GTNA Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $852M
GTNA
GTNA · US
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $9.04 to $5.83 (−35.5%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price −20.6% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($2.30 to $9.52). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $5.00 – $21.16 · fair‑value band $2.30 – $9.52 · the $5.94 price screens above the $5.83 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
GTNA (GTNA) currently trades at $5.94, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.83, implying the stock looks roughly 1.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
It earns a return on equity of 11.0%. Net debt stands at $3.5B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 2.0 (as of Jun 20, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $2.30 (bear case) to $9.52 (bull case); at $5.94, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at -2%, GTNA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($63.55) versus Growth DCF ($1.04). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 3
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
GTNA reported revenue of $3.6B in FY2024 versus $2.4B in FY2020, a compound +11.2%/yr. Reported net income was $375M in FY2024, compounding −2.2%/yr from FY2020.
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Peer Group
Media & Publishing · 15 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Media & Publishing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Megacable Holdings MEGACPO | 62.14 MXN | 72.22 MXN | +16% |
| GMA7 GMA7 | 4.39 PHP | 8.36 PHP | +90% |
| SM Culture & Contents Co 048550 | 1,383 KRW | 1,113 KRW | -19% |
| ABS ABS | 3.14 PHP | 2.72 PHP | -13% |
| Showbox Corp 086980 | 2,115 KRW | 3,511 KRW | +66% |
| DIGITAL CHOSUN Inc 033130 | 1,910 KRW | 2,439 KRW | +28% |
| SM Life Design Group 063440 | 1,130 KRW | 2,065 KRW | +83% |
| PLI PLI | 6.70 PLN | 1.88 PLN | -72% |
| eMnet Inc 123570 | 1,636 KRW | 1,491 KRW | -9% |
| MB MB | 0.2070 PHP | 0.0400 PHP | -81% |
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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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