaport Ltd it is A$3.48 per share (as of Sep 7, 2026), against a price of A$18.41. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Megaport Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 7, 2026, MP1 trades above its calculated fair value: price A$18.41, fair value A$3.48, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MP1?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$18.41); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$3.48). For Megaport Ltd the two are A$14.93 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Megaport Ltd worth?
The market values Megaport Ltd at about A$4.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 7, 2026). Per share that is A$18.41; our models calculate a fair value of A$3.48 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MP1?
Our models span a range for Megaport Ltd: cautious scenario A$2.43, base A$3.48, optimistic A$4.28 per share (as of Sep 7, 2026, price A$18.41). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Megaport Ltd (MP1)?
Balance-sheet figures for Megaport Ltd (as of Sep 7, 2026): return on equity −6.0%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MP1 from its 52-week high?
Megaport Ltd trades at A$18.41, about 13% below its 52-week high of A$21.16 and 188% above the low of A$6.40 (as of Sep 7, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$3.48 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Megaport Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corporation, Palo Alto Networks, Inc, Fortinet, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Megaport Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 7, 2026: price A$18.41, calculated fair value A$3.48 (−81%), Quality Score 60/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MP1 calculated?
We run Megaport Ltd through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$3.48, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 32.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Megaport Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on <a href="/is-it-worth-investing-now/">is it worth investing now</a>.
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