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Keysight Technologies Inc (KEYS) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $54.0B · ISIN US49338L1035

What is Keysight Technologies Inc really worth?

KT Keysight Technologies Inc logo Keysight Technologies Inc KEYS · US
Price$322.62
Fair Value$107.22
Upside−66.8%
Quality71/100

A solid business, but trading 201% above our fair value of $107.22.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +5.0 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 17.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 65/100

Risks

!Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
!Weak on dividend: 2 out of 100
Evidence: High Range $72.50 – $135.64

Fair value as of: Aug 23, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 13 days ago

Share price −5.5% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 71/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($135.64). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • A fairly wide model range ($72.50 to $135.64) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$373.34 $119.31 Fair Value $107.22 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $119.31 – $373.34 · fair‑value band $72.50 – $135.64 · the $322.62 price screens above the $107.22 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

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Analysis

Keysight Technologies Inc (KEYS) currently trades at $322.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $107.22, implying the stock looks roughly 200.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $117.41 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $322.62 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $23.04, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Keysight Technologies Inc generated revenue of $6.1B at a net margin of 17.3%. Revenue grew 31.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.2%. Net debt stands at $1.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $72.50 (bear case) to $135.64 (bull case); at $322.62, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 111% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −55% fair-value upside, at −67%, KEYS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 10 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $5.24 per share, which is 4.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $79.99 $124.42 $191.18 79
Growth DCF $81.67 $121.43 $177.78 78
Owner Earnings $51.71 $81.16 $125.40 75
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $79.99 $124.42 $191.18 79
Owner Earnings $51.71 $81.16 $125.40 75
5Y Revenue Exit $56.71 $86.39 $123.27 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $74.61 $119.49 $170.94 75
5Y P/E Exit $85.37 $139.39 $195.26 70
10Y Revenue Exit $62.91 $91.78 $128.74 67
10Y EBITDA Exit $75.78 $114.62 $164.74 68
10Y P/E Exit $82.61 $128.35 $183.11 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $33.66 $98.74 $130.53 65
Lynch FV $20.62 $29.45 $38.29 61
PEG = 1.0 $20.62 $29.45 $38.29 57
EPV $37.09 $43.92 $49.89 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $3.12 $6.48 $10.28 66
DDM Multi-Stage $3.12 $5.02 $6.80 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $103.96 $138.61 $173.26 63
P/S Multiple $63.12 $84.16 $105.20 58
P/B Multiple $63.12 $84.16 $105.20 55
EV/EBIT $95.98 $129.27 $162.55 66
EV/EBITDA $81.37 $109.78 $138.19 67
EV/Revenue $46.61 $68.25 $89.88 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $17.19 $23.04 $34.39 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $81.67 $121.43 $177.78 78
Rev-Margin DCF $56.71 $87.19 $121.95 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income $33.85 $44.94 $135.11 65
ROIC Compounder $37.75 $48.46 $61.83 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $82.19 $117.41 $152.63 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($117.41) versus Dividend Discount ($5.02). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 52.0
P/S ratio 8.18 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $6.21 price ÷ EPS = P/E 52.0
Dividend yield 0.1% payout 5.4%
Net margin 15.7% FY2025
Return on equity 18.2% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 12.2% avg 5y
Operating margin 18.1% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $6.1B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +31.5% 3y avg −0.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +35.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $1.3B FY2025
Net debt $1.1B FY2025 · ≈ 0.9 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 71/100

Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 52
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 89
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 59
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 66
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 88
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 96
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Keysight Technologies, Inc. provides electronic design and test solutions worldwide. The company operates through Communications Solutions Group and Electronic Industrial Solutions Group segments.

Full company description

Keysight Technologies, Inc. provides electronic design and test solutions worldwide. The company operates through Communications Solutions Group and Electronic Industrial Solutions Group segments. It offers electronic design and test software, instrumentation, systems, and related services used in the design, simulation, validation, manufacturing, installation, and optimization of communication systems in wireless, data center ecosystem, enterprise, and aerospace, defense, and government end markets. The company also develops and deploys communications products and services; and operates communications networks. In addition, it provides electronic design, test and simulation software, instrumentation, systems, computer-aided engineering solutions, and related services used in the design, simulation, validation, manufacturing, installation, and optimization of electronic equipment in the automotive and energy, semiconductor solutions, and general electronics industries. Further, the company offers product support; technical and application support for hardware, software, and solutions; and professional services, such as installation, training, engineering, optimization of equipment and solution adoption, utilization, and integration services. Additionally, it provides oscilloscopes; generators, sources and power supplies; software products; analyzers; wireless products; network test and security; modular instruments; meters; network visibility; and other products, as well as KeysightCare support plans, calibration, repair, technology refresh, test as a service, network/security, consulting, financial alternatives, education, software testing, support, managed, device vulnerability analysis, support portal, and used equipment services. Keysight Technologies, Inc. was founded in 1939 and is headquartered in Santa Rosa, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Keysight Technologies Inc reported revenue of $5.4B in FY2025 versus $4.9B in FY2021, a compound +2.1%/yr. Reported net income was $846M in FY2025, compounding −1.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 79/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$5.4B
Latest YoY
+8.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+9.0% (8.9 + 0.1)
Revenue +2.1%/yr
FY21 $4.9B
FY22 $5.4B
FY23 $5.5B
FY24 $5.0B
FY25 $5.4B
Net income −1.4%/yr
FY21 $894M
FY22 $1.1B
FY23 $1.1B
FY24 $614M
FY25 $846M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +7.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share +6.5 %

of which total revenue +6.9 % · buybacks/dilution −0.4 %

EBIT margin +3.2 %
Tax rate −3.0 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.2 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

KEYS screens 201% overvalued. Compare with Garmin Ltd →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Keysight Technologies Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KEYS

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Scientific & Technical Instruments · 164 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −67% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 32% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.43× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Scientific & Technical Instruments median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 52.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 9.19× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 8.87× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 42.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 38.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 1.13× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 32
PAST73 · sector 24
HEALTH78 · sector 98
DIVIDEND2 · sector 21

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Frequently asked questions

Is Keysight Technologies Inc (KEYS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $107.22 versus a price of $322.62, about −67% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KEYS?
Our model-based fair value for Keysight Technologies Inc is $107.22 (as of Aug 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $322.62.
What is the quality score of KEYS?
Keysight Technologies Inc has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Keysight Technologies Inc (KEYS)?
Keysight Technologies Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $6.1B (latest available figure, as of Aug 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KEYS?
The net profit margin of Keysight Technologies Inc is about 17.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 17.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Keysight Technologies Inc pay a dividend?
Keysight Technologies Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.10% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 23, 2026).
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