Kinetik Holdings Inc (KNTK) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $8.4B · ISIN US02215L2097
What is Kinetik Holdings Inc really worth?
Kinetik Holdings Inc
KNTK · US
Below-average quality, and trading another 60% above our fair value of $33.91.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026
From 18 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price +11.6% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($49.51). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range ($25.43 to $49.51) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $20.85 – $59.83 · fair‑value band $25.43 – $49.51 · the $54.33 price screens above the $33.91 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
Analysis
Kinetik Holdings Inc (KNTK) currently trades at $54.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $33.91, implying the stock looks roughly 60.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $102.75 per share, and 6 of the 12 models we run sit above the $54.33 price. Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at $5.29, and 6 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Kinetik Holdings Inc generated revenue of $1.7B at a net margin of 29.0%. Revenue declined 7.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.5%. Net debt stands at $3.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $25.43 (bear case) to $49.51 (bull case); at $54.33, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 80% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −38%, KNTK screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 18 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($102.75) versus DCF Models ($5.29). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Kinetik Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a midstream company in the Texas Delaware Basin. The company operates through two segments, Midstream Logistics and Pipeline Transportation.
Full company description
Kinetik Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a midstream company in the Texas Delaware Basin. The company operates through two segments, Midstream Logistics and Pipeline Transportation. It offers gathering, compression, processing, stabilization, treating, and storage services; transportation services through pipelines; and water gathering and disposal services for companies that produce natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGL), and crude oil. The company also sells condensates, natural gas residue, and NGLs. Kinetik Holdings Inc. was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Midland, Texas.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Kinetik Holdings Inc reported revenue of $1.8B in FY2025 versus $662M in FY2021, a compound +27.8%/yr. Reported net income was $178M in FY2025, compounding +231.2%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
KNTK screens 60% overvalued. Compare with Enbridge Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Kinetik Holdings cut at Clear Street with limited upside seen after post-earnings gain
- Kinetik Q2 Earnings Call Highlights
- Kinetik Holdings Inc. (KNTK) Beats Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
- Kinetik Reports Record Second Quarter 2026 Results and Raises Full Year 2026 Guidance
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Midstream · 89 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Enbridge Inc ENB | $50.72 | $35.83 | −29% |
| The Williams Companies, Inc WMB | $74.05 | $11.73 | −84% |
| Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD | $39.02 | $20.94 | −46% |
| TC Energy Corporation TRP | C$88.72 | C$24.53 | −72% |
| Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI | $31.60 | $10.92 | −65% |
| Energy Transfer LP, ET | $21.31 | $11.45 | −46% |
| MPLX LP owns and MPLX | $59.25 | $36.42 | −39% |
| ONEOK, Inc OKE | $95.69 | $58.62 | −39% |
| Targa Resources Corp TRGP | $286.91 | $79.61 | −72% |
| Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG | $280.80 | $199.99 | −29% |
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