Wuhan Guide Infrared Co (002414) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 57.6B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥3.21 to ¥4.50 (+40.2%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price +4.5% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 68% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 78/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.62). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.86 – ¥18.50 · fair‑value band ¥3.37 – ¥5.62 · the ¥13.92 price screens above the ¥4.50 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Wuhan Guide Infrared Co (002414) currently trades at ¥13.92, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.50, implying the stock looks roughly 67.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 78/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Wuhan Guide Infrared Co generated revenue of 5.2B CNY at a net margin of 18.7%. Revenue grew 83.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.0%. Net debt stands at 540M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥3.37 (bear case) to ¥5.62 (bull case); at ¥13.92, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 68% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -68%, 002414 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥6.95) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.1000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 75 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Wuhan Guide Infrared Co., Ltd. engages in the design, manufacture, marketing, and sale of infrared thermal imaging detectors and modules, and electro-optical systems in China and internationally. The company offers infrared detectors, modules and cores, thermal imagers, EO IR systems, automotive, and AIOT products.
Full company description
Wuhan Guide Infrared Co., Ltd. engages in the design, manufacture, marketing, and sale of infrared thermal imaging detectors and modules, and electro-optical systems in China and internationally. The company offers infrared detectors, modules and cores, thermal imagers, EO IR systems, automotive, and AIOT products. Its products are used in industrial inspection, security and surveillance, consumers infrared, UAV payloads, automotive, AIOT, and optical gas imaging applications. The company was founded in 1999 and is based in Wuhan, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Wuhan Guide Infrared Co reported revenue of ¥4.6B in FY2025 versus ¥3.5B in FY2021, a compound +7.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥686M in FY2025, compounding −11.3%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +21.8 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.3 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
002414 screens 68% overvalued. Compare with Keysight Technologies, Inc →
Peer Group
Scientific & Technical Instruments · 168 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Scientific & Technical Instruments median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Scientific & Technical Instruments stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keysight Technologies, Inc KEYS | $354.50 | $107.22 | -70% |
| Garmin Ltd GRMN | $309.98 | $139.44 | -55% |
| Teledyne Technologies Incorporated TDY | $686.49 | $488.95 | -29% |
| Chroma ATE Inc 2360 | 2,195 TWD | 322.57 TWD | -85% |
| Hexagon AB HEXAB | kr 95.06 | kr 73.99 | -22% |
| MKS Inc MKSI | $294.38 | $76.00 | -74% |
| AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company 302132 | ¥57.89 | ¥34.47 | -40% |
| Fortive Corporation FTV | $61.54 | $33.48 | -46% |
| Trimble Inc TRMB | $57.98 | $34.12 | -41% |
| Cognex Corporation CGNX | $60.67 | $19.25 | -68% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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