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GMA Network Inc (GMA7) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · PH · Market cap 17.0B PHP (≈ $272M) · ISIN PHY2728W1090

What is GMA Network Inc really worth?

GN GMA Network Inc GMA7 · PSE
Price4.09 PHP
Fair Value8.36 PHP
Upside+104.4%
Quality63/100

A solid business, trading 51% below our fair value of 8.36 PHP.

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Strengths

✓Ranks above peers (7/8)
✓Wide moat 69/100

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range 6.52 PHP – 10.44 PHP

Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (6.52 PHP). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

10.60 PHP 3.83 PHP Fair Value 8.36 PHP Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 3.83 PHP – 10.60 PHP · fair‑value band 6.52 PHP – 10.44 PHP · the 4.09 PHP price screens below the 8.36 PHP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

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Analysis

GMA Network Inc (GMA7) currently trades at 4.09 PHP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 8.36 PHP, implying the stock looks roughly 51.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 9.19 PHP per share, and 23 of the 24 models we run sit above the 4.09 PHP price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 2.31 PHP, and 1 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 15.2 (as of Jul 10, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 6.52 PHP (bear case) to 10.44 PHP (bull case); at 4.09 PHP, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 104%, GMA7 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2024 figures, and about 12 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 0.3319 PHP per share, which is 4.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence 4.85 PHP 6.58 PHP 9.78 PHP 78
Growth DCF 5.06 PHP 6.74 PHP 9.60 PHP 75
Owner Earnings 5.75 PHP 7.84 PHP 11.69 PHP 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence 4.85 PHP 6.58 PHP 9.78 PHP 78
Owner Earnings 5.75 PHP 7.84 PHP 11.69 PHP 74
5Y Revenue Exit 5.59 PHP 8.23 PHP 12.07 PHP 69
5Y EBITDA Exit 6.32 PHP 9.50 PHP 13.70 PHP 72
5Y P/E Exit 6.47 PHP 9.76 PHP 13.67 PHP 68
10Y Revenue Exit 5.11 PHP 7.05 PHP 9.16 PHP 65
10Y EBITDA Exit 5.71 PHP 7.83 PHP 10.11 PHP 66
10Y P/E Exit 5.80 PHP 7.99 PHP 10.10 PHP 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 3.39 PHP 4.14 PHP 4.66 PHP 67
EPV 4.54 PHP 5.22 PHP 5.81 PHP 70
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 6.46 PHP 7.08 PHP 8.01 PHP 69
DDM Multi-Stage 6.46 PHP 8.11 PHP 10.42 PHP 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 8.23 PHP 10.97 PHP 13.71 PHP 63
P/S Multiple 6.36 PHP 8.48 PHP 10.60 PHP 58
P/B Multiple 6.36 PHP 8.48 PHP 10.60 PHP 55
EV/EBIT 8.51 PHP 11.20 PHP 13.89 PHP 63
EV/EBITDA 8.39 PHP 11.04 PHP 13.69 PHP 64
EV/Revenue 6.57 PHP 9.19 PHP 11.81 PHP 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1.72 PHP 2.31 PHP 3.44 PHP 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 5.06 PHP 6.74 PHP 9.60 PHP 75
Rev-Margin DCF 5.59 PHP 8.33 PHP 11.67 PHP 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income 3.40 PHP 4.14 PHP 7.59 PHP 73
ROIC Compounder 4.54 PHP 5.39 PHP 6.30 PHP 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 5.80 PHP 8.29 PHP 10.77 PHP 67

Widest divergence: Multiples (9.19 PHP) versus Asset-Based (2.31 PHP). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 15.2 as of Jul 10, 2026
P/S ratio 1.79 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) 0.3319 PHP price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.2
Net margin 11.8% FY2024
Return on assets (EBIT) 26.6% avg 5y

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 12
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 72
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 89
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

GMA Network Inc reported revenue of 17.6B PHP in FY2024 versus 19.3B PHP in FY2020, a compound −2.4%/yr. Reported net income was 2.1B PHP in FY2024, compounding −23.3%/yr from FY2020.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
17.6B PHP
Latest YoY
−5.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (10Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.9%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in PHP) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in PHP: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−4.6% (−4.6 + 0.0)
Revenue −2.4%/yr
FY20 19.3B PHP
FY21 22.5B PHP
FY22 21.6B PHP
FY23 18.6B PHP
FY24 17.6B PHP
Net income −23.3%/yr
FY20 6.0B PHP
FY21 7.5B PHP
FY22 5.4B PHP
FY23 3.2B PHP
FY24 2.1B PHP

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GMA Network Inc · Fair Value
8.36 PHP +51%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GMA Network Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GMA7

Peer Group

Media & Publishing · 15 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +104% · Top 25%
Return on assets 0% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Revenue growth 0% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 17.2% · Top 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 30
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST0 · sector 40
HEALTH0 · sector 100
DIVIDEND100 · sector 96

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Media & Publishing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GTNA GTNA $5.94 $5.83 −2%
SM Culture & Contents Co 048550 1,091 KRW 1,113 KRW +2%
ABS ABS 3.71 PHP 3.21 PHP −13%
Showbox Corp 086980 2,115 KRW 3,511 KRW +66%
DIGITAL CHOSUN Inc 033130 1,942 KRW 2,439 KRW +26%
SM Life Design Group 063440 1,130 KRW 2,065 KRW +83%
533217 533217 ₹90.30 ₹237.72 +163%
PLI PLI 6.58 PLN 1.85 PLN −72%
eMnet Inc 123570 1,658 KRW 1,491 KRW −10%
Samhwa Networks Co 046390 2,040 KRW 243.39 KRW −88%

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Frequently asked questions

Is GMA Network Inc (GMA7) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 8.36 PHP versus a price of 4.09 PHP, about +104% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GMA7?
Our model-based fair value for GMA Network Inc is 8.36 PHP (as of Aug 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 4.09 PHP.
What is the quality score of GMA7?
GMA Network Inc has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of GMA7?
The net profit margin of GMA Network Inc is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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