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Martin Midstream Partners LP (MMLP) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $93.5M · ISIN US5733311055

What is Martin Midstream Partners LP really worth?

MM Martin Midstream Partners LP logo Martin Midstream Partners LP MMLP · US
Price$2.35
Fair Value$1.02
Upside−56.6%
Quality41/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 130% above our fair value of $1.02.

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Strengths

Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -2.8% net margin
!Trails peers (5/13)
!Narrow moat 21/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $0.2040 to $4.08
!Weak on dividend: 17 out of 100

For context

·0.85% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range $0.2040 – $4.08

Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price −3.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($0.2040 to $4.08). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$5.58 $2.00 Fair Value $1.02 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.00 – $5.58 · fair‑value band $0.2040 – $4.08 · the $2.35 price screens above the $1.02 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

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Analysis

Martin Midstream Partners LP (MMLP) currently trades at $2.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.02, implying the stock looks roughly 130.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $3.95 per share, and 2 of the 7 models we run sit above the $2.35 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $0.1700, and 5 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Martin Midstream Partners LP generated revenue of $711M at a net margin of −2.8%. Revenue declined 2.5% year over year. Net debt stands at $525M. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.2040 (bear case) to $4.08 (bull case); at $2.35, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −57%, MMLP screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely ($0.1700 to $4.63). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
5Y EBITDA Exit best evidence $4.74 72
5Y Revenue Exit $0.3500 $5.89 69
Gordon GGM $0.1400 $0.1700 $0.2000 69
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
5Y Revenue Exit $0.3500 $5.89 69
5Y EBITDA Exit best evidence $4.74 72
10Y Revenue Exit $0.8600 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.2000 65
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.1400 $0.1700 $0.2000 69
DDM Multi-Stage $0.1400 $0.1800 $0.2100 67
Multiples
EV/EBIT $1.04 $4.03 61
EV/EBITDA $0.2200 $3.95 $7.67 58
EV/Revenue $4.63 $9.30 50
Growth DCF
Rev-Margin DCF $0.4100 $5.15 69

Widest divergence: Multiples ($3.95) versus Dividend Discount ($0.1700). Highest evidence: 5Y EBITDA Exit (72).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.13 TTM
EPS (TTM) $−0.5100
Dividend yield 0.9%
Net margin −2.0% FY2025
Return on assets (EBIT) 10.2% avg 5y
Operating margin 4.1% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $711M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −2.5% 3y avg −11.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +231%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $21.4M FY2025
Net debt $525M FY2025 · ≈ 24.6 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 26
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 10
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Martin Midstream Partners L.P., together with its subsidiaries, provides terminalling, processing, and storage services for petroleum products and by-products in the United States. It operates through four segments: Terminalling and Storage, Transportation, Sulfur Services, and Specialty Products.

Full company description

Martin Midstream Partners L.P., together with its subsidiaries, provides terminalling, processing, and storage services for petroleum products and by-products in the United States. It operates through four segments: Terminalling and Storage, Transportation, Sulfur Services, and Specialty Products. The company owns or operates various marine shore-based terminal facilities and specialty terminal facilities, as well as naphthenic lubricants refinery; and offers storage, refining, and handling services for producers and suppliers of petroleum products, handling services for molten sulfur and asphalt, land rental services to oil and gas companies, and storage and handling services for lubricants and fuels. It also engages in the operation of land and marine transportation assets that transport petroleum products and by-products, petrochemicals, and chemicals; and provides refinery and petrochemical services, including transportation of heavy tank bottoms by-products and other petroleum products, hauling natural gas liquids, molten sulfur, sulfuric acid, paper mill liquids, chemicals, and other bulk liquid commodities. In addition, the company processes and distributes molten sulfur into prilled or pelletized sulfur; owns and operates sulfur-based fertilizer production plants and an emulsified sulfur blending plant; and manufactures and markets sulfur-based fertilizer and related sulfur products, such as ammonium sulfate, liquid sulfur, plant nutrient sulfur, Industrial sulfur, and sulfuric acid. Further, it is involved in owning and operating facilities for the blending, processing, packaging, marketing and distribution of private label agricultural, automotive, and industrial lubricants, as well as commercial and industrial greases; selling and distributing natural gas liquids; and storing and transporting of natural gas liquids for wholesale deliveries. The company was founded in 1951 and is headquartered in Kilgore, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Martin Midstream Partners LP reported revenue of $716M in FY2025 versus $882M in FY2021, a compound −5.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$14.5M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 32/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$716M
Latest YoY
+1.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−11.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (26Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.6%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −5.1%/yr
FY21 $882M
FY22 $1.0B
FY23 $798M
FY24 $708M
FY25 $716M
Net income
FY21 −$211K
FY22 −$10.3M
FY23 −$4.4M
FY24 −$5.1M
FY25 −$14.5M

MMLP screens 130% overvalued. Compare with Enbridge Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Martin Midstream Partners LP Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MMLP

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Midstream · 89 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 41 · Below median
Fair Value upside −57% · Below median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) −3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth −3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.9% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.13× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 4.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 7.36× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 44
PAST0 · sector 42
HEALTH100 · sector 54
DIVIDEND17 · sector 80

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Enbridge Inc ENB $50.72 $35.83 −29%
The Williams Companies, Inc WMB $74.05 $11.73 −84%
Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD $39.02 $20.94 −46%
TC Energy Corporation TRP C$88.72 C$24.53 −72%
Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI $31.60 $10.92 −65%
Energy Transfer LP, ET $21.31 $11.45 −46%
MPLX LP owns and MPLX $59.25 $36.42 −39%
ONEOK, Inc OKE $95.69 $58.62 −39%
Targa Resources Corp TRGP $286.91 $79.61 −72%
Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG $280.80 $199.99 −29%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Martin Midstream Partners LP (MMLP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.02 versus a price of $2.35, about −57% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MMLP?
Our model-based fair value for Martin Midstream Partners LP is $1.02 (as of Sep 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.35.
What is the quality score of MMLP?
Martin Midstream Partners LP has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Martin Midstream Partners LP (MMLP)?
Martin Midstream Partners LP reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $711M (latest available figure, as of Sep 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MMLP?
The net profit margin of Martin Midstream Partners LP is about −2.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Martin Midstream Partners LP pay a dividend?
Martin Midstream Partners LP currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.85% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 3, 2026).
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