Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V (MEGACPO) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · MX · Market cap 53.1B MXN (≈ $3.1B) · ISIN MX01ME090003
What is Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V really worth?
A solid business, trading 29% below our fair value of 72.22 MXN.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (49.67 MXN to 90.27 MXN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 28.07 MXN – 63.76 MXN · fair‑value band 49.67 MXN – 90.27 MXN · the 51.52 MXN price screens below the 72.22 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V (MEGACPO) currently trades at 51.52 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 72.22 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 28.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 104.99 MXN per share, and 20 of the 26 models we run sit above the 51.52 MXN price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 27.23 MXN, and 6 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V generated revenue of 27.7B MXN at a net margin of 11.5%. Revenue grew 9.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.2%. Net debt stands at 20.7B MXN. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 49.67 MXN (bear case) to 90.27 MXN (bull case); at 51.52 MXN, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 26% fair-value upside, at 40%, MEGACPO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 1.31 MXN per share, which is 1.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (104.99 MXN) versus Asset-Based (27.23 MXN). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Megacable Holdings, S. A. B. de C. V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the installation, operation, and maintenance of cable television, internet, and telephone signal distribution systems. It operates through Cable, Internet, Telephone services, Corporate, and Other segments.
Full company description
Megacable Holdings, S. A. B. de C. V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the installation, operation, and maintenance of cable television, internet, and telephone signal distribution systems. It operates through Cable, Internet, Telephone services, Corporate, and Other segments. The company operates cable television systems in various states of Mexico; and offers high-speed internet services to residential and commercial customers, as well as digital fixed telephony services to residential and commercial customers. It also produces and broadcasts TV programs, as well as offers point-of-sale, virtual private network, and other network services. The company provides video services to 3,539,822 subscribers; Internet services to 3,833,893 subscribers; and telephony services to 3,031,119 subscribers. It is also involved in the leasing of equipment and infrastructure for providing cable, internet, and telephone services; provision of technical, sales, and administrative staff services, as well as connectivity solutions; and operation of "Video rola' channel. The company was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Guadalajara, Mexico. Megacable Holdings, S. A. B. de C. V. operates as a subsidiary of Nacional Financiera, S.N.C., Institución de Banca de Desarrollo.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V reported revenue of 35.5B MXN in FY2025 versus 24.6B MXN in FY2021, a compound +9.6%/yr. Reported net income was 2.8B MXN in FY2025, compounding −5.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Media & Publishing · 15 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Media & Publishing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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| SM Life Design Group 063440 | 1,130 KRW | 2,065 KRW | +83% |
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| PLI PLI | 6.58 PLN | 1.85 PLN | −72% |
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