AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Co Ltd Class A (302132) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 141B CNY (≈ $21.1B) · ISIN CNE100006T10
What is AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Co Ltd Class A really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 205% above our fair value of ¥20.73.
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price +9.2% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥25.93). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.90 – ¥91.89 · fair‑value band ¥15.54 – ¥25.93 · the ¥63.30 price screens above the ¥20.73 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
Analysis
AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Co Ltd Class A (302132) currently trades at ¥63.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥20.73, implying the stock looks roughly 205.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥58.80 per share, and 0 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥63.30 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥5.32, and 17 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Co Ltd Class A generated revenue of 78.0B CNY at a net margin of 4.5%. Revenue grew 79.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.4%. Net debt stands at 221M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥15.54 (bear case) to ¥25.93 (bull case); at ¥63.30, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −55% fair-value upside, at −67%, 302132 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥58.80) versus Asset-Based (¥5.32). Highest evidence: EPV (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company Limited manufactures and sells aircraft equipment, aviation component, and intelligent measurement and control products in China and internationally. It offers motor vehicle inspection equipment; sensors and instruments; and weighing control systems.
Full company description
AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company Limited manufactures and sells aircraft equipment, aviation component, and intelligent measurement and control products in China and internationally. It offers motor vehicle inspection equipment; sensors and instruments; and weighing control systems. The company also engages in the research and experimental development activities. In addition, it provides military and civil aviation, as well as non-aviation products. The company was formerly known as Zhonghang Electronic Measuring Instruments Co.,Ltd and changed its name to AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company Limited in January 2025. AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company Limited was founded in 1965 and is based in Chengdu, the People's Republic of China. AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company Limited is a subsidiary of Aviation Industry Corporation of China,Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Co Ltd Class A reported revenue of 75.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound +149.6%/yr. Reported net income was 3.4B CNY in FY2025, compounding +82.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +7.6 % · buybacks/dilution −0.2 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
302132 screens 205% overvalued. Compare with Keysight Technologies, Inc →
Peer Group
Scientific & Technical Instruments · 164 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Scientific & Technical Instruments median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Scientific & Technical Instruments stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keysight Technologies, Inc KEYS | $316.13 | $107.22 | −66% |
| Garmin Ltd GRMN | $309.98 | $139.44 | −55% |
| Teledyne Technologies Incorporated TDY | $607.87 | $488.95 | −20% |
| Chroma ATE Inc 2360 | 2,195 TWD | 322.57 TWD | −85% |
| Hexagon AB HEXAB | kr 99.00 | kr 74.09 | −25% |
| MKS Inc MKSI | $281.60 | $76.00 | −73% |
| Fortive Corporation FTV | $61.54 | $33.48 | −46% |
| Trimble Inc TRMB | $56.99 | $34.12 | −40% |
| Cognex Corporation CGNX | $60.79 | $19.25 | −68% |
| Wuhan Guide Infrared Co 002414 | ¥12.97 | ¥4.50 | −65% |
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